As 2024 approaches, uncertainty and complexity in the international political and economic sphere are increasing. A recent forum organized by the Institute of Chinese Economic Thought and Practice at Tsinghua University provided us with a platform to delve deeper into these critical issues. During the forum, Wang Fan, President of China Foreign Affairs University, made an in-depth analysis of a number of international events and put forward some controversial views.
First of all, Wang Fan pointed out the major mistakes of the 2023 economy** and the US election**. These errors reflect the uncertainty of the current international political and economic environment. In particular, the instability of the political situation in the United States has not only had a profound impact at home, but also brought important changes to the global economic and political landscape.
Regarding the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Wang Fan believes that this conflict may be eased before the United States. His view, based on a deep understanding of the international strategic landscape, argues that the United States does not want to completely weaken Russia, but wants to establish a balance of power in Europe. In addition, he pointed out that with events such as Wagner, the Russian regime has instead become more stable, and the United States may be more inclined to form a new Cold War pattern in Europe.
On the Chinese diplomatic front, Wang Fan emphasized the coexistence of opportunities and challenges. He pointed out that the United States poses new challenges to China in rebuilding rules and high-tech cooperation. At the same time, China's cooperation in Southeast Asia and Latin America is gaining momentum, but it also comes with new uncertainties and risks.
The outlook for China's economy in 2024 is heavily influenced by the international situation. From the political uncertainty of the United States, the trend of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, to China's global diplomatic challenges, the international environment is complex. Wang's analysis reveals a volatile and challenging global political and economic situation. Against this backdrop, every country needs to be flexible, and the need for international cooperation is highlighted. However, this analysis itself also contains uncertainties, and each ** is subject to change in response to new international dynamics. This requires us to maintain an open and flexible attitude in observing and analysing the international situation in order to adapt to the changing global environment.