After the Ukrainian army was captured by the Russian army in Avdeyevka, it caused widespread attention and discussion. This important town in Ukraine's Donetsk region, after a long two-year tug-of-war, finally fell into the pocket of the Russian army. The Russian army did not use any complex tactics or advanced **, but gradually broke the defense line of the Ukrainian army through the use of artillery, tanks and infantry.
However, the defeat of the Ukrainian army was not due to the fact that there were holes in their tactics or fortifications, but entirely due to the failure of Western countries and Zelensky** to provide sufficient ammunition, supplies and rotating troops. The Ukrainian army did not even shelter the wounded soldiers, nor did they bury the bodies in time, but fled the battlefield in a hurry.
The occurrence of such a tragic situation has made Ukraine's ** begin to reflect again, can they continue this war? According to a report by Ukrainska Pravda in mid-February, there are still about 10.55 million men of school age in Ukraine who can serve in the military. However, 26% of them live in areas already controlled by Russia, 25% are working, 13% are disabled, 11% are in service, and 11% have fled abroad. In addition, another 5% are business owners, i.e., owners of small or large businesses. The remaining 9% are vagrants who can be drafted into the army. Based on these data, it seems that Ukraine still has enough forces to form a large army. So, what about the real situation? Does Ukraine still have enough troops to be called upon?
Ukraine has not had an effective census since 2001, so the population situation has remained a mystery. Different data** show that the pre-war population of Ukraine was around 4300 million to 3Between 800 million. After the outbreak of the war, a large number of Ukrainians tried to flee abroad. By the end of 2023, only 24 million people may remain in Ukraine. However, the data of Ukrainska Pravda is based on a population of about 400 million, including those who have fled.
The female population of Ukraine is slightly larger than that of men. According to 2018 statistics, men make up 46% of the total population and women 54%. If you calculate on a population of about 400 million, there are about less than 19 million men in Ukraine. However, these males are distributed in different age groups.
According to the U.S. Intelligence Agency's World Situation, the 10.55 million men of working age are supposed to be between the ages of 20 and 60. This may also explain why a lot of middle-aged people, even gray-haired elderly people, are seen in the Ukrainian army.
Of these more than 10 million people, more than 1.1 million are already in service. This is consistent with the actual fighting situation in Ukraine. After all, Zelensky ** declared that this is a full-scale war, and the front between the two sides is indeed very long, and without having millions of troops, the Ukrainian side cannot effectively attack and defend.
What is really surprising, however, is the 13% of people with disabilities. In any country, people with disabilities have objective reasons for their existence, including illness, accidents, crimes, etc. But in normal society, the proportion of people with disabilities is usually not very high. Taking the statistics of 2020 as an example, the number of people receiving disability certificates in China accounts for less than 2 of the total population7%, and Ukraine was a relatively developed country before the war, and it is clear that such a high proportion of people with disabilities is affected by the war. As for how many of them were civilians injured in the fighting, and how many were injured after joining the army, Ukrainska Pravda did not provide statistics.
Another issue that Ukrainska Pravda is concerned about is the 950,000 homeless. For a country of about 400 million people, Ukraine is at war, where there are fighters on the front line and producers in the rear, and it does sound unreasonable that there will be 950,000 healthy men wandering around with nothing to do. These so-called vagrants are defined as people who do not work, do not pay taxes, and do not perform military service. How this figure was arrived at is indeed doubtful.
Before the war, Ukrainian industry was mainly found in the four eastern oblasts, while the central and western regions were mainly engaged in agriculture and related transport and service industries. When the war broke out, agricultural production could not continue in the affected areas. Many towns and villages have been destroyed by the fighting, and many have become homeless refugees. And today's Ukraine is unable to organize these people to produce to save themselves like the Soviet Union did back then.
Therefore, these 950,000 people are not actually jobless vagrants, but have no way out. It is undoubtedly very cruel to treat them as objects of military service. These people have lost their jobs and could now be caught on the battlefield at any time. If some of them are really forcibly enlisted, then a very sad fate awaits them. The power of the Ukrainian nation will be dealt a serious blow again.