**Last Friday really broke the bears' hearts, this kind of like, I tell you the rules, you tell me the same way, we follow the direction of the fundamentals and the technical indicators, ** don't care about anything, go straight up, really Bengbu lived. But this situation is not unusual.
In the previous article, we have analyzed the fundamentals, and the direction is clear.
First of all, the descending parallel channel we talked about last week quickly returned to the parallel channel after breaking through the upper band last Thursday, so this descending parallel channel is still effective. A wave of inexplicable surge on Friday night also broke through the upper track again, and opened lower as soon as the market opened this morning, and quickly covered it in the same hour, followed by a ** trend, so in the current position we want to be bearish, we need to see him first break through the upper track of the parallel channel, which is the position of 2026, followed by the middle track of 2021.
It is still the **one-hour level, from the lowest level of 1984 on the fifth day of the Lunar New Year** trend line, the white session on Friday has fallen below this trend line, and was made up by an unknown mysterious force, so if we are short in the direction of fundamental information, it is also necessary to see him break through the **trend line below, which is currently about 2026 2027.
The four-hour level, the division from the 1984 position on the fifth day of the Lunar New Year to the highest point of 2041 on Friday, everyone pay attention to 0The position of 236 is just 2027, and it is about the position of the 2020 small mark below, 05 is about the position of 2013, that is, the key support level that we have been talking about last week, including today's live broadcast, it can be seen that this ** segment is still relatively standard, and the key points are right.
We know that in addition to looking at the technical and fundamentals, we also need to look at an indicator that is the dollar index, so let's see, the U.S. index 1-hour level of this descending parallel channel channel last Thursday, the U.S. index fell to a minimum of 103432, the lower rail of this descending channel was pierced below, but the entity closed line did not close below the lower rail, and then there was another wave of **, and then so far it is back within this descending parallel channel, so in this case, if the change is relatively large tonight, he will either break through the upper rail upwards, or fall below the middle rail again, then let's see, the middle rail in this position is actually about the same as the lowest level last Thursday, So if he continues to break down, it is necessary to break through a middle track and then break through a new low last time, which is obviously more difficult, so on the contrary, we just fall below the upper track and then rush back again, but it is relatively simple.
In addition to the expectation of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England that we talked about last week, there is also the impact of the US 10-year Treasury yield, so the European Central Bank and the Bank of England have begun to hawk, so the expectation of interest rate cuts has cooled down, so the current impact is relatively large, that is, the US 10-year Treasury yield, we said in the afternoon that his trend has begun to counterattack, so the probability of the US index ** is still relatively large, so the corresponding ** There is a high probability that it will be **.
To sum up, there are many times below the support of 2026 and 2027, then the support effect of this position is obvious, we are doing the 2035 empty, then the following first look at 2027, and then down is 2013.
Okay, today's ** trading ideas and direction are probably like this, if you have other questions, you can ask me in the comment area. **is changing, the strategy is also changing, want to know more** Follow me, non-stop updates on weekdays Real-time suggestions, for reference only, investment is risky, everyone see more comparison.