The corn decline is menacing, but the problem is not solved
Shandong grain farmers are worried about selling grain.
In China, as the main body of agricultural production, corn has become the main pillar of China's agricultural production. In recent years, grain prices in Shandong have continued to fall, causing peasant households to have a great psychological burden and anxiety in selling grain. The first position that I have seen on the market in the past is now out of reach. In the case of insufficient supply and insufficient demand, Shandong corn has continued to decline, and the purchase price of some enterprises has dropped to the heart price of more than 2,400 yuan per ton. This kind of ** overwhelmed the farmers, and at the same time caused a mess in the entire rural food market.
However, it's not entirely because of the need and needs, but also for emotional reasons. Although some grain buyers are persuading them to surrender, in practice, many peasant households will inevitably panic when they see that grain prices continue to fall. Farmers who do not have grain reserves look forward to buying cheap corn every day, but at the end of the day, they always feel that it has not yet reached the end and will fall again. Farmers who own grains say prices have bottomed out and are set to rise. This has created a huge psychological difference between buyers and sellers, and it is difficult to reach an agreement on the agreement, so the ** of corn continues to decline. In this case, if there is no other reason, the selling atmosphere will continue.
However, the first and best of Shandong corn do not have much effect on the supply and demand situation of the market. The reason is that the supply and demand situation of the corn market in Shandong has nothing to do with market demand, but is more driven by market demand. Although the current momentum is strong, it will be terminated as long as the company's sentiment is stable or grain stocks are declining. However, in the Northeast, the grain is a concern. Unlike the situation in Shandong, once the grain resources in the northeast are lost, it is difficult to recover. Especially in the Northeast region, large deep processing enterprises, because of their long production cycle, but also need to use more grains as raw materials, so they are very sensitive to the changes of corn. Although there is a certain impact on the grain market, it will also prompt an earlier start to stocks. With the start of consumption before the Spring Festival, the ** of corn is likely to stabilize.
The corn market will continue to face many challenges in the coming year.
Although during the Spring Festival, corn ** went all the way down, but people are more worried about the ** after the Spring Festival. The market of the previous year will definitely have some impact on the market this year. Before the Spring Festival, if the price reduction of corn cannot be large enough and the surplus cannot be solved in time, then next year's grain will be even tighter. What's more, after the end of the year, and then in March, the weather will become warmer, and the corn sowing area and yield will be significantly larger, which will increase the uncertainty factor.
Secondly, after the Spring Festival, the demand in the market is also worrying. As pig prices continue to fall before the Spring Festival, the traditional off-season consumption will be further weakened, and the impact on corn will be further increased. At present, due to the uncertainty of the domestic consumption situation, domestic corn will also be under greater pressure.
After all, before the Spring Festival, the mentality of ** is very complicated, and this year's ** is even more difficult to predict. There is no clear direction of development, so it is difficult to form a coherent response. On that dark road a year ago, they could have gone further, but after the New Year, they didn't know what to do. This uncertainty can make the market more chaotic, resulting in a large number of factors.
Summary: Outlook for next year's corn**.
Through the analysis of the trend of Shandong corn and the trend after the Spring Festival, the author has a certain view on the future trend of the grain market. First of all, in the current situation, farmers and relevant personnel must have a certain degree of rationality, and cannot be overly alarmed, nor can they blindly follow the trend. There are ups and downs, which are common, and to make a good decision, it is necessary to have a stable state of mind.
Second, pay close attention to changes in supply and demand. Although the price reduction of corn has had some impact on farmers, its actual effect on farmers is very small. Paying close attention to the condition of corn and understanding the dynamics of its consumption can help us better grasp the future.
Fourth, after the Spring Festival, we must have full vigilance and flexibility to deal with the uncertainties of the country. Due to the combination of various factors, the changes are very complex, therefore, enterprises must make appropriate adjustments according to the actual situation of the enterprise. On this basis, sufficient attention should be paid to this issue from the perspective of the state and enterprises, and corresponding policies should be formulated on this basis to protect the rights and interests of rural households.
In short, Shandong's grain is only a problem at present, not the most worrying problem. After this year, Hong Kong's situation will become more complex and full of challenges. Only in this way can we ensure a healthier and healthier environment for the development of farmers and all aspects of the country. Let's look forward to a vibrant and stable grain market.