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Putin's surprise adversary, Nadezhdin, has launched a massive series of operations across Russia aimed at opposing the Russia-Ukraine conflict and calling for an immediate ceasefire and peace talks. More than 40 regions have now joined the anti-war wave, with more than 100,000 Russians signing in support of Nadezhdin's nomination. This powerful support force undoubtedly poses a great threat to the Putin regime.
1. The anti-war initiative has attracted national attention
Russia's candidate Nadezhddin announced via social media that he had collected 100,000 signatures, but he still hopes to collect at least another 5,000 signatures to ensure that the election process is made. At the same time, following a staunch anti-war stance, Najriddin became Putin's biggest opponent. Confronting the Kremlin, his success will change the pattern of Russia's **.
2. Difficulties in the examination of candidacy
According to Russia's electoral law, anyone who wants to participate in the ** election must pass the candidacy test. Self-nominating candidates is an even more daunting task, requiring registration of advocacy groups, collecting 100,000 or even 300,000 signatures, and adhering to signature limits in each region. Although Najriddin belongs to the "Citizens' Initiative Party", he is not in the top 5 of the party, and he still has to pass a difficult vetting process, which has led him to continue to actively collect more signatures.
3. Review turmoil: what the lessons of the past tell us
In last month's election, the anti-war candidate Dunzova was rejected on the grounds that "the campaign materials did not meet the standards". This incident became the best reference for Najriddin to continue collecting signatures. **The Election Commission will conduct a sample check of submitted signatures, and if more than 5% of the signatures are found to be "ineligible", it will result in the disqualification of the nominating candidate. Therefore, Najriddin's 100,000 signatures do not guarantee a smooth entry to the final round of elections.
In support of Nadezhdin, tens of thousands of Russians volunteered to sign and formed queues in more than 40 regions across Russia. The number has already exceeded 100,000, showing the strong demand for the anti-war cause among those who support Najriddin. This also increases the challenge facing Putin to a certain extent.
1. Putin's smooth road
As a self-nominated candidate, Putin needs to collect at least 300,000 signatures to qualify. However, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Putin had collected more than 2.5 million signatures in support. Putin's swift autograph collection is a testament to his strong backers, who seem to have no concern about his election.
2. The support of the party
In addition to self-nomination, direct party elections are also one of the ways to enter the final stage of the Russian ** elections. The top five parties can each nominate one candidate and are exempt from signatures. At present, the United Russia party, the largest party in the Russian Duma, unanimously supports Putin's candidacy. It is worth noting that several other opposition parties, such as the Russian Communist Party, the Just Russia - Patriots for Truth party, and the New People's Party, have expressed their support for Putin and have not nominated their own candidates for the time being. Therefore, Putin does not lack options in terms of partisan support.
Najriddin's strong rise may attract the attention of the Kremlin, and they have two options: one is to let Najriddin successfully pass the candidacy review and enter the final election; The second is to refuse to give him the opportunity to take on this challenge. Both options are reasonable and risky, and the Kremlin's decision will have an important impact on Putin's election.
It is also worth mentioning that back in October last year, Putin met with Nadezhddin and had a private conversation for almost an hour. Although the details of the conversation are unknown, it can be speculated that Putin may have long been aware of the possible threat to Najriddin.
In short, the rise of Najriddin became a major variable for Putin's regime. While he may not be able to pose a real threat to Putin, he represents the hearts and minds of the vast majority of anti-war Russians. In the face of this half-way opponent, the Kremlin's decision-making will become the key, determining whether Putin will smoothly enter the final ** election.
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