The Washington Post recently published an article titled: US-China relations are getting back on track, and we hope to maintain this momentum, in which the author mentioned that in the first two years of Biden's first term, the Sino-US relationship of mutual distrust, poor communication and lack of contact is dangerous. However, with the recent frequent high-level interactions between China and the United States, the meeting between US Affairs Assistant Jake Sullivan and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Bangkok, the gradual resumption of the dialogue and consultation mechanism between the Chinese and US militaries, and the visits of US Commerce Secretaries Raimondo and Yellen to China last year, have all made people see the positive momentum between China and the United States.
For example, on January 30, Jane Dascal, deputy assistant to the U.S. and deputy adviser to the Department of Homeland Security, will lead an interagency U.S. delegation to China to launch the first meeting of the U.S.-China Anti-Drug Working Group. Senior US ** said at a news conference on the visit of the anti-narcotics task force to China. This meeting is an important part of the implementation of the resumption of cooperation between the two countries.
However, beneath these seemingly harmonious appearances, it does not mean that the crisis between China and the United States has been completely eliminated. The Washington Post also mentioned that the rapid rise of China's electric vehicle field is a headache for the West. In fact, we can also see that whether it is the promulgation and implementation of the relevant China-related bills in the United States, or the enlisting of allies to further build a circle to contain China, its intention to suppress China's leading position in the field of electric vehicles is very obvious. This shows that in the short term, Sino-US relations are still in an environment in which struggle outweighs cooperation. And we can see such a trend more intuitively from the former Trump in the United States. According to US media, Trump is weighing whether to launch a new round of major economic attacks on China if re-elected. According to three people familiar with the matter, Mr. Trump had privately discussed with his advisers the possibility of imposing a uniform 60 percent tariff on all Chinese imports if elected.
As we all know, the United States is underway, Trump's current situation is more optimistic, and in the case of DeSantis's withdrawal from the election, Trump's fight against Biden on behalf of the Republican Party is almost a foregone conclusion. At this time, the US media released such news in advance, which may mean that Trump wants to win the support of the "radicals" in the United States against China by playing the anti-China card again and gain more bargaining chips in the showdown with Biden.
From the perspective of historical experience alone, Trump made some radical promises against China during his first election campaign, and most of them have been fulfilled. In the 16th year, Trump gave a public speech in June of that year, naming China to punish at the ** level and launching sustained attacks. After Trump officially entered the White House in 17 years, China and the United States started the largest ** war in history. Under the "301" clause, the United States provoked a tariff battle for no reason and increased restrictions on China, which can be described as extremely arrogant. In May 2019, Trump signed an executive order that blacklisted Huawei and 70 of its subsidiaries on the export control blacklist for so-called "cybersecurity." In August 2020, the United States tightened restrictions on Huawei again, further sending a signal of confrontation. To put it bluntly, during the Trump administration, he once used the war against China as his governing tool.
It is worth noting that in China, there has long been such an argument that Trump is regarded as a moderate on China, believing that some of his actions are not beneficial to the development of the United States, but promote the development of China. Therefore, many people have expectations for Trump to take office again, but it turns out that Trump is not the "Internet celebrity" politician who only wears a red tie and says a few amazing words from time to time.
But as the saying goes, the soldiers will block, and the water will cover the earth. The last time Trump launched a war against China in his previous office, China was indeed damaged, but it is widely believed overseas that the United States was hurt more seriously than China. In this way, even if Trump has the idea of making enemies with China after taking office for the second time, we do not need to panic, Trump's excessively restrictive tariffs on China will inevitably lead to an increase in the cost of American companies, and promote domestic inflation in the United States.
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