We now have to think about the worst situation on the Korean peninsula.
The essence of North Korea's imminent action is because it has been inspired by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, because before the Russia-Ukraine conflict, NATO's arming of Ukraine made Russia very vigilant. And both the Russian military and Putin have expressed their dissatisfaction and warnings on many occasions, but NATO has turned a deaf ear.
Just like before the July 7 Incident in Japan fully started the war of aggression against China, Japan had actually been preparing for the invasion of China. However, we have been passively defensive, and we have not been able to take the initiative to attack, giving Japan enough time to prepare for the invasion of China. Therefore, in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia's attack on Ukraine is that it does not want to give NATO enough time to arm Ukraine.
The same is true of North Korea now, and North Korea's saber-rattling posture is mainly due to the fact that in the past two months, the United States, Japan, and South Korea have become more and more frequent and dangerous in their actions against North Korea. First of all, in April 2023, Biden held talks with Yoon Suk-yeol at the White House to unify and increase the deployment of strategic assets on the Korean Peninsula, including strategic nuclear submarines. Secondly, on December 17, 2023, according to South Korean news, the US Navy's Virginia-class nuclear submarine "Missouri" sailed into the port of Busan, South Korea on the same day. Third, at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, the United States and South Korea held a seven-day joint live-fire exercise near the military demarcation line between the two Koreas, and the two sides invested a large amount of advanced offensive military equipment, including main battle tanks and armored vehicles.
This deterrence posture of the U.S. military is very similar to NATO's "boiled frog" type of arming by Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine conflict, that is, the United States always verbally says that it has no hostility towards North Korea and is not aimed at North Korea, but the continuous deployment and deterrence of the U.S. military has never stopped. So now, whether it is Russia, Iran or North Korea, these countries will not listen to the United States at all.
The biggest characteristic of the United States is to say one thing and do another, and it is also the same for us, on the one hand, it has to negotiate well, and on the other hand, it constantly issues new sanctions.
Therefore, North Korea's various actions after the New Year are a response to the provocations of the United States, Japan and South Korea. So, since the New Year, the crisis on the Korean Peninsula has spiraled. In the report released by the General Staff of the Korean People's Army on the 5th, the concepts of "nation" and "same ethnic group" have been deleted. Also on the 5th, the South Korean side said that the North Korean side fired about 200 coastal guns near the northern limit of the western waters of the peninsula that morning, and the South Korean army carried out sea fire to counteract. On the 7th, the DPRK army conducted live-fire training in four target areas in the southwest sea.
Then, on the 8th, the South Korean army announced that there was no longer a buffer zone between the two Koreas. Since then, another tense confrontation between the two Koreas has begun!
The tense situation between the DPRK and the ROK is very unfavorable to the United States.
We have said a lot before** that the current domestic situation in the United States is ** on the one hand, and on the other hand, it is deeply mired in the US debt crisis. Although Yellen said that the U.S. economy has achieved a soft landing, it is clear that the U.S. is overdrawing the credit of the dollar, overissuing dollars, and recklessly raising the interest rate on U.S. bonds to quench its thirst and alleviate the U.S. debt crisis.
We will find that despite the constant demands of the United States for Israel to stop the conflict and for Israeli troops to withdraw from Gaza. But now the situation in Palestine is no longer under Israel's control, as if there is a tacit agreement in the entire Middle East. It is to consume Israel, so although the Middle East countries have not officially intervened in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the various civilian armed forces they support continue to harass Israel, so that Israel cannot really calm down and develop. It is also difficult to end the conflict, and the Middle East wants to consume Israel and even the US military by biting more elephants at a time when the United States is in decline.
Did you find that now Russia does not seem to be in a hurry to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, because Ukraine's ability to fight back is very limited. As long as the conflict continues, the United States will have to need constant assistance to Ukraine. Because Ukraine's defeat slapped the United States in the face, and if Ukraine fails, who will dare to be America's gun in the future? This is a huge blow to the international image of the United States.
Now the same is true of North Korea, which has put on a posture of going to war, and South Korea is panicking, and the United States is even more panicked. The United States has always relied on deterrence and intimidation to demonstrate its hegemony. But if you really fight, you will find that the US military is so powerless. In the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States did not dare to directly send troops to the field. In the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States only sent an aircraft carrier battle group to twist and pinch in the Mediterranean. If there is a conflict on the Korean Peninsula, will the US military dare to end up? Could it be that it wants the Korean Peninsula to fight the Second War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea? The United States does not even dare to end up in a place like the Middle East, and he does not dare to borrow ten dares from him on the Korean Peninsula!
Now it is clear that if there is a conflict between North and South Korea, the United States will most likely send all kinds of knives to **! But North Korea has Russia behind it, as well as some regional powers. Will these countries allow North Korea to fail? Therefore, North Korea's opponent may be these well-equipped South Korean teams.
Now all kinds of propaganda have begun on the Internet, and the advanced level of technology and advanced equipment often determines the outcome of the battle. However, even so, the US military, which is technologically advanced and equipped, has not won any battles in modern times. When you meet on a narrow road, the brave wins! The fighting spirit of the DPRK, where all the people are soldiers, is obviously a few streets behind South Korea! Besides, the US military's military science and technology are only touted as advanced, and if they are really compared with China and Russia, there is a high probability that the US technology will not be enough.
Besides, with such a small territory as South Korea, simple crude rockets and heavy artillery can be easily covered! All it takes is the most primitive ** to paralyze South Korea! Therefore, if it really fights, South Korea will not be able to make any gains!