Putin is unhappy with changing the position of France: where should the Russian-Ukrainian dispute go?
Introduction. Since 2022, the contradictions between Russia and Ukraine have been escalating. It is hoped that this conflict will subside quickly and thus bring new vitality to the world economy. However, there are doubts about whether Russia can win or end the war. Putin has already shown his goodwill, and he has already expressed several times his desire for a speedy solution to this war. But in reality, as soon as this battle began, it was difficult to stop. Even if Russia is sincere in negotiating, it will be all in vain if Ukraine and Western countries are unwilling to negotiate. Worse still, sudden events can have a serious impact on peace. As the Russian-Ukrainian talks came to a standstill, this plane crash has pushed the contradictions between the two sides to a new height.
The plane crash exacerbated the conflict.
On 24 January, an Il-76 plane crashed in Russia's Belgoro Oblast, leaving none of the 74 passengers on board. The most worrying thing is that the 65 Ukrainian prisoners of ** were transported this time, that is, the agreement on the exchange of prisoners has been lifted. This event will create a tension between Ukraine, Russia, the United States and Europe, and make the tension of this war rising. The accident also reminds people of the Bucha tragedy of 2022, which happened this year in its sensitive and significant sense. Unfortunately, the true circumstances of this incident remain a mystery.
Putin is outraged by the changing status of France.
On the evening of January 26, during a conversation with students of the American special forces, Putin made a major announcement about the plane crash. He mentioned that the intelligence services on the Ukrainian side had learned about the 65 Ukrainian prisoners on the transport plane and therefore launched the attack. Russia has opened an investigation into the matter and said it would make public the evidence. In addition, Putin also stressed that after conducting technical surveys on the ground, it was initially determined that the United States or European air defense systems, especially France, were responsible for the accident. The unequivocal ties between France and Russia were completely destroyed, and Putin gradually lost confidence in France.
France is changing, Russia is worried.
Recently, tensions between France and Russia have been triggered by a French missile attack on the hotel of mercenaries hired by 60 French mercenaries. Putin may be outraged by this, given that France is a member of NATO's P5 and is popular in Europe and the southern regions of the world. However, France's actions at this juncture have greatly disappointed Russia. Putin's views on France's Macron have also tended to be indifferent. Although France is still supporting Russia to a certain extent, if France completely falls to Ukraine, the outcome will be unpredictable. This tension threatens to prolong the Russia-Ukraine war for a longer period than Russia expects.
China treats Russia in a balanced manner.
China has adopted a balanced stance on the current Russia-Ukraine conflict. The Russian Foreign Minister praised China's balanced approach to Ukraine and praised China's role in resolving the crisis diplomatically. As a "great power in the East", China has taken an objective approach to the war in Ukraine, giving a fair assessment of the issue, as well as the role played by some major countries in the region, led by the United States. The above statement shows that China's firm attitude towards Ukraine has set an example for Russia.
Conclusion. In these troubled times, only true friendship can show its true value. At critical juncture, friendship and mutual trust will be put to the test. The contradictions between Russia and Ukraine have reached the point where Russia must be cautious. The changing role of France, coupled with the initiative of Ukraine, the United States, Europe and other countries, will seriously affect the course of this war. China's attitude towards this process will also have some positive impact on Russia. Although it is not yet clear when this war will end, we hope that the parties concerned will be able to reach a lasting peace through dialogue and diplomacy. The Russia-Ukraine dispute is not only a regional domestic struggle, but also a battle that focuses on international attention, and we should work together to make our own contribution to maintaining peace and stability in the international community.