As the countdown to Taiwan enters the election, You Yinglong, chairman of the Taiwan Public Opinion Association, said that this election campaign may be the most difficult. Despite this, the previous poll data on the island showed that Lai Xiaopei "has a clear lead." However, this also means that the coming to power of the "double independence combination" may bring more hidden dangers to cross-strait peace. The mainland has made it clear that it will not interfere in the island's elections, but its stance on the "** issue" is firm. The China Maritime Safety Administration** issued a navigation warning that the People's Liberation Army (PLA) will conduct live firing in the waters of the East China Sea from January 8 to 9, during which ships will be prohibited from entering, according to a news release from the China Maritime Safety Administration**.
This military operation coincides with the upcoming elections on the island, and the PLA is conducting military exercises in the East China Sea, and the military exercises are located close to the Taiwan Strait, sending an extraordinary signal aimed at putting pressure on the authorities. Whether it is patrolling the Taiwan Strait with warships and planes or conducting actual combat exercises in the East China Sea, the initiative is in the hands of the mainland. No "** element or external force can change the general trend of the reunification of the motherland. The constant hype of the Taiwan authorities and their vigilance against the mainland's sounding balloon have revealed their nervousness and worries. Taiwan's defense department believes that although Chinese mainland's airborne balloons do not pose a direct military threat, they have certain military potential, and the mainland's main purpose may be to disrupt morale on the island.
At the same time, Taiwan's military think tank released a report analyzing the possible scenario of the People's Liberation Army attacking Taiwan. According to the report, if the mainland attacks Taiwan, the first wave of naval and air forces is expected to be about 50,000, but the PLA lacks experience in amphibious operations, coupled with the Taiwan military's active deployment of missiles and other military **, it will face certain risks. However, although the Taiwan authorities are still showing an arrogant posture, this is more like an attempt to cover up their worries and uneasiness. The Taiwan authorities have overestimated themselves and underestimated the strength of the PLA, and have developed an erroneous understanding. What needs to be clearly understood is that if the mainland is forced to choose force in the future, it will not choose a war of attrition and a protracted war, but will fight a quick victory. The mainland has a well-developed amphibious combat corps, and the scale is large enough to deal with the Taiwanese army.
Although the Taiwan authorities are proud of their missiles and other standards, not to mention how much combat capability they possess for the time being, they need to rely on US assistance to a great extent, and such a situation is not qualified to argue with the mainland at all. On the occasion of the PLA East China Sea exercise, the United States issued an urgent voice, calling on Chinese mainland to stop "exerting pressure" on the military, foreign affairs and economy of the Taiwan region. This move by the US side reveals its support for "** elements, and at the same time, it is also worried that the mainland side may "promote reunification by force." However, China's spokesperson Mao Ning made it clear that the Taiwan issue is purely China's internal affair and brooks no interference by any external forces, and the key to maintaining peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait lies in adhering to the one-China principle.
The mainland will reserve the option of taking all measures to thwart any form of "** conspiracy."