Intel CEO ** China's chip technology will lag behind by 10 years!
How many years is China's chip technology behind the world?
In the first half of last year, everyone thought that China was going to launch a 14nm process, but TSMC successfully launched a 3nm process in the first half of this year, from 14nm to 3nm, with an interval of four generations, that is, it will take ten years.
But since the second half of last year, Huawei has released the all-new Kirin 9000, which has a transistor density comparable to Qualcomm's 5nm Snapdragon 888 processor and 7nm process.
Everyone thinks that there is only a two-generation gap between China and the world's number one, and that China is only five years apart from 7nm to 3nm.
TSMC's 7nm process was finalized in 2018. Doesn't that mean we're not going to be able to produce until 2023?
But as we all know, immediately after the launch of this chip, the United States tightened the ban on chips again, imposing a stricter embargo on artificial intelligence chips and semiconductor devices.
Japan and the Netherlands followed the lead of the United States in imposing an embargo on China, especially Japan, which must be authorized if it wants to import chips smaller than 40 nanometers.
ASML's production license for deep ultraviolet lithography systems was also cancelled, which had a significant impact on the development of China's semiconductor manufacturing industry.
Because of this, Intel Corporation CEO Pat Gelsinger said at the 2024 World Economic Forum in Davos that China has been 10 years behind the world's major chipmakers due to joint sanctions from the United States and the Netherlands!
He believes that in the face of the tripartite alliance of the United States, Japan and the Netherlands, China's wafer industry is trying to catch up with the world's advanced level due to the limitations of semiconductor device technology.
According to him, in the United States, the Netherlands and Japan, there is a dividing line between 10 nanometers and 7 nanometers; With China's current level of processing, up to 7 nanometers, it is impossible to go any further, while companies such as TSMC, Samsung, Intel, etc., start with 2 nanometers and then 1 nanometer.
What are your thoughts on this? Theoretically, the 7nm process is feasible, but if it is not achieved soon, we will be 10 years behind.
However, this is just speculation, and we will have to wait a while to see exactly what will happen; We can't stay in the same place forever, and neither can the kind of situation that Intel's CEO said it would be.