The conflict between Hamas and Israel took an unexpected turn when, after three days of large-scale attacks, Hamas announced that it had "achieved its goal" and was ready to negotiate a ceasefire with Israel, and said it was open to peace talks.
It's almost like a dramatic movie that leaves people stunned;
In my opinion, this operation of Hamas is like a phrase in the toilet: "Come and go, rush and leave"!
You have just been in full swing, and now you are talking about a ceasefire, it is too naïve for Israel....
What's more, Israel has mobilized 100,000 regular troops and 200,000 reservists, and you suddenly say "don't play", it doesn't seem that you have the final say.
The murderous aura of the "little bully of the Middle East" is already soaring, if the knife is not allowed to taste the blood, how can the Jews hang on to their face? Moreover, the money and aircraft carriers of the United States are already in place, and if they do not fight a happy war, they will not waste their own financiers in vain.
Therefore, the current trend of the conflict is no longer controlled by Hamas, the initiative has fallen into the hands of Israel, and it is difficult for a few hundred or so hostages to threaten this country that has repeatedly challenged the entire Middle East.
But let's be honest, Israel's performance in these three days is really disappointing, and if this is its true strength, then how did it win the Middle East war before?
Leaving aside for a moment how well Israel's forces responded to a surprise attack (which was actually poor), today we will only look at why Israel, which claims to have the world's best intelligence agencies, knew nothing about Hamas's big operation.
Israel's intelligence agencies In our impression, Israel's intelligence agencies are very famous in the world, and the Mossad is comparable to the United States' ** intelligence agency, Britain's MI6 and the disintegrated Soviet KGB, this agency has more than 7,000 personnel, an annual budget of more than 2.7 billion US dollars, and is directly led by the Israeli prime minister.
The Mossad is known for hunting down overseas enemies, but it is also responsible for intelligence gathering, and its motto is "If you don't have a plan, your country will fail, and you will live in peace with your wit"!
In addition to the Mossad, Israel has at least three agencies that specialize in intelligence gathering, namely the Wehrmacht Military Intelligence Directorate, the Israel Intelligence Directorate Shinbet (also known as Shabak), and the National Police's Matam;
The main task of AMAN is to collect military intelligence and prevent war and other hostile and terrorist activities;
One of Shinbet's responsibilities was to be responsible for intelligence gathering in the West Bank and Gaza Strip;
Although MATAM is an internal security agency, it is also responsible for gathering intelligence on "terrorist attacks" in response to the Palestinians.
Three of these four intelligence agencies are world-renowned, but before the Hamas attacks, these so-called intelligence systems were completely ineffective and became "blind" and "deaf"....
When the reporter asked Israel what was going on after the attack, they said to the world with a confused face:
We don't know how this happened....”
After the actual combat test of Hamas, the current Prime Minister Netanyahu has made an assessment of his intelligence agency:
This is a serious failure, and it turns out that our intelligence capabilities in Gaza are poor, very poor....
The spokesman of the Israeli army, Major General Hagari, also said:
Israel's intelligence agencies owe an account to the population, but it's too early to hold accountable, and our main job now is to fight, and then to investigate.
Even the United States** has raised the "soul torture", what exactly were Israeli intelligence agencies doing before the attack? Is it asleep?
So let's analyze why the Israeli intelligence agencies failed to accurately detect this unprecedented attack! There are several possible reasons for this:
One possibility is that Israeli intelligence agencies are already aware of Hamas's plan of action, but the Israeli top brass deliberately allowed Hamas to launch an attack as a pretext to completely eliminate Hamas and seize the Gaza Strip.
This is like the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor, a conscious sacrifice for a reasonable reason, of course, this is just my personal speculation.
Another possibility is that Israel's intelligence agencies have relied too much on technology and neglected the importance of human intelligence.
The scale of this attack by Hamas is huge, the power is amazing, and the impact is far-reaching, and it is impossible to plan such an operation without several months, not only to prepare ** ammunition, but also to conduct targeted training, coordinate multiple armed groups, and completely evade Israeli surveillance, which is very difficult in Gaza, where sensors are dense;
But Hamas did it, and why is that?
In the words of the former Israeli intelligence chief: Hamas has long mastered Israeli surveillance technology, and they perfectly circumvent our surveillance before every operation.
Since Israel does not have intelligence personnel on the ground in Gaza, their intelligence collection here mainly relies on surveillance systems on "fence" fences, drones in the air, and monitoring of the ** network;
Hamas's response to these surveillance measures, although simple, but very effective, is to return itself to the "Stone Age"; They do not use ** and networks for communication, and the troops are assembled in a dedicated security building, and evading daily surveillance is one of the essential skills of these militants who roam here all year round...
In addition, before the attack, the overall situation in the Gaza Strip was relatively stable, although there was occasional turmoil, and about 20,000 Palestinians were allowed to enter Israel to do some work, which also facilitated the early infiltration of Hamas into Israel.
Having a strong counter-reconnaissance capability, well-trained personnel, and meticulous planning are the keys to Hamas's successful surprise attack.
On the other hand, Israel's intelligence agencies rely on the high-tech surveillance system in their own hands, and the intelligence personnel have become accustomed to sitting in front of the computer screen to collect intelligence, and technology has replaced the grassroots work of spies and **, and in the end they have really become "blind" and "deaf"; Maybe these intelligence agents were still drinking coffee in their offices when Hamas went on a rampage?
In addition, prior to the raid, Israel's focus on the region was the West Bank, and the Gaza threat was deliberately downplayed; Because the West Bank is home to Netanyahu's main supporters, the safety of the "financiers" is more important than anything else...
Coupled with Netanyahu's unpopular judicial reforms, the whole of Israel is in turmoil, and the intelligence agencies have been diverted from it.