According to OPTA's latest data, the probability of Manchester City winning the Premier League this season has risen to 685%, while Liverpool only 237%。
In the table, Manchester City are two points behind, but they have played a game less, so most people already think that Manchester City are the de facto leaders of the Premier League.
Is it really difficult for Jurgen Klopp to win the Premier League title in his final season at Liverpool? Maybe don't be so pessimistic, because Liverpool also has a "super **".
Liverpool's chance lies in a head-to-head meeting with Manchester City on 10 March, and if they can win the battle at Anfield, the balance of Premier League titles will tip in the Reds' favour this season.
What will Liverpool rely on to win this game? Let's start with a set of statistics:
2017 2018 season, 12 wins, 7 draws.
2018 2019 season, 17 wins, 2 draws.
In the 2019 2020 season, 18 wins and 1 draw.
2020 2021 season (due to the pandemic, the competition is not open to the public).
2021 2022 season, 15 wins, 4 draws.
2022 2023 season, 14 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss.
2023 2024 season, 10 wins, 2 draws (in progress).
This is Liverpool's home results in recent seasons, excluding the 2020 and 2021 seasons affected by the epidemic, the Reds' Premier League record at Anfield is 86 wins, 20 draws and 1 loss, with a winning rate of 80%!
In fact, since Jurgen Klopp took charge in October 2015, they have lost just 11 of their 161 Premier League home games! They have lost the fewest home games in the Premier League, losing 16 home games during that period, while Manchester United are third with 24.
Jurgen Klopp has achieved the feat of being unbeaten at home in four different seasons (2017 2018, 2018 2019, 2019 2020 and 2021 2022). Liverpool have already picked up 32 of their 36 home points this season, with just seven home games left to go unbeaten again.
This is the "super**" that Liverpool can still compete with Manchester City for the Premier League title
In addition, the Anfield Stadium is nearing completion of an expansion that is expected to add 3,000 seats to the top floor of the stands, which will have 610,000 fans poured into the stadium to cheer on the team. Anfield, who is 'full', will also become Liverpool's '12th'.
With five games to play before Manchester City, including the Carabao Cup final against Chelsea, the FA Cup against Southampton and three Premier League games (Brentford, Luton, Nottingham Forest), Liverpool have a relatively easy schedule and it will not be difficult to bite Manchester City.
Manchester City, on the other hand, have seven games waiting for them before going to Anfield. Not only will you have to play the two legs of the Champions League 1 8 final against Copenhagen, but you will also have to face the challenges of Chelsea and Manchester United in the Premier League. Especially in the first week of March, the Manchester derby (March 2), the second leg of the Champions League 1 8 final (March 7), and the battle against Liverpool on Tianwang Mountain (March 10) were played in eight consecutive days, and the schedule was very dangerous.
If home advantage and schedule advantage don't help Liverpool win Manchester City, there is another statistic that supports the Reds' victory: Liverpool have won 13, drawn 6 and lost 1 of the last 20 Premier League meetings between the two sides at Anfield, and the only time they lost at home to Manchester City was in the 2020 2021 season without fans.
In the case of La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1 titles, the Premier League title race between Liverpool and Manchester City has become one of the few highlights of the top five European leagues, and it is also one of the hot topics that the Premier League keeps paying attention to.
Manchester City, who have won the Premier League three times in a row, have no doubt about their quality, they are one of the best teams in the Premier League and even in Europe. If Liverpool want to regain the Premier League title, they must not only learn the lessons of last season's Arsenal, but Anfield on March 10 is a game that must be won!