The two major families of the neighboring country have openly broken up, and China cannot watch the

Mondo History Updated on 2024-02-01

Marcos Marcos was once an anti-Japanese hero who did something for the economic development of the Philippines after he was first elected in 1965. As a result, he was re-elected in 1969. By the end of his second term in 1972, when he was not allowed to run for a third term according to the constitution, Marcos actually signed martial law to impose military control on the Philippines in order to implement long-term rule.

During Marcos's 21 years of rule in the Philippines, he engaged in crony capitalism, cronyism, and forcefully suppressed political opponents, and his personal assets increased from $30,000 before he became the first to $10 billion when he left the government.

Under Marcos's rule, the Philippines has a foreign debt of more than $20 billion, 70 percent of the population lives in poverty, and many girls are too poor to eat and are forced to become runaway women.

In 1986, Marcos, who was re-elected as ** fraudulently, encountered strong resistance from the Filipino people, and Philippine military generals staged a mutiny, forcing Marcos to flee to Hawaii and finally die in a foreign country.

36 years later, in 2022, Marcos' son Marcos Jr., with the support of then-Rodrigo Duterte, was elected as the sixth Marcos Sr. after the downfall. According to the current constitution of the Philippines, the term of office is six years and cannot be renewed.

The Marcos family's re-dominance of the Philippines is, of course, the result of electoral politics, and Marcos Jr.'s good fighting is an important reason for his family's comeback, and he uses two cards:

The first one, deliberately concealing the tyrannical side of the old Marcos when he was in office, trying to promote the economic glory of the old horse ruling the Philippines for 21 years, and at the same time doing more good deeds in the family location, the people who are dissatisfied with the reality actually miss the so-called ** era when the old horse ruled.

The second, in an alliance with the Duterte family, Duterte's daughter Sarah ran with Marcos Jr. as a deputy candidate, allowing Pony to attract the votes of a large number of middle- and lower-class voters, and finally let him be elected with a high vote.

However, after all, the pony is the son of the old horse, although the prince and general may not have a kind, but the father's legacy still shows its original form in him.

After Xiao Ma took office, he gradually betrayed Duterte's former ** in domestic affairs, and allowed anti-Du politicians to pursue Duterte's strong anti-drug practices during his tenure, and at the same time suppressed the pro-Du incumbents. However, the alliance between Marcos and Duterte lasted until Sunday.

On January 28, the two Madur families held a large-scale rally, and the pony held a rally in Manila to launch the "New Philippines" movement to seek public support for amending the constitution. The rally attracted about 400,000 people.

Duterte warned ponies at a rally of more than 40,000 people in Davao City: "You may repeat your father's fate." ”

Why did Lao Du say so much? It turns out that Pony seeks to amend the constitution for an important and ulterior purpose, which is to amend the non-re-election clause in the current constitution in order to prolong his rule in the Philippines.

Back then, Lao Ma just wanted to seek long-term rule in the Philippines, so he risked the world's condemnation to implement military management, and finally embarked on the road of no return. Lao Ma has five ** after the idea of extending his term, why did Xiao Ma think of one more term after only more than 1 year in power? It's the son of an old horse!

Lao Du's daughter and current deputy **Sarah has long been thinking about running for a new ** in 2028. Of course, more importantly, the Philippines' constitutional system will be undermined, which will eventually lead to economic development.

Sunday's two rallies mark the formal rupture of the Philippines' two major political families, and will the struggle between the elites be troublesome for ordinary Filipinos? Wei Lai didn't pay much attention. We are concerned about the impact of political changes in the Philippines on China-Philippines relations.

Xiaoma visited China soon after he came to power, which made people think that Sino-Philippine relations would be as smooth sailing as Lao Du was in office, but he did not expect that this new Philippine **, who had seen *** since childhood, would turn headlong to the United States after returning to China, in a vain attempt to realize the Philippines' ambitions in the South China Sea with extraterritorial forces.

Since the second half of last year, the Philippines has launched all-out provocations against China's Ren'ai Jiao and Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea, and has reined in its provocations after encountering strong counterattacks from China, claiming that it is willing to resolve disputes in the South China Sea through dialogue and consultation.

However, Xiaoma actually publicly congratulated Taiwan's ** elements on winning the election, and called it "**After being advised by China's *** spokesman Mao Ning to study more, Xiaoma made another 180-degree turn, saying that the Philippines adheres to the "one China" policy and Taiwan is a province of China.

At present, the South China Sea is relatively calm, China and the Philippines have also held a round of consultations in Shanghai, and China-Philippines relations have become slightly relaxed from the saber-rattling tension in the previous period, but the Philippines' practice of introducing foreign forces to give itself weight has not changed, and the fragility of China-Philippines relations can be imagined.

Under such circumstances, the rupture between the two major political families in the Philippines could further complicate Sino-Philippine relations.

At a rally last Sunday, Davao City Mayor Sebastian criticized Pony for opening four new military bases for the use of the US military.

After the formal breakup of the two families, the power of the pro-Du family in the Philippines may be further purged, the power of the deputy Sarah may also be further restricted, the influence of the Lao Du family on Philippine diplomacy will be further weakened, and the power of the Philippine friends of China may be weakened.

China has always advocated non-interference in the internal affairs of other countries, and the same is true for the Philippines. However, this does not prevent civil society from communicating. If the pony continues to play tricks on China in the future, we will be happy to see the pro-Du forces grow, so as to contain the pony and form heavy pressure from both inside and outside.

We should also look at the Philippine elections in four years' time, and think early to influence mainstream Philippine public opinion in a way that is acceptable to Filipino voters, such as increasing support for the Duterte family.

Of course, we must also prevent the formation of a situation in which the Philippines' ultra-anti-China faction profites from competing with each other and the Philippines' extreme anti-China faction, and the relevant parties concerned should seriously study the political development in the Philippines and strive for the country to once again embark on the road of friendship with China.

News**: Global Network, Xinhua News Agency, Philippine World**WeChat***

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