At present, there are only 4 days left before the island's 2024 "**, and it is still unknown who will win the election in the end, and the mainland is also an inseparable topic, whether it is the Kuomintang or ***, they are hyping up the mainland topic to win votes.
The first is the KuomintangRecently, Zhao Shaokang directly called on the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, hoping to convey it to the Continental Army, asking the Continental Army aircraft not to appear near the so-called "middle line", especially during the election period. Obviously, Zhao Shaokang is just "putting on a show", first of all, there is no "middle line", and the actions of the PLA are reasonable and legal, and the Kuomintang has no right to interfere.
Just after Zhao Shaokang made his statement, Xiao Meiqin, the ** deputy candidate, also began to shout to the mainlandHe said that "the Continental Army planes are not welcome to interfere with the people on the island by means of threats."Then Xiao Meiqin shouted, "The whole world is affirming Taiwan, and we are already on the right path."
Obviously, Zhao and Xiao are ostensibly emphasizing the patrol of Taiwan by the Continental Army's aircraft, but in fact they are hyping up the "mainland's mediation" and exaggerating the tense atmosphere and gaining the support of the people on the island. However, as far as the mainland is concerned, if the island's "** activities do not stop, the mainland's military operations will not stop."
According to previous polls, ** Lai Qingde ranked first, the Kuomintang Hou Youyi followed, and Ke Wenzhe was at the bottom, so now is the struggle between blue and greenIt is still uncertain who will be elected in the end, but as far as the mainland is concerned, who will come to power between Hou and Lai, will it affect the process of cross-strait reunification?
For this issue,The British media "The Economist" also published an article to analyze, this time, "** is not only to elect the leader of the Taiwan region in the next four years, but also to determine which way the mainland chooses to solve the Taiwan Strait issue."
As mentioned in the article, the mainland has repeatedly stressed that the two sides of the strait will be reunified, and it is also more inclined to use a "more prudent" wayThe relative stability of the Taiwan Strait is mainly due to the "threat" of the United States against China to prevent the mainland from using force against Taiwan, and also includes the mainland's deterrence on the island.
Therefore, the article emphasizes that if Lai Qingde wins the election,In order to prevent Lai Qingde from taking radical action, the mainland may once again conduct a "military exercise to deter Taiwan" to prove its determination to realize cross-strait reunification, and at the same time, it will also make the people on the island clearly understand that choosing Lai Qingde means choosing to refuse to use peaceful means to achieve reunification.
Even if Hou Youyi has promised that communication with the mainland will gradually resume after taking office, Hou Youyi's essence is still no different from Lai Qingde, but they are all "** but in a different way."
British media believe thatAfter Lai Qingde came to power, the actions taken by the mainland may include: sending drones to fly over Taiwan Island, re-imposing tariffs on products imported from the mainland on the island, or even completely suspending the ECFA and ceasing concessions to Taiwan.
In fact, it can be seen from the recent polls that the probability of Lai Qingde winning the election is the largest, so the mainland will definitely prepare in advance, you knowLast week, the mainland began to take action to sanction five US industrial enterprises, all of which were involved in arms sales to Taiwan, and it can be seen that the mainland's attitude is very resolute, that is, to cut off the collusion between the United States and Taiwan and break the conspiracy of the Taiwan authorities to "resist reunification by force."
In this regard, Tsai Ing-wen also began to arrange "defense aftermaths," saying that Taiwan is developing "fifth-generation fighters" and unmanned aerial vehicles, but under the gap in military strength between the two sides of the strait, all efforts by the Taiwan authorities will only end in failure.
Recently, a think tank on the island released a reportHe said that once the mainland attacks Taiwan, the first batch of 50,000 PLA soldiers will land on the island, as well as 1,300 amphibious armored vehicles, and after the amphibious attack on Taiwan, it is bound to paralyze the command and control system of the Taiwan military with air and missile combat power.
In any case, cross-strait reunification is inevitable, and the mainland has increased its military strength in the Taiwan Strait, and yesterday again dispatched 10 sorties of military planes and 4 ** to carry out activities around Taiwan Island. Let's wait and see.