Moutai is one of the most famous liquor brands in China and one of the most expensive liquors in the world. Moutai's liquor has always attracted the attention of the market and consumers, especially the Zodiac liquor launched every year, which has become a popular collection and investment. This year is the Year of the Dragon in the lunar calendar, and Moutai has launched the Year of the Dragon zodiac wine, which is Long Mao. Longmao's ** soared all the way, from the pre-sale price of 2,499 yuan bottles to 7,000 yuan bottles, setting a record high for Zodiac wine. However, recently, Longmao's ** has been sharply **, once falling to 4100 yuan bottle, which has caused shock and heated discussions in the market. What is the reason for the fluctuation of Longmao? What will be the trend of Longmao? This article will analyze and answer for you.
According to the reporter of the Financial Associated Press, the batch price of Moutai Zodiac wine in the Year of the Dragon fell sharply today, and the batch price once fell from 6,000 yuan to about 4,100 yuan bottle. "Now (Long Mao) ** is unstable. Some dealers told reporters that ** may be related to the large number of Longmao starters. Some channel dealers revealed that dealers in individual regions have obtained quotas, and the initial volume is very large, but offline sales are not allowed for the time being. Xiaocai note: At present, the Year of the Dragon Moutai Zodiac Liquor is in the pre-sale stage, and it can only be purchased at the market guidance price of 2499 yuan bottles on i Moutai; January 7 total 501040,000 people subscribed, and 9,476 people successfully subscribed; Affected by supply and demand and arbitrage factors, Longmao ** was once fried to 7,000 yuan bottles, but the industry generally expected that Longmao would open high and go low.
From the above information, it can be seen that the main reasons for the fluctuation of Longmao ** are as follows:
Imbalance between supply and demand。The pre-sale volume of Longmao far exceeded the market demand, resulting in a situation of oversupply. Moreover, due to the subscription rules of i Moutai, many consumers cannot successfully subscribe to Longmao, and can only buy through other channels, which gives middlemen and scalpers an opportunity to raise Longmao's **. However, when dealers get a large number of quotas, but the market demand does not increase, there will be ****.
Market expectations。Longmao's ** has also been affected by market expectations. Since the Year of the Dragon is the first of the 12 zodiac signs, and the dragon is a symbol of China, many people think that the dragon grass will have a high collection value and appreciation space, so when the dragon Mao was first launched, there were many people who rushed to buy it, which promoted the dragon mao's ** However, as time went by, the enthusiasm of the market gradually cooled, and many people realized that the ** of the dragon mao has been ridiculously high, and the production and sales of Moutai have been strictly regulated by the state, and the ** in the future ** may not have much increase, and may even ** As a result, many people began to sell, which led to the *** of Long Mao
Market sentiment。Longmao's ** was also affected by market sentiment. Due to the volatility of Longmao, many people feel uncertain and worried about the trend of Longmao, therefore, it is easy to be affected by the wind and grass of the market, and once there is a fluctuation, it will trigger panic selling, which further exacerbates the trend. On the contrary, once there is a ****, it will trigger hype and chasing up, further pushing up the **of**.
So, what will be the trend of Longmao? We can analyze it from the following aspects:
Characteristics of Zodiac wine。Zodiac liquor is a series of products of Moutai, and every year a liquor corresponding to the zodiac of the year will be launched, and the number of each zodiac liquor is limited, and all of them have a certain collection value. Judging from historical data, the ** of Zodiac wine will generally go over time, especially some scarce Zodiac wine, such as Tiger Grass, Rabbit Grass, Snake Grass, etc., have high appreciation space. Therefore, in the long run, there is still a possibility of Longmao, as long as you have enough patience and confidence, you can wait for the rebound.
Market supply and demand。Market supply and demand are the most important factors affecting the market, as long as the supply and demand are balanced, the market will be stable. At present, the amount of dragon grass is still relatively sufficient, and it has not been fully put on the market, so there will be certain fluctuations. However, with the gradual decrease in the amount of Longmao, the demand in the market will not decrease, and will even increase, because many people will buy and give gifts during the Spring Festival, which will lead to a situation where supply exceeds demand, thus pushing up the ** of Longmao. Therefore, in the medium term, there is still a possibility of Longmao, as long as there are enough opportunities and funds, you can seize the low point and wait for the low.
Market expectations and sentiment。Market expectations and sentiment are the most volatile factors that affect **, they will change with the change of the market, and it is difficult**. Generally speaking, market expectations and sentiment are guided by the trend of ** and the news of the market, if **continue**, the market will form optimistic expectations and sentiment, and conversely, if **continue**, the market will form pessimistic expectations and emotions. Therefore, in the short term, Longmao's ** will still be affected by market expectations and sentiment, as long as there is enough sensitivity and judgment, you can adjust your strategy in time according to the changes in the market, and grasp the fluctuations of **.
In short, the Year of the Dragon Moutai Zodiac Liquor is a wine with collection value and investment value, and its ** is affected by many factors and will have certain fluctuations. We suggest that consumers and investors should have a clear mind when buying and selling Longmao, do not blindly follow the trend, do not covet huge profits, and make reasonable choices according to their actual situation and changes in the market. We also hope that Longmao can become a liquor that people love and respect, can inherit and promote Chinese culture, and can contribute to the development of Moutai and the prosperity of China's liquor industry.
In the Year of the Dragon, Moutai fell to 4,100 yuan per bottle