When you're confused, don't make any trading decisions. There is no need to grudge to trade, if there is no proper **.
If you don't have a chance to win, don't force yourself in. Like the battlefield, the money is your soldiers. Only when the general direction is correct can we calmly enter the battle. It is necessary to win first and then seek war, not to fight first and then win.
Everyone's energy is limited, and it changes minute by minute. For ** investors, it is more reasonable to concentrate on about 3 high-quality stocks. **If the pool is too large, the success rate will also be greatly reduced.
China**: Is the current A** field terrible to have a full position or an empty position?
Before answering this question, let's review the well-known investment rules of Warren Buffett:
First, try to avoid risks and preserve the principal;
second, try to avoid risks and keep the principal;
Third, resolutely keep in mind the first and second points.
According to this investment rule, let's take a look at whether it is terrible to have a full position or a short position!
I don't look at the external market first, just look at my big A shares. In the long run, more than 9 percent of people are losing money, which is already a generally agreed view. Therefore, the people of ** are fighting to be one of the tenths.
As the saying goes, "winners in life are probability winners", an investor should be a successful investor when most of the investments are successful. And how do you invest to be mostly successful?
Hold the appropriate ** at the right time, and only then you are an accredited investor.
Speaking of the question of full and short positions, which of the two methods is more terrible? I think it's more terrible to have a full warehouse. Why?
Let's start with short positions.
Why are there short positions? Investors believe that the investment risk is too large, and the risk of holding a position is much greater than the risk of a short position, and then they choose to wait and see.
According to our initial investment rule, "try to avoid risk and keep the principal", this is undoubtedly the right choice.
Speaking of investors with full positions, you have full positions because you think that your investment will definitely bring returns, and if not, it can only show that you are doing a crazy speculation.
In this era, everyone may have had the psychology of "fighting and turning a bicycle into a motorcycle", but in the **, we must avoid the behavior of full warehouse.
Chip distribution
First, from the perspective of chip distribution, how the main force is raised:
In the time period of November 21, 2014, after the stock price broke through the platform, we can see that the profit of 10 yuan to 13 yuan is still very concentrated, especially the platform is very concentrated.
So the chips are so concentrated and there are few traps above, so the intention of the main force is to continue to rise.
Second, from the perspective of chip distribution, how the main force is shipped:
In 15 years, at that time, the ** rose from 13 yuan to more than 31 yuan, we can see from the chart that the chips below 24 yuan are basically all shipped, and only the chips from the high 24 yuan to 28 yuan are still partial, but compared to the upper hedge plate (green column) are relatively short, indicating that the pressure above is relatively large;
So when we see that the stock price has reached a new high and feels that there is still a high, in fact, the main force has already been shipped.
Let's take a look at why the stock price has been rising before June 15 - October 15, we can see from the distribution of chips that the top is full of green hedge plates, and the low level is basically no profit plate, so at this time even if the main force wants to pull can not be pulled, as long as a pull, the high hedge disk will be thrown, and a large amount of selling pressure will be formed when thrown.
Third, from the perspective of chip distribution, how the main force is to build a position at a low level:
Let's take a look at why the stock price began to rise again after November 10, 2015, and then we look at the distribution of chips, whether the columns above the green hedge plate are very short, representing that the chips at the high level can not bear the meat;
Look at a position of 19 yuan to 16 yuan is not a position without a green column, this place is the chip vacuum area, the vacuum area represents this area is not a trap at all, then the ** of this position is easy to pull up, so it caused the later 2 price limits.
** of the pattern - "fishing line":
In the real-time trend of the day, it began to basically maintain a certain slope upward, and then suddenly plunged sharply in a straight line, forming a pattern similar to a "fishing rod" and a "fishing line" for fishing.
Purpose: This is the main force to the high level, and attract to follow the trend after the market suddenly reduced several prices to throw a huge selling. At this time, if there are not many pick-ups and not many outputs, the main force may still be pulled back, otherwise it will be a thousand miles.
The main features of the "fishing line" shipping method:
1. Change the previous day's time-sharing chart to steadily push up to a low level and quickly increase the volume or high sideways**, and quickly smash the disk down when the lower gear accumulates to a certain extent;
2. Generally operate once a day, if the disk is in good condition at this time, it will be repeatedly operated several times (such as the last picture), and then maintain the first trend in the position of smashing the disk, but usually there will be a rapid process of pulling up at the end of the market, repairing the ** form, and maintaining the illusion that the disk does not fall. **Either a high open black candle with a long lower shadow, or a cross with a long upper and lower shadow or a small yang and small black candle;
3. The intraday ** intense amplitude is very large, and the diving pattern with a huge amplitude is common on the time-sharing chart, and the sharp pull ** is the main feature;
4. Constantly pile up large orders in key positions, and at the same time eat up the surging orders to show strength, but the large orders of the orders are constantly withdrawn and put in the back, so that the first transaction is made.
Investment insights
People who really understand ** will never follow others to buy tickets, because then you will be too passive. Follow others to buy**, maybe others can be in time**when will **, at a high level can stop loss, or there is a profit.
But I don't know, I can only be blind, always one step slower than others, if you don't lose money, who loses!
* The most important thing in the hand is the ability to strain in the plate.
Qualitative is a must be done well. Large-cycle qualitative, weekly stock selection, monthly identification, time-sharing tracking.
It is only when you are open and selfless in your heart that you will invisibly give birth to a positive force, which can often overcome many difficulties until you see stable profits.
In the financial market, all good attitudes come from the cultivation of daily life, and it is not a one-time thing.
The above content is for reference only, not as specific investment advice, ** risky, you must be cautious when entering the market!