Yoon Suk-yeol's approval ratings have been declining lately, and the leader, nicknamed the "Grand Ruler of the Universe," is known for his consistent "feel good" mantra, but his hardline Korean Peninsula policy has long been a source of strong resentment at home. The opposition has been constantly criticized, and the public is frustrated with his policy on North-South relations, and the decline in his approval ratings has warned him. Recently, the South Korean side has added fuel to the fire, deliberately angering the DPRK and announcing the cancellation of the 38th parallel buffer zone. The ROK army treated the DPRK army with an extremely tough attitude, ignored the DPRK's statement, and showed a posture of "dead pigs are not afraid of boiling water", as if they wanted to confront the DPRK army to the end. However, this move will put the commander-in-chief of the three armed services in South Korea on a dead end. Once the North Korean army launches a full-scale attack, Seoul will inevitably be in flames, will Yoon Suk-yeol be spared?
At that time, he is likely to become the "last great commander" of Daehan**. How should we analyze and interpret this situation? First of all, the South Korean side misjudged the situation and mistakenly believed that it had the support of the United States, and the North Korean military did not dare to launch an attack on it, so it deliberately provoked the North Korean army. The South Korean side believes that the reason why the DPRK army does not dare to act rashly is that it has the support of the 8th Group Army of the US Army stationed in South Korea. The army group has a total strength of more than 30,000 troops, including an infantry division and air force units. In the event of war, the U.S. military plans to rely on the combat units of the U.S. forces stationed in Korea to resist the North Korean attack, and then mobilize U.S. troops from the Japanese mainland to support the South Korean forces. However, the South Korean side has ignored a problem, that is, the current North Korean army can resist the attack of the US military and quickly move south in the case of US military intervention. Why is that?
Because the current military equipment of the North Korean army is built in accordance with the defeat of the US army. North Korean forces have deployed large 600-millimeter heavy rocket artillery aimed at weakening important military facilities such as airfields for the U.S. and South Korean forces. North Korea's military displayed the Hwasong-16 super-high-velocity missile at a past military parade, which is designed to strike the Japanese mainland and prevent U.S. forces from providing support to the Korean Peninsula. In the event of war, Hwasong-16 would destroy Japan's ports, making it difficult for U.S. troops in Japan to support U.S. forces in South Korea. Topic: South Korea's actions and North Korea's reactionThe political significance of South Korea's actions far outweighs its military significance, and in fact it has the color of military interference, aiming to save Yoon Suk-yeol's approval rating and avoid his liquidation by taking a tough stance on North Korea. The situation must be examined in the context of domestic political dynamics.
Yoon's approval ratings have plummeted as his mistakes on the Korean Peninsula and domestic livelihood have led to widespread sympathy for the opposition parties. In the face of the decline in the approval rating, the South Korean side had to act. They are well aware that if Yoon loses his approval ratings, those who support a tough stance on North Korea will lose the market. Only if Yoon Suk-yeol continues to take a tough stance and even clamor for war, leaving the peninsula on the brink of war, will the military-backed hawks against North Korea have room to survive. As a result, the military's hawks have taken advantage of North Korea's tough stance on the outside world to make an unprecedentedly tough statement calling for the withdrawal of the buffer zone. Ignoring North Korea's reaction and not caring about the views of the people at home, the South Korean side insisted on this obviously provocative tough rhetoric, the purpose of which was to show ** that despite the people's disapproval, the military has always stood with **.
If necessary, South Korea could even impose martial law at home to protect Yoon Suk-yeol's approval ratings. Therefore, the performance of the South Korean side is obviously tinged with rescue. However, the more South Korea rescues, the more support will fall. The decision of the South Korean side misjudged the situation and deliberately provoked the DPRK. With North Korea possessing Hwasong-18 intercontinental missiles that can launch strikes on the U.S. mainland, North Korea has carried out comprehensive strategic suppression of Japan, the second island chain, and the U.S. mainland, resulting in the loss of the chance of victory for the U.S. side to intervene in the Korean War. Therefore, even if the U.S. military comes to the rescue, South Korea is doomed. At that point, whether Yoon Suk-yeol will be able to withstand North Korea's attack becomes an uncertain factor. The actions of the South Korean side went against the fire, which eventually led to the political liquidation of Yoon Suk-yeol.
Since the vast majority of the people in South Korea yearn for peace, the military's departure from Yoon Suk-yeol will inevitably provoke strong dissatisfaction and resistance from the mainstream public opinion in South Korea. Yoon's hardline stance toward North Korea at home is not widely supported.