Recently, the independence of Texas in the United States has become more and more popular on the Chinese Simplified Chinese Internet, and various jokes have emerged one after another, feeling that we are witnessing history again. Here, I can tell you from a historical and realistic perspective that Texas (hereinafter referred to as Texas) cannot be independent this time. This year is the first year in the United States, and both the Democratic and Republican parties will not hesitate to use any means in order to compete for votes and maximize the use of public opinion.
In the last round of globalization, many low-income white people in Texas and even the United States lost their high-paying jobs due to the impact of cheap goods from around the world, and the influx of federal**-backed illegal immigrants has exacerbated this phenomenon, resulting in very dissatisfied people affected.
If the local white people's hourly wage is 15-20 US dollars, and those illegal immigrants rush to do it as long as they give three or five dollars, according to the decree signed by Biden, as long as they work for a few years, they can get a US green card and live a comfortable life, and the Democratic Party represented by Biden can bring me good hope, why don't I support them?
And those low-level whites are miserable, they have lost their jobs, and they have found that the security environment is getting worse and worse, and these illegal immigrants are mixed, and there are many drug criminals among them.
You must know that drugs in Latin America and Mexico have formed a complete industrial chain, and most of these drugs are sold to the United States, which has brought many social problems to the United States. These low-level whites want to change this status quo through voting, but they find that voting is not as good as others, and even if the whole family votes, they can't stand the number of other people's families! Most of those illegal immigrants come with their families, and it is very common for a family of seven or eight people, what do you compare it to? So, they switched to supporting Trump. In this way, the rift in American society is becoming more and more noticeable.
The social rift is getting worse, but it is too early to draw conclusions to say that it will reach the point of the old American country.
Before we get into that, let's talk about the U.S. political system.
The political system of the United States is very different from ours, and the relationship between the United States federal ** and the states is not the relationship between superiors and subordinates as some people imagine. There is a sentence in the Declaration of Independence of the United States that states that any legitimate right of the people arises from the consent of the people.
The idea of this sentence originates from the great European thinker Rousseau's "Social Contract Theory", which means that individuals establish a state based on their own consent to transfer a part of their private rights to form public power, and each state forms a federation based on their own consent to transfer a part of public power (such as foreign power, national defense).
Speaking of which, everyone should understand that the relationship between the states and the federal government in the United States is actually a contractual relationship, a bit similar to the relationship between the owners of our country and the property of the community, the right of the property is given by our owners, you do not do well, every owner can put forward opinions to teach the community property. Therefore, we often see in the news that the United States ** goes to inspect the locality, and the governors do not bird **adults, sometimes they have to "commit" reprimands**, and sometimes behave like a grandson in front of the governor.
Texas has been independent twice in history, with the "anti-bone" gene brought by the mother's womb, it was affiliated with Spain, France, Mexico, and later in 1836 simply went it alone, independent statehood, called the Lone Star Republic, now the state flag of Texas is the "Lone Star Flag" of the Republic that year, after 9 years, it joined the United States Commonwealth, during the American Civil War it ran away from home, and returned to the United States after the war. In the past hundred years, the voice of independence has never stopped, but the voice is very small and has never become mainstream.
Let's first talk about why Texas must join the U.S. Federation from an economic point of view, after all, the economic foundation determines the superstructure.
Texas is rich in minerals and has a developed agriculture, adjacent to the Mississippi River, and its plain area borders the Great Plains of the United States. During the period of belonging to Mexico, Mexico's control over it was relatively weak, when this place was vast and sparsely populated, and a large influx of American immigrants carried out a big extermination of the local indigenous Indians, and the Indians who were lucky enough to survive had to go away to make room for the Americans, so that they could settle down here, which was the famous "Westward Expansion Movement" in American history.
With more and more immigrants to the United States, large tracts of land were developed to grow a variety of crops, during this period the United States laid a large number of railroads, due to the convenience of transportation, a variety of agricultural products in Texas were sold to all parts of the United States, after the American Civil War, the invention of train refrigerated carriages, meat can be transported over long distances and keep fresh, the demand for Texas beef in various parts of the United States has increased sharply, and the unique natural environment has made agriculture such as planting and animal husbandry develop rapidly.
Developed agriculture and rich mineral resources need a huge market to swallow up, and the rapid industrial development of the United States before and after the Civil War requires massive resources, so that Texas and the United States hit it off and carry out deep binding, and no one can do without anyone, which is also the reason why Texas declared its withdrawal from the Union in 1861 and joined the Union after the war.
After all, by joining the federation, you can obtain scarce capital and technology under the dispatch of the federation, eliminate tariff barriers, and form a unified large market with other states, the entry and exit of goods is smoother and more convenient, and the transaction cost is much lower.
Benefiting from the development of the United States, from 1870 to 1900, Texas' economic aggregate grew by as much as 500% in the three decades, which was higher than that of the United States during the same period. At the beginning of the 20th century, oil and gas were discovered in this area, and the federal ** provided huge financial and technical support, making it an important energy base in the United States.
In the process of high-tech development in Texas, it is inseparable from the huge investment of the federal government and the massive financial and technical support, in which the interests are intricate and difficult to separate.
Texas has occupied an extremely important position in the energy and agricultural chain of the United States, and it is impossible for the United States, which is related to the United States, to let it stand on its own. At the same time, Texas also has to rely on such a large market as the United States to support its own development, looking at the Americas and even the world, relying on the United States is the best choice.
If it becomes independent, it will instantly become a place of competition among the world's great powers, and if it leaves the United States, it will be a child who has lost its mother.
From a legal point of view, according to the 1869 Texas v. White case, in the judgment made by the U.S. Supreme Court, the then chief ** officer Suss pointed out that the relationship between the states in the federation is "guaranteed by the law dominated by the federal constitution, not artificial and arbitrary", in other words, the federation can only be permanent and inadmissible, and no state is allowed to unilaterally withdraw from the federation or become independent.
If Texas really wants to become independent, the federal army only needs to blockade the Gulf of Mersgow to cut off Texas' foreign economic activities.
The answer is undoubtedly no.
How slim is the hope of Texas independence success, let's first look at an example from the Western Han Dynasty.
The fief of Wu King Liu Bi, its geographical environment and economic activities are extremely similar to this Texas, the King of Wu who sits on a rich land was not very obedient in the era of the founding emperor Liu Bang, and the Liu surnamed Zhuhou, who is extremely rich in copper mines, gave *** tax is actually a pod money that is less than two catties, not half a tael of good color.
By the time of Emperor Jing of the Han Dynasty, he had reached the point of refusing to obey the edict, and later united the seven princes to launch a rebellion in the name of "Qing Jun's side", but it was put down within three months.
Let's look at another example of the United Kingdom, where Scotland has been fighting for independence for almost 100 years, and has reached the point of a referendum, and although the British Empire has fallen, the afterglow is still there, and Scotland is still on the British map.
Let's take a look at the outcome of Russia's Chechen independence more than 20 years ago, the powerful Soviet Union has collapsed, and the declining Russia still has the strength to suppress the Chechen rebellion.
Someone said, then why did Kosovo succeed in becoming independent? Serbia itself is a small country, and it is powerless to resist the interference of several major powers, so it can only hold back tears and watch Kosovo run away from home.
Last year's independence of Ukraine's eastern regions was for the same reason.
It can be seen that independence among major powers cannot be achieved overnight, not to mention that the United States is a powerful country in the world today. Even if Texas became independent, it is estimated that it will be many years later, and perhaps the United States at that time, like Britain in the past, will become the sunset, and the prosperity will no longer exist.
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