withNew Year's DayAfter that, the breeding unit gradually resumed the rhythm of slaughter, and it is expected that the number of pigs in the market will gradually increase. Currently in the first half of the yearHogs** Still relatively abundant, which has put some pressure on pig prices. However, at the end of the month, there may be a conventional shrinkage, and due to the impact of conventional pig disease in the early stage, some small and medium-sized breeding units will be slaughtered in advance, and there may be a certain pig source gap at that time, which has a certain supporting effect on pig prices. From the demand side, there is no positive impact on pig prices this month, so the overall support for pig prices may be relatively weak, only at the end of the month breeding units have begun to stock, the demand side will increase.
According to data from Tomorrow (January 9, 2024), the regionalHogsThe purchase price of standard pigs in the market has been **. For example, the purchase price in Heilongjiang is 65-6.8 yuan catty, down from before;Jilin region is 67-6.8 yuan catty, also some**;Hebei region is 70-7.3 yuan catty, there is also a trend of **. Although the purchase price in some areas has been **, there are still some areas that remain stable, such as the purchase price in Jiangsu is 74-7.7 yuan catty, relatively stable. On the whole, the speed of terminal white strips is flat, and the slaughter volume of slaughtering enterprises has also declined. Superimposed on the previous large number of purchases, some companies began to encircle a part of pork, so today's intention to reduce prices is stronger, and more slaughtering companies choose to buy at low prices. Most of the breeding units are highly motivated, and the circulation of low-priced pigs in the market is relatively frequent, which has brought a certain impact to the market, and the farm can only passively reduce the price and reduce the inventory. As the supply increases, the demand decreases, and it is expected that pig prices may continue to decline in many places tomorrow.
withNew Year's DayAfter the festival, the breeding unit began to gradually return to the normal rhythm of slaughter, which meansHogsThe amount of ** will gradually increase. Over time, it is expected that the ** of pigs in the market will gradually increase. At present, the first half of the yearHogs** It is still relatively abundant, which puts some pressure on pig prices. Breeding units are actively slaughtered, and the source of pigs on the market is gradually increasing, especially some units with relatively large breeding scaleHogsThe amount of ** will gradually increase.
However, it is important to note that there may be a regular drawdown at the end of the month. On the one hand, due to the impact of conventional pig diseases, some small and medium-sized breeding units may be slaughtered in advance, resulting in a gap in pig source. On the other hand, since the end of the month is the peak period for stocking before the Lunar New Year, breeding units may be stocking up one after another, which may also lead to a decrease in pig sources. At the end of the month, there may be a certain gap in the pig source, which has a certain supporting effect on pig prices. Breeding units are actively stocking, the source of pigs in the market is reduced, and the market is relatively tight, which may have a certain supporting effect on pig prices.
From the demand side, there were no obvious bullish support factors throughout the month. There are no major festivals or factors that have contributed to the increase in demand, so the support effect on pig prices may be relatively weak. In contrast, at the end of the month, the breeding units began to stock, and the demand side will increase relatively speaking, but the overall support for pig prices is limited.
It should be noted that the current pig price is still at a high level, and the cost pressure is greater for slaughtering companies and end consumers. Slaughterhouses are facing a decline in slaughter volume, and with the purchase of a large amount of pork before, some companies have begun to store pork pens. In this case, slaughtering companies have a strong intention to reduce the price of pigs, and are more inclined to choose low-price purchases. The breeding unit is facing higher inventory pressure, in order to reduce the inventory, have to reduce the slaughter**. The passive price reduction of farms has brought an impact on the market.
To sum up, the supply increases and the demand decreases, and it is expected that pig prices in many places may continue to decline in recent days. ** End gradual recovery,Hogs**Gradually increase, but there may be a regular shrinkage action at the end of the month,**There is a gap, which has a certain supporting effect on pig prices. The demand side is relatively weak, and the overall support for pig prices may be weak. The decline in slaughter volume of slaughtering enterprises, coupled with the previous large number of acquisitions, has increased the phenomenon of enterprises captive pork, and the intention to reduce prices is strong. The enthusiasm of the breeding unit is high, the low-price pig source in the market is frequently circulated, the market is impacted, and the farm passively reduces the price. On the whole, it is expected that pig prices may continue to decline in many places tomorrow.
In the current trend of pig prices, farmers need to arrange slaughter reasonably to avoid large-scale unsalable conditions. At the same time, slaughtering enterprises should flexibly purchase pork according to market conditions, control inventory, and avoid the risk of excessive storage. For end consumers, the current pork ** is higher, you can save moderately, choose the right time to buy. On the whole, the trend of pig prices in the future still needs to pay close attention to the changes in market supply and demand and policy regulation, reasonably respond to market risks, and maintain the stability and healthy development of the market.