When the market turns from a bear market to a bull market depends on many factorsChanges in the foreign environmentandThe domestic economy stabilized**is the key. fromHistorical experienceCome and see
When the domestic economy bottoms out at one time, A-shares often turn from a bear market to a bull market at one time.
When there are two bottoms in the domestic economy, A-shares usually usher in a bull market after two bottoms. The market is still divided on whether the second dip has been completed.
Can't be ignoredExternalfactorsimpact
In the global economic environment, the impact of external factors on the transformation of A-shares from a bear market to a bull market is still huge. China, as the world's second-largest economy, a global manufacturing hub and potentially the largest consumer market, is under intense scrutiny. Therefore, including:Russia-Ukraine conflictIsraeli-Palestinian conflictand the international situation changesHigh global inflationEconomic growth is slowingand other factors, which will have an important impact on the a** field.
ChinaInside the economyFaced definitelyChallenges
Export growth has slowed.
The real estate market is sluggish.
ButPositivesAlsoQuite prominent
Policy support has been strengthened.
Consumer demand is gradually released.
Scientific and technological innovation continues to advance.
Overall,Chinese economyAlthough facing downward pressure, butIt is still in the potential growth rangewithinandIt is expected to stabilize in the future**. Correspondingly, the A** field also has the potential to be upside. Here are some possibilitiesPromptedasharesfromBear-to-bull factors:
The domestic economy is stabilizing and recovering.
Favorable policies continue to be rolled out and implemented.
Increasing risk appetite in the market.
Inflow of foreign capital. The impact of international hotspot conflicts on the global ** chain has been alleviated. For example, the Russia-Ukraine and Palestinian-Israeli conflicts are likely to increase upward pressure on production costs (e.g. energy**).
My personal view is that there are still investment opportunities in the A** market, and China's economy is expected to usher in a stable recovery in 2024. While we may see investment opportunities in some sectors, the likelihood of an overall bull market is relatively low. Therefore, investors should be more cautious when considering sectors.
It should be noted thata**The market may still be volatile in the short term, and investors should invest cautiously. However, in the long run, investing in China is our hope. Choose a high-quality leading companyHigh-quality leading companies have strong anti-risk ability and profitabilityIt is the best choice for long-term investment
Is the A-share bull market coming?
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Risk WarningThe views expressed in this article are personal and do not constitute any investment advice. Investors do so at their own risk.