Expert: The Ukrainian army collapsed in Avdiivka faster than I expected

Mondo Education Updated on 2024-02-07

Ukrainian military expert Mikael Valtersson said on February 5 that the Ukrainian army in Avdiivka was about to be completely surrounded and collapsed. It was faster than I expected.

Avdiivka was almost completely surrounded and collapsed, faster than expected.

According to the Telegram "Military Summary" channel, over the past 24 hours, the Russian army has launched unimaginable attacks on the positions of the Ukrainian army using heavy **. The Russian Air Force used a record number of FAB bombs to weaken the defenses of the Ukrainian army so that the infantry units could continue to advance towards the central region of Avdiivka.

The Kyiv forces are almost out of control and unable to stabilize the front, and the worst is coming.

According to the "rvvoenkory" report, the Russian army broke through the defense line and penetrated deep into Avdiivka, approaching the "lifeline" of the Ukrainian army.

In the latest battles, the Russian army bypassed the Ukrainian fortifications, broke through the defense line of the Avdiivka quarry, broke into the city from the northeast, and successively seized positions and advanced during the offensive.

Avdiivka (5 February) battle map. Among them, Russia controls the pink part, the red arrow indicates the direction of its offensive, the pink area is the area just controlled by the Moscow forces, the yellow arrow indicates the direction of the retreat of the Ukrainian army, and the yellow line is the line of defense of the Kyiv forces (*photo: military summary)].

To the north of Avdiivka, Russian troops advanced along Sapronova and Lesya Ukrainka streets south of Ivushka, as well as two forest belts south of Vesyoly, and captured the rest of the Rainbow Garden.

Ukrainian military analysts have been talking about the critical situation of the Ukrainian army for the past two days: "The problem comes from the northeast. The Russian army captured part of the quarry and advanced to our fortifications in the west near the private sector. ”

This breakthrough means that the assault forces of the Russian army are only a few hundred meters away from the main logistical supply lines of the Ukrainian army," a well-known military analyst in Kyiv wrote on his Telegram page.

Avdiivka (5 February) battle map. Of these, Russia controls the brown part, the red and orange arrows indicate the direction of its offensive, and the dark brown area is the territory that Moscow's forces have just controlled. (*rvvoenkory)】

According to the report of the Ukrainian General Staff on the evening of February 5, with the support of the Air Force, the Russian army launched 38 attacks on the same day, of which 24 occurred near Novobakhmutovka and Avdiivka, and the other 14 occurred near Pervomaisky and Nevelsky.

Ukrainian military expert Mikael said on February 5 that Avdiivka was almost completely surrounded and collapsed. "Things are moving faster than I expected," he said.

The operation in the south of Avdiivka could be a way to induce the Ukrainian army to launch a more costly counterattack and withdraw its troops from the north. The situation is still unclear. But we know that the Ukrainian army withdrew from the area north of the lake as scheduled.

Russian troops are advancing and fighting along the entire northern flank of Avdiivka. It is important that the Russian assault forces are less than 800 meters away from the last supply line of the Ukrainian army in Avdiivka.

Russian media: Avdiivka may reproduce the scene of "** Mut meat grinder".

According to the Russian newspaper Pravda on February 6, in Avdiivka, Russian troops have crossed the railway bridge and are advancing along Sapronova and Lesiaukuka streets.

The split of Avdiivka in two is becoming clearer and clearer. If the Russian army does this, the Ukrainian defense line in Avdiivka will actually be divided into two isolated parts: the southeastern part, located between Zheleznodorozhny and the Kryerny trail, and the northwestern part, centered on Koksokhim.

At the same time, the Ukrainian army is aware of the seriousness of the situation, but will not rush to withdraw its troops even under the threat of encirclement.

Commentators believe that if this continues, Mutter, as Russia calls it "Artyomovsk meat grinder or slaughterhouse", will reappear.

Wen Liang Ishikawa.

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