**: Zhan Hao
The United States "spreads" Putin and tries to divide China and Russia!
In today's world, it is the "3+1" game pattern. "3" refers to the three chess players of China, the United States and Russia, and "1" refers to the European Union. Before the European debt crisis, the global game pattern was actually a big quadrangular pattern, and the reason why the European debt crisis evolved into "3+1" is due to two reasons: one is that the United States used the European debt crisis to dry up the European Union; The other is that former British Prime Minister David Cameron played Brexit and went off target, and was finally used by the United States to take advantage of the European Union.
Of course, an EU with divergent interests can no longer sit at the same table with China, the United States and Russia to "eat", but the economic size and geographical location of the EU determine its value, so although China, the United States and Russia are three chess players, the EU still needs to be regarded as a pole in the global game. To put it bluntly, his influence is not extreme enough, but his value still has a decisive role.
China, the United States and Russia, China and Russia have long joined forces, which is equivalent to two fights and one fight, so although the United States is still the strongest, it has gradually fallen behind, and has gradually lost its global hegemony in the past few years. The United States is no longer the global hegemon, but it is still the hegemon in some areas. The pattern of the game between China, the United States and Russia is that China and Russia join hands to fight the United States.
Historically, there were times when China and the Soviet Union used their hands to deal with the United States and the West, and the East and the West were balanced at that time, but the hegemony of the Soviet Union broke this pattern, and the final result was a break between China and the Soviet Union, the Soviet Union fell apart, and China struggled to develop. After entering the 21st century, Russia gradually understood after a tragic decade that it must join forces with China in order to protect itself, so China and Russia began to abandon their previous suspicions and join forces again. This time, China and Russia joined forces very closely, which eventually made the United States more and more uncomfortable and broke American hegemony.
Against this background, the United States has always had a desire to undermine Sino-Russian cooperative relations, but one is that the United States is a bogeyman within the United States, and the other is that the United States strength no longer allows it to deal with China and Russia at the same time.
For the United States, it is difficult to deal with both China and Russia. Putting aside the all-out hard bargain between Russia and China, the consequences will be very serious, because Russia and the EU will frantically expand their interests behind the scenes, and once they join forces, the United States will not only lose its hegemony, but may also lose. You only have to look at the pattern after the United States began to return to the Asia-Pacific region, the European Union immediately wanted to expand in North Africa, and then Russia intervened militarily in the Middle East. Drop China and go all out to Russia? Looking at the Russian-Ukrainian war, the United States has not let go of China at all, but it has done its best to kill Russia, and the result is that now the United States is stuck in the quagmire of war and cannot extricate itself. Choosing to play with China and Russia at the same time, and the strength does not allow it, is the current state.
What about the United States? Therefore, in order to maintain its hegemony, the United States has relied on rumors to smear China and divide China and Russia in order to achieve its own goals, but its means are too clumsy. No, just now the United States is here again.
Reuters previously reported that Russia's Putin had proposed a ceasefire in Ukraine to the United States through an intermediary, but the United States refused. How true is this kind of news? Let's break it down.
In the first half of last year, former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger tentatively proposed to Russia that the United States and Russia reach an agreement on the Ukraine crisis, on the condition that Russia could retain the territory of Ukraine it now occupies, but promised Ukraine to join NATO. As a result, Russia ignored this proposal. At that time, it was still when the United States frantically aided Ukraine and Zelensky announced that he would launch a big counterattack. Now, the United States and the West are no longer able to support Ukraine militarily, and Russia itself not only has a military industry that has grown several times, but also has been blessed by North Korea.
Therefore, the news sent by the United States through Reuters is actually not only a rumor of "wishful thinking", but also an attempt to divide Sino-Russian relations. Russia immediately denied this. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov responded: "No, it's not true. ”
So, what exactly is the truth? There are two possibilities: one is that Putin does not have such a proposal at all, which is more likely (because Putin has already released a signal in his exclusive interview); The other is that Putin does have a certain possibility of proposing to the United States, but only to mention a ceasefire, and absolutely not allow Ukraine to join NATO. If it is the latter, it is Putin's false shot, but it is nothing more than a test of the United States to see how determined the United States is to assist Ukraine, nothing more. Obviously, Biden will definitely not agree to Putin's proposal, but it cannot be ruled out that Putin wants to leave traces in the White House and wait for Trump to come to power before negotiating.
Regarding this, we can see that in an exclusive interview broadcast on February 8, Putin said that although Russia has not yet achieved its military goals in Ukraine, if the United States stops military aid to Kyiv, Russia will consider negotiations. And this statement was rejected by the White House the next day.
Therefore, from China's point of view, since Putin recently accepted an exclusive interview with the famous American host Carlson, the United States took the opportunity to spread rumors and try to divide China and Russia, which is the real purpose of the United States. However, from Russia's point of view, if Trump comes to power, he may want the Ukraine crisis to enter a state of "truce". This so-called "truce" is definitely not the current state, but as Russia continues to expand westward and gain a certain advantage, Russia also hopes to gain a respite through a ceasefire. If there is no such advantage, isn't Putin's proposal for a ceasefire to give up the advantage on his own initiative?
Therefore, we must understand the intentions of the United States in this "rumor-mongering." At the same time, we must also be aware of the impact that Trump's inauguration may have on the Ukraine crisis, and we must make a good plan. Of course, our plan has actually begun, and China's top leader took the initiative to call Putin before the Spring Festival, and the meaning is also inside. However, no matter how much you toss, on the one hand, the relationship between China and Russia will not be shaken, and on the other hand, the relationship between the United States and Russia cannot be changed in essence, and China has many means at its disposal, and there is also a lot of space.
China's big game of chess has reached a critical step, and the Taiwan Strait and the peninsula are surging!
China's big game of chess has now reached a critical step!
The current situation is: on the one hand, there is a situation of easing relations between the United States and Russia, Trump and Putin have begun to test each other and release signals, once Trump is elected, although the relationship between the United States and Russia cannot be thawed, but it may be eased; On the other hand, the Islamic countries in the Middle East do not dare to unite against Israel at this stage, while the United States wants to quickly resolve the Palestinian-Israeli issue. If US-Russian relations ease and the Palestinian-Israeli issue enters the rhythm of the United States again, the United States will inevitably turn all its efforts to deal with China.
The United States now sees nothing more than three places to deal with China: the South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait, and the Korean Peninsula. The South China Sea is a provocation by the Philippines, the situation is controllable, and the variable is the newly elected foreign policy of Indonesia; The pattern of the Korean Peninsula is already very clear, Kim Jong-un's goal is to unify South Korea by force, so the pattern has been completed, and it is just a matter of Mars; In fact, the crisis in the Taiwan Strait has already emerged, and everyone should pay attention to the news that the so-called law enforcement boat on the Kinmen side just went so far as to chase the mainland fishing boat, resulting in the death of two people after the fishing boat capsized.
Why does such a thing happen in the New Year? It is the Taiwan authorities that have begun to test the mainland's bottom line and stepped up their provocations against the mainland, and the capsizing of the fishing boat and the death of two people are only a result of the actions of the Taiwan authorities. They may not want to cause deaths so quickly, but they have stepped up their provocations, and there must be US support behind them. To put it bluntly, both the United States and the Taiwan authorities want to hype up the crisis in the Taiwan Strait step by step, let China enter their command rhythm, provoke China's anger step by step, and then make unwise choices, stimulate the confrontation between China and the EU, and eventually trigger a new Cold War.
China is clear about the dangers involved, so everyone saw that the mainland social ** did not hype up this matter, but sent a message of strong condemnation. So, for the mainland, how to deal with this matter? This matter should not be taken lightly. If it is lighter, the provocations of the Taiwan authorities will become more and more serious, and the crisis in the Taiwan Strait will soon break out. If it is serious, the United States will take the opportunity to exaggerate it, and the crisis in the Taiwan Strait will soon break out. In the current situation, it is not a good idea.
So what to do? Zhan Hao believes that we should choose the way of cutting the sausage backwards, and use practical means to deal with it instead of stirring things up. How to cut sausages? The method is very simple: since Kinmen provokes first, then first confiscate Kinmen's law enforcement power, and use this matter to directly exercise actual control over the sea areas around Kinmen, which is nothing more than a matter of a few law enforcement ships.
Kinmen, just a few kilometers from Xiamen, even if it is to send a few small boats, plus drones, will completely abolish all the so-called "law enforcement" capabilities of Kinmen. We can solve the problem without much fanfare, and at the same time let the other party suffer internal injuries. Isn't your Taiwan a provocation? If you provoke a point, we will cut a section, collect a point of your strength, and those who come will not refuse. In this way, both the Taiwan authorities and the United States will lose money politically. If you want to do it, I will cut it, and if you continue to do this, the pressure will be on the other side, and the political loss will also be on the other side, and we will take the initiative. So, let's look at our actions next, we have come to this point, although every step will be cautious, but it is absolutely necessary to take the initiative at every step. What was the result of Little Japan's provocation in the Diaoyu Islands back then? What is the result of the Philippine provocation at Scarborough Shoal? Now, when it comes to the provocation of Taiwan Province, the result will be the same!
The big game, the big contest, the crisis is just around the corner, don't have a hot brain, you have to analyze rationally, and then go under the knife accurately! If we don't make a mistake, the next mistake will inevitably be the United States, because whether it is the Ukraine crisis or the Palestinian-Israeli conflict crisis in the Middle East, it will be more fatal than the Taiwan Strait, and we can't afford to wait! We have been waiting for more than half a century in the Taiwan Strait, and we are not short of the last bit of time. However, the Ukraine crisis and the Palestinian-Israeli crisis in the Middle East cannot afford to wait, and a major chemical reaction may occur at any time.
We must give full play to our great wisdom and wait for the United States to make a mistake while cutting the sausages of the United States and Taiwan! Just like the crisis of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict in the Middle East, the United States has made mistakes one after another, and now it is the strategic crisis of the United States and not China!