The last round of oil price adjustment before the Spring Festival is coming! According to the domestic refined oil price adjustment mechanism, domestic oil prices will start a new round of price adjustment at the end of this month (24 o'clock on January 31). On January 26, the 7th working day in China referred to the ** rate of change of 306%, gasoline and diesel are expected to be raised by 130 yuan, which has broken through the red line of 50 yuan.
Based on the current increase, the domestic oil price will be increased by 010-0.11 liters, the owner wants to fill up a car with a fuel tank of 50 liters, it will cost 5-5 more$5. Recently, international oil prices have continued to rise, thereforeThis round of oil price hikes should be a high probability event. Since the beginning of this year, domestic oil prices have undergone two rounds of adjustments, respectively "one up and one down". After offsetting each other, domestic gasoline and diesel increased by 150 yuan and 140 yuan per ton respectively compared with the end of last year. Domestic refined oil prices have also increased slightly, and at present, 92 gasoline in most parts of the country is more than 76 yuan liters, 95 gasoline is generally in the "8 yuan era".
In terms of international oil prices, affected by market optimism, on January 26, the international *** as of the day **, the New York Mercantile Exchange delivered light *** 0 in March$65, closed at $78 per barrel01 USD, an increase of 084%；Brent *** same day **1$12, closed at $83 per barrel$55, an increase of 136%。
According to the calculation of the most active contract, the cumulative amount of U.S. oil this week is **627%, cloth oil this week**635%。Since the beginning of this year, U.S. oil and cloth oil have exceeded 8%.
The recent Red Sea crisis has continued to escalate. According to CCTV News, on January 26, local time, a British oil tanker caught fire after being attacked by Houthi forces while passing through the Red Sea. After that, the U.S. Command posted through social media that the U.S. military struck an anti-ship missile aimed at the Red Sea and ready to be launched by the Houthis and destroyed it.
Han Zhengji, an analyst at Jinlianchuang, said that in the short term, the market continues to pay attention to the impact of the Red Sea crisis and the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the disruption, although the escalation of tensions in the Red Sea and the wider Middle East may lead to disruption, but the current disruption is still sufficient. And with the gradual recovery of oil production in Libya's Shalala oil field and North Dakota in the United States, or hedge the expectation of supply disruption due to the geopolitical situation. In addition, the economic stimulus policy from China is positive for the oil market, and it is expected that the short-term international oil price may remain at the current relatively high level.
Longzhong Information believes that geopolitical tensions are still the main supporting force, so it is necessary to focus on the progress of the situation. OPEC will hold a new meeting next week, and the outlook for the meeting is positive. The negative factors are mainly manifested in the fact that the global economy is still improving slowly, and on the whole, the positive factors temporarily have the upper hand, and then oil prices may have the best space, and the center of gravity of oil prices will move up.
Source**: China** News.