Kunpeng Project
If the United States wants to abolish TSMC, it will be arrested if it falls to the mainland
Foreword: What kind of opportunities and opportunities will the semiconductor industry in the United States face?
In the past five years, Americans have been like a vicious wolf who chooses people and devours them, greedily gnawing on this piece of "meat", looking at ASML, AMD, Qualcomm, and TSMC, and fearing that they will shake out their research results. Especially with the tremendous progress made in semiconductor process technology, the United States will naturally not let go of this opportunity, and is deeply afraid that its company will be compared with its domestic counterparts. However, some AI companies in the United States, such as Nvidia, are also reluctant to give up the mainland, a market with great potential. At the same time, Tesla is also resisting unreasonable requests from the United States, which makes it impossible for Musk to collaborate with mainland parts manufacturers. With the gradual increase in inflation in the United States, the trend of rising interest rates is coming to an end, and the outflow of funds is increasing, and the industry is in danger of rising costs and falling profits. In view of the fact that the mainland's policy on industrial development is still very large, a lot of capital is flowing to the mainland at an accelerated pace. In particular, industrial enterprises such as semiconductors, which have a huge demand for capital, have encountered problems such as rising labor costs and reduced turnover speed. Mainland China has become the world's largest semiconductor consumer market, the United States, Japan, the Netherlands, almost half of the revenue ** in the mainland. At present, Huawei, North Huachuang, AMEC, BYD, Xiaomi, and SMIC are all investing in chip design, production, and testing. With the rise of the mainland, the United States will face problems such as the gradual contraction of the semiconductor industry and the adjustment of the industry's center of gravity. In the world, China's Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) occupies a pivotal position, producing about 55% of the world's total wafer manufacturing capacity. According to information from the United States, about ninety percent of the current 7 nm and above processes are produced by TSMC. For example, Apple, Qualcomm, AMD, NVIDIA and other world's top integrated circuit design companies rely on TSMC for production. Moreover, TSMC is also much stronger than Samsung in chip manufacturing, and for a long time, it cannot be replaced by the United States. But TSMC, a Chinese company, has been found on the mainland by its founder, Zhang Zhongmou, who has prepared a resumption of work in Nanjing. The United States is also closely monitoring this trend, on the one hand, it wants to control TSMC, and on the other hand, it wants to prevent it from entering the mainland market. But when a company like TSMC decides to stop its chip contract with the United States, the United States will be plagued by "meaningfulness." The United States is well aware that if TSMC moves to the mainland, it will immediately cause the United States to lose its continuous supply to American companies, and 80% of TSMC's business is handled by American companies. TSMC now has to rely on production facilities and raw materials in the United States, Japan, Europe and other places to ensure production. If the supply of core equipment and raw materials is interrupted, even if TSMC has the world's most cutting-edge technology, it will face difficulties in a short period of time in the absence of raw materials and equipment. However, if TSMC firmly leans towards the mainland, the United States will also be hit in three ways: losing its technological superiority, readjusting the ** chain, and reducing the competitiveness of local American companies. If TSMC moves to the mainland, the United States will lose its leadership in the production of advanced process chips, while TSMC will have a significant proportion of the production of precision chips of 7nm and below. This may bring huge risks to the high-tech industry in the United States, and even endanger the country's security. Strengthening close ties with the mainland can speed up the restructuring of the semiconductor industry chain worldwide, cause US companies to lose a certain market share, and then cause the US semiconductor industry to shrink, which in turn will damage the economic benefits of the United States. If TSMC shifts its focus to the mainland, then Apple, Qualcomm, AMD, NVIDIA and other local chip manufacturers in the United States will be limited by the ability of foundries, which will lead to an increase in the development and release time of new products, thereby reducing its competitive advantage in the international arena and threatening the United States' right to speak in the world. Rising inflation, uncertainty over rising interest rates, capital outflows, and asset depreciation are all leaving the U.S. semiconductor industry facing rising costs and declining profits. At the same time, the mainland** still enjoys the benefits of the low-interest policy. Will the U.S. semiconductor industry watch the mainland develop? With the loss of technological leadership, the pain of chain reorganization, and the sharp decline in corporate competitiveness, will the semiconductor dream of the United States be shattered? Against the backdrop of inflation and capital outflows, will the U.S. semiconductor industry raise an ironic question to itself because of the prosperity of the mainland: Is it the United States or the Asian dragon that dominates the entire chip world?
In recent years, the monopoly position of the United States in the world has triggered a series of crises and challenges. U.S. companies, which used to be leading in the semiconductor industry, have now been greatly impacted by the mainland market. The U.S. attempt to rein in semiconductor companies like TSMC is a sign of its concern and concern for its mainland counterparts. However, whether the US semiconductor industry can occupy a dominant position in the rapid development of the mainland has become a headache.
Expansion: The United States, the world's largest semiconductor industry, is now mired in internal and external troubles. On the one hand, the rise of the mainland has had a great impact on it, and on the other hand, the internal control of companies with TSMC as the core has also brought various crises and challenges. This dangerous feeling is like a tsunami, impacting the semiconductor industry in the United States, and people are beginning to worry about whether the semiconductor dream of the United States will be shattered.
The U.S. semiconductor industry is suffering from the loss of technological advantages, the restructuring of the ** chain, and the decline of the market competitiveness of enterprises. If a company like TSMC moves its business to the mainland, it will be a huge blow to the United States, causing it to lose a major position in the world's semiconductor industry. What are the challenges facing the semiconductor industry in the U.S. at present, and the various choices faced by domestic companies.
Read more: The semiconductor industry in the U.S. has never been a distant issue. Leading technology, stable chain, and enterprise competitiveness have become the central issues of the development of the semiconductor industry in the United States. Moreover, due to the rise of the mainland market and the uncertainty of the willingness of domestic companies, the above problems have become more urgent. How the U.S. semiconductor industry will perform in this storm is also a question of concern to the industry and industry insiders.
Direction: In the future semiconductor industry, the United States will not only have to face the rise of the mainland and the trend of TSMC and other manufacturers, but also face the resulting loss of technological advantages, the reorganization of the first chain and the reduction of enterprise competitiveness. In the face of such challenges, what opportunities and directions will the U.S. semiconductor industry face? With regard to the mainland's rising semiconductor pearl, the United States is bound to deal with it carefully if it wants to maintain its position in the world's semiconductor industry.
Extended reading: The future semiconductor industry will be a bumpy road, and the United States must also be careful to deal with the rise of the mainland, as well as the tendency of companies such as TSMC to move to the mainland. Maintaining its own scientific and technological advantages, maintaining the stability of the first chain, and maintaining the competitive advantage of enterprises will become an important direction for the development of the semiconductor industry in the United States. Only in this way can the U.S. semiconductor industry adapt to the current situation, make corresponding adjustments in a timely manner, and maintain a leading position in future international competition.
Conclusion: The U.S. semiconductor industry is facing unprecedented challenges and tests. Faced with the rise of the mainland market and the trend of TSMC and other manufacturers, the United States needs to re-examine its position and role in the international arena and make appropriate changes in a timely manner in order to maintain its leading position in the industry. If the U.S. semiconductor industry wants to maintain its leading position in the world, it must keep pace with the times and take the initiative to respond, and it must continue to innovate, continue to grow and develop, and finally win the status of "chip hegemon".