In the past, Tianhe Xinpan has always been regarded as a "giant panda"-like existence.
However, in the past two years, Guangzhou has adjusted the direction of land supply, reduced the land supply in the peripheral areas and increased the land supply in the central area.
Tianhe has not only become no longer scarce, but has become the "king of involution", and the number of new projects has surged.
According to incomplete statistics, in 2024, Tianhe will have more than 20 new disks!
A big war is about to ring!
As we all know, the property market in Guangzhou was not very good last year, and developers also slowed down the speed of land acquisition.
Therefore, Guangzhou has sent the best players to appear many times, using Tianhe's high-quality residential land to bring prosperity to the land market.
According to CRIC data, in 2023, there will be 9 residential land transactions in Tianhe District, with a transaction area of 103770,000 yuan, which is the only area in the city with a residential land transaction scale of more than one million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 98%.
Yuancun plot, Tianhe plum garden plot, Jishancang plot, World Grand View plot, etc. are all high-quality residential land in Tianhe that were successfully sold last year.
The number of residential land transactions has increased, and the number of new houses in Tianhe will also be followed in 2023.
Last year, Tianhe had a total of 4,986 new houses, although it was not in the forefront of the city's 11 districts, but the supply-demand ratio was as high as 182, ranking second in the city.
Looking at the long term, it can be found that the number of new houses in Tianhe has been increasing year by year in the past five years. Especially last year, the number of new houses was nearly 38% year-on-year.
However, on the demand side, although the transaction of new houses in Tianhe will recover in 2023, it will be significantly weaker than in 2020-2021.
In the short term, the demand for housing has not kept up, so the supply and demand are relatively high, and there is a situation where supply exceeds demand.
However, before the Spring Festival this year, Guangzhou relaxed the purchase restrictions for the second time.
Sell and buy. 1. Favorable policies such as "rent-one-buy-one", and the purchase of more than 120 units will no longer be restricted, which will promote the improvement of demand to enter the market in a timely manner.
The new projects recently launched by Tianhe are basically high-end projects, and Guangzhou's latest purchase restriction policy will help Tianhe digest inventory.
As the "leading big brother" in Guangzhou, Tianhe has always been the most preferred area for improvement customers.
Therefore, the new projects in Tianhe District are basically large-scale products, and most of them can knock on the sugar of "no limit on the purchase of more than 120 units".
According to incomplete statistics, there are currently 17 projects in Tianhe with more than 120 units, and the competition is very fierce.
This is not over, recently the Guangzhou Planning Bureau announced the pre-approval announcement of the control regulations of many plots in Tianhe, and a number of residential land will be added.
If it can be successfully listed in the future, Tianhe will have more "contestants" to enter, and the competition will become more and more fierce.
In the past, as soon as a new disk came out in Tianhe, it would be labeled as "scarce".
Buyers don't have a choice, and in the past few years, Tianhe's new properties are not worried about selling.
At that time, there was also a popular saying solgan: "It's Tianhe, just buy it!" ”
But now that the amount has come up, buyers are gradually rational, only the location is not enough, and the new projects in Tianhe have to be rolled up.
Like Yuexiu Guanyue, which is ready to open during the Lantern Festival, the highest utility rate reaches 117%, and it is also equipped with an independent elevator room, with a building area of about 140 units like a large flat floor of 160+.
Moreover, the design of the public area of the project is very careful, and tens of millions of dollars are spent to build the lake area, and you can enjoy the park facilities in the community.
A real picture of Yuexiu Guanyue Lake.
In addition to volume products, there are also volume **.
The day before yesterday, China Resources, which won the second phase of the Jishancang plot, flowed out the latest**, Tianhe Run Mansion can buy a south-facing third house from 4.99 million, with a utility rate of over 100%.
Renderings of China Resources Land Tianhe Runfu.
Each new project is wrestling in secret, giving away a little more area, improving the supporting facilities, and discounting a little more.
A silent war of gunpowder has begun.
There is also a group of innocent victims in the "involution" of the new market, that is, second-hand owners who want to sell their houses.
Especially in Tianhedong, new projects are pouring out one after another, and the second-hand owners are even more miserable.
Among them, the owners of the milk factory were the first to be affected.
Gemdale Tianhe Mansion sold two sets of units with a construction area of about 80+ last month, and the unit price is only 5.
And the same house type, during 2020-2021, there is no problem at all to sell for 6-70,000 yuan.
The two owners who will sell in 2024 have not yet had "full five" real estate certificates, which happened to be the peak period.
After a few years, housing prices have fallen instead of rising, and they have to be attached to mortgage interest, decoration costs, etc.
China Resources Tianhe traded a set of units at a price of 5 in JanuaryThe small three-bedroom unit of 770,000 yuan is directly hit back to three or four years ago.
To tell the truth, second-hand houses are not comparable to new houses in terms of products.
In the past few years, the real estate rate was basically only about 8 percent, and now it is as high as 100%, or even 110%, and the use area of the same building area is about 20 square meters.
There are also large balconies, high traffic standards, independent elevator halls and other plus points, no matter which point, the new products are better than the old ones.
Therefore, if you can't fight for hardware, you can only fight for **, and price reduction for transaction will become the mainstream.
In 2024, when new projects emerge in the collection, the owners of second-hand houses in Tianhe will also be forced to join this silent gunpowder war.