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Trump is more likely to be the Republican** candidate, after all, he has won two straight primaries. However, only two primaries were held, and her opponent, Haley, did not admit defeat and said that she would fight a long game. Therefore, it remains to be seen whether Trump will ultimately prevail against Haley and win the election. In addition, even if Trump becomes the Republican candidate, there is uncertainty about whether he will be able to defeat the incumbent Biden. Although polls show that Trump has led less often and that Biden has not performed well since taking office, Biden was also considered unfavored in the last election and ultimately won over Trump. In addition, Trump is currently facing a lawsuit and whether he will be able to retain his candidacy.
In recent years, Trump has waged a war against China, but the war has not achieved his desired goals. On the contrary, the war cost American consumers $129 billion more on Chinese goods, while China's exports to the United States hit a record high, and the surplus with the United States reached $316.6 billion. The Trump-led war can be said to have been a complete failure. Therefore, even if Trump re-enters the White House, it is uncertain whether he will continue to implement economic and trade policies such as the 60% tariff on Chinese goods. Although Trump has said that he will abolish Biden's economic framework for China, and said that this move will hurt the manufacturing and job markets in the United States, the Chinese and American economies have been deeply integrated with each other, and simple decoupling will have a huge impact on China, the United States and even the global economy and trade. Therefore, it is unlikely that Trump will pursue a new round of economic and trade policies toward China.
At China's regular press conference, there was a ** asked about the possibility of Trump "imposing 60% tariffs on all Chinese goods", and spokesman Wang Wenbin responded that China does not comment on unconfirmed news. Wang Wenbin also stressed that the essence of China-US economic and trade relations is mutually beneficial and win-win, which is conducive to the stable development of the two countries and the global economy. In this response, "unconfirmed" was one of the key words, meaning that China did not receive substantive information about Trump's tariff policy. In addition, the response also emphasized the mutually beneficial and win-win nature of China-US economic and trade relations, indicating that China attaches importance to the stable development of economic and trade cooperation between the two countries and is willing to work with the United States to maintain the stability of bilateral relations.
Trump made many promises during the election campaign, including resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict and imposing tariffs on European allies. However, Trump's war strategy did not achieve the desired results, negatively impacting the U.S. economy and consumers. So even if Trump is elected, think tanks are unlikely to support him in introducing similar economic and trade policies. In addition, the economic and trade relationship between China and the United States is already interdependent, and a simple decoupling will have a significant impact on the global economy and trade, so Trump is also likely to face strong opposition.
Whether Trump will succeed in electing and pursuing a 60 percent tax on Chinese goods is a question of uncertainty. Although he has won two straight Republican primaries, his final victory over Haley and Biden is still unknown. Although Trump's war strategy has been criticized in some respects, it remains to be seen whether he will be able to implement a new round of tariffs on China. In response, the Chinese side emphasized the mutually beneficial and win-win nature of China-US economic and trade relations, and said that it would not comment on unconfirmed information. In this unpredictable election year, no matter how Trump campaign progresses, China and the United States need to work together to maintain the stable development of the economic and trade relationship between the two countries and promote the prosperity and development of the global economy.
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