Reading guide:In terms of this week's market,There are two biggest problems,One is "external trouble",The other is liquidity,Last weekend's plugging of the leakage is of course useful,But,This will also lead to some institutions to follow and make adjustments,Superimposed"External troubles"The objective existence,So there is a phenomenon of active selling amplification,And at this time, the active buying is shrinking compared with last week,So the adjustment has become inevitable,So,In fact, in recent weeks, there have been different degrees of sell-off every week with the emergence of news, Rather, it echoes the old saying: in a weak environment, any news can be interpreted as a negative ......
With the adjustment of two consecutive days, the major indices are very close to the previous low, and some even have new lows every day, but the core is not here, but in the CSI 500 1000, taking the CSI 1000 as an example, the second wave of snowballs that should be knocked in above 4900 points is almost there, but if it falls below 4900 points, then the third wave will appear, however, the amount of the third wave is very small, but the impact is objective, so the second half of the week is very critical.
Since July last year, we have seen the emergence of the bottom of the policy, before we said that the bottom of the market is usually later than the bottom of the policy about two months to come, even if the stamp duty reduction in August last year as a node, it has been more than four months now, so this round of the cycle is relatively long, we emphasized last week that the amount of replenishment has also failed, the interesting is to buy GJD, although these two days have also been performed, but compared to last week can be described as a small thing, several groups of visible data, foreign capital in the past two weeks ambiguous, GJD's buying has shrunk this week, but domestic institutions and financiers have not been idle.
Today has one of the biggest benefits, finally shrinking, so it is enough to confirm our view, in fact, compared with yesterday, the power of both buyers and sellers has been greatly reduced, but the buying order is not undertaken, and it is indeed easy to give people a false impression, one is that it seems that there is no other buying order except GJD; Second, it seems that GJD is also deliberately controlling the rhythm, washing the plate or getting lower chips? As said at noon, since you can't replenish the amount, let's continue to shrink the amount!
Let's take a look at the performance of the index, several major indices increased their adjustment efforts in the afternoon, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell 183%, and the 50 fell 379%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 24%, GEM fell 247%, so the motherboard is not strong, in other words, today's Chinese word prefix has stopped again on the basis of yesterday, which can only prove that today's GJD is not lifted, as for why, it may be the right ...... if it is really a wash
On the time-sharing chart, the Shanghai Composite Index opened low and lasted until 13About 30 points, and then *** failed to turn red, in fact, 10 in the morningAfter 43 points, there was also a time, compared with these two, we borrowed the time-sharing transaction of 300ETF to make a comparison, the same two points did appear intensive buying, but it can only be used as the power of the pallet, interestingly, the selling pressure after 14 points was amplified, and this phenomenon was reflected in the entire market.
The resonance of several major indices is obvious, so the rest of the indices will no longer be said separately, and the index level is without exception to the green disk, look at a few core data, the average stock price index **312%, which means that the median decline is more than the index, so the loss effect is more obvious, and at the same time, the Zhongzitou index fell by 211%, which means that no structure is immune today.
Specific to the industry, we have seen a phenomenon that has not been seen for a long time, the first-class industry has been wiped out, and the coal **09%, is already the smallest decline in the industry, electronics, media, real estate, light industry manufacturing and social services and other industries led the decline, but the decline did not exceed 4%, so there is no real sense of exclusivity, in other words, today's adjustment is not divided into each other, or called "rain and dew are evenly wet".
I mentioned the phenomenon that I haven't seen for a long time, just looking at the first-level industry is not enough to explain anything, just look at the concept of the subject matter to understand, three or four hundred theme concepts, none of them are red, fortunately, the ** level is not extreme to this part, in the same way, there is no phenomenon of a certain structure on the concept of a certain structure, compared to the previous days that fell by seven or eight points due to some news, it seems to be a lot better, but, this "rain and dew" type of fall, Presumably, the loss effect of most investors has increased by ......
1. The total turnover was 671.2 billion, and the volume shrank by 143.9 billion.
2. **5,007, with a decrease of more than 3%**3,054.
3. The outflow of main funds was 21.3 billion.
4. The inflow of foreign capital exceeded 1.7 billion, note, 14After 21 minutes, the outflow of 3.2 billion gradually and quickly returned and flowed in.
What do the numbers say? First of all, today's shrinkage, it is worth noting that the main capital has shrunk by about 10 billion, while foreign capital has increased a lot, so today's selling pressure is reduced compared with yesterday, but the problem is that today's overall decline is greater, which can only explain one point, today's buying has shrunk, we use the Chinese head index as an example, yesterday's turnover was 91.2 billion, and today it was only 79.9 billion, so both buyers and sellers have shrunk.
Secondly, foreign capital in the past two weeks is very ambiguous, wait-and-see is also accompanied by radical elements, but domestic capital is still the main force of selling pressure, this problem has been explained before, in addition, the financing balance has reached a new low, as of yesterday close to 1,527.9 billion, compared with 12 last yearThe high point on the 13th has decreased by 72 billion, and today's trend must continue to refresh the low, so the power of buyers and sellers is so uneven, and the continuity of buyer power has weakened significantly in fewer weeks.
Emphasizing that as most indices are approaching the second bottom, or even a new low, then technically there has been an overshoot again, so there may be an overshoot, there can be two ways, one is the low ** waiting for the indicator to get closer, but turning upward**, if you only look at the relationship between volume and price, one point to note on Wednesday is the location of the CSI 500 1000, theoretically, once the CSI 1000 falls below 4900 points, it may accelerate ...... again
The Shanghai index is still in the prediction of last weekend, the irregular "head and shoulders bottom" and the second dip of some indices are still possible, but this does not depend on the technology itself, but depends on the current liquidity, since December last year, the main selling pressure from foreign capital, domestic capital and financing customers, the past two weeks have become the latter two, and the market's buying can be seen is GJD, after last week's force, there is no action this week, so the adjustment is expected, because the current market needs to buy billions every day, Instead of buying 10 billion last week, buying 1 billion today, only the continuous volume of buying can make the market stop the decline, of course, if the level comes, it is estimated that the energy price will rise, the question is when will it come? Either stop and wait for the real market bottom to ......
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