As the Russia-Ukraine conflict approaches its second anniversary, let's look back on the past. Initially, Russia will shrink by 10 to 15 percent within a year, but Russia has shown resilience and counterattack beyond anyone's expectations. At the beginning of Western sanctions and isolation on Russia, the Russian economy declined only slightly, but gradually resumed growth after that. This is all thanks to India's important help. According to an analysis by the Finnish Energy and Clean Air Research Center, India has increased its oil purchases by more than 13 times, importing more than $37 billion of oil from Russia, filling the market gap caused by Western sanctions and bringing huge benefits to Russia. India, as a "second-tier dealer", skillfully uses the difference in oil prices to sell products to the West, and both sides are happy. India has also benefited economically from it, significantly reducing development costs and becoming one of the fastest growing countries in the world. The United States' response to India's move was to smile helplessly. This "blood transfusion" help is actually a win-win situation, providing Russia with energy foreign exchange and India with a development advantage.
Responding to the question of oil imports from Russia, Indian Foreign Minister S Jaishankar on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference firmly stated that he was smart enough to make choices and make decisions that benefit the country and the people. This tough statement surprised onlookers. Even in the face of criticism and pressure from Western countries, Jaishankar has shown India's tough stance. What's even more incredible is that when Jaishankar's statement fell, Blinken next to him only smiled bitterly, as if he was helpless about India's attitude. In India's chess game, the United States cannot control the situation, and India's intelligence and firmness make it an important ally of the United States in its "Indo-Pacific strategy". As for the United States, although it wants to challenge Russia, it attaches more importance to containing China, so the United States can only choose to acquiesce to India's wise decision. In this game, Blinken's wry smile is both a helplessness for strength and a tacit acquiescence to India's decision.
In the face of the complex situation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi made it clear at the Munich Security Conference that China will remain neutral, persuade and promote peace talks, and will not be lethal to the conflict. However, the EU does not seem to have learned the right direction, and instead pointed the finger at Chinese companies and tried to sanction China. The attitude of "bullying the weak and fearing the hard" will only lead the EU to ask for its own suffering. Foreign Minister Wang made it clear at the meeting that China advocates win-win cooperation rather than confrontation, and hopes that all countries can seek common interests and avoid losing more than they lose. This position fully demonstrates China's unwillingness to confront the EU and its willingness to seek a win-win situation through cooperation. If the EU can look at the situation rationally, change its own attitude, ease relations with China, and jointly seek development, it will certainly benefit the future development of both sides. For the EU, rational reflection is the way out of the predicament.
Within the United States, around 2024**, there are constant rumors. Regarding the physical condition and tenure of the current ** Biden, there is much concern. Deputy Harris even said that he was ready to take over the throne at any time, indicating the possibility of political change. In this trend, Haley, a former representative to the United Nations and a Republican, made a bold **, saying that the United States will welcome a woman**, which may be her or Harris. However, Haley's support in the Republican Party is far behind Trump's, and her election prospects are unpredictable. This kind of political hype may just be to accumulate political capital, and it is not yet known whether it can really ascend to the throne. In the honeypot of American politics, there are endless variables and anything is possible.
Through an in-depth analysis of the performance of India, the European Union, the United States and other countries in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and political struggle, we have seen the complex game and entanglement of interests between different countries. India's cleverness, the EU's mistakes, and the United States' helplessness demonstrate multiple considerations and confrontations in international politics. In the future, all countries should work together to seek win-win results, so as to jointly address global challenges and promote world peace and prosperity. In the political arena, it is unpredictable, and every choice will affect the future plan, let us wait and see to witness the changes and development of history.