The situation in Ukraine has become clearer, and with the reduction of Western aid to Ukraine, Ukraine can only defend passively.
However, with Russia's firepower superiority, even if the Ukrainian army focuses on defense, it is still difficult to resist the Russian army's advance.
From Mariupol to **mut to Avdiivka, the Russian army played the role of attacking fortifications, and Ukraine did not hold it in the end.
Now we don't say that Ukraine's defeat is decided, but at the moment we don't see any possibility of victory for the Ukrainian army, even if the standard of victory is lowered to holding the existing territory.
And once Ukraine is defeated, it will trigger a series of chain reactions.
Previously, Russia had ** the West would carve up Ukraine together after Ukraine's defeat, and now some Hungarian politicians have set their sights on the westernmost state of Ukraine - Transcarpathia.
Torrotskoy Laszlo).
Hungarian politicians claim to be making claims to sovereignty
Torockay Laszlo, the leader of the Hungarian far-right party "Our Motherland" movement, said at a conference that if Ukraine loses its statehood due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the party will make a claim to the western part of Ukraine, where 150,000 ethnic Hungarians live, according to Reference News.
The western region of Ukraine here refers specifically to Transcarpathia.
Historically, the region changed hands several times, originally under the Austro-Hungarian Empire, as part of the Kingdom of Hungary, then occupied by Romania, then joined Czechoslovakia, then became independent by Nazi Germany, then returned to Hungary, then was incorporated into the Soviet Union, and after the collapse of the Soviet Union, it was part of Ukraine.
Now some Hungarian politicians have set their sights on this place, and if Ukraine ceases to be a state, Hungary will unite Transcarpathia.
Transcarpathia).
Ukraine has a lot of disputed territories
Many territories within Ukraine are disputed, and the ownership of both the east and west sides is historically very confusing.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the territorial division was relatively clear, but now more than thirty years have passed since the collapse of the Soviet Union.
If Ukraine is able to maintain its territorial integrity, there should be no problems in these disputed areas.
But Ukraine has been at war since it was messed up by the West.
The conflict in eastern Ukraine has been going on for more than a decade, and Usi has been relatively stable, but this is based on the fact that Ukraine still continues to exist.
If Ukraine's statehood is not guaranteed, Poland, Hungary and other countries should have some ideas.
U** Zelensky).
Kyiv is resolutely not looking back
Now the most "cost-effective" approach for Ukraine should be to reach an agreement with Russia as soon as possible to end the war.
This will allow more territory and more Ukrainians to be kept.
Then let the Ukrainians return to their homes as soon as possible to rebuild, and ensure that Ukraine can continue to exist as a state.
As long as the war is over, there will not be much of a problem in the west of Ukraine.
However, the Kyiv authorities are determined to fight, which makes the future of Ukraine extremely uncertain.
The occurrence of a victory over Russia is very small, and there is a high probability that it will be defeated by Russia.
The consequences of defeat are not the same as those of voluntarily admitting defeat through peace talks.
Even if Ukraine's statehood can be preserved, Ukraine will no longer be able to defend itself against other countries.
Because Ukraine's economy collapsed, most Ukrainians fled abroad, and many died on the battlefield.
If the countries bordering the west want to take back the territory that once belonged to them, Ukraine simply cannot afford to cope.
When that time comes, Ukraine can only hope that Western countries will not worry about the territory of western Ukraine.