Regarding the attack on a US military base last night, which killed 3 and injured 34, first of all, is the base where the hammer was hammered in Jordan or Syria? Jordan's public statement says it is not in its territory. The U.S. statement is ambiguous.
According to a large number of verifiable sources, the attack was carried out on Tamy Incident Base No. 22, known as al-Rukban because of the refugee camp of the same name located on the border of Syria and Jordan. While Jordan** has publicly denied that the attack took place on its territory, it is unlikely that any other facility fits the description.
The base has long been used by the United States to train fighters under its control called the Magha Virta group, who provide security services for Atanf, another U.S. military base in Syria. But that's not all there is to the base, in fact it has many more functions, such as the long-term presence of intelligence agents operating in Iran and Syria, so in the eyes of the Iranians, striking these bases can be multiplied.
The actual perpetrator of the strike is not really known, but there is no need to guess who it was - it was shortly after the strike"Iraqi Islamic Resistance Movement"Drone strikes were announced on a number of US military bases, including Al-Rukban and Tanf bases. As a result, 3 US soldiers were killed and 34 were injured.
The United States**, including Biden, has pledged a tough response to pro-Iranian groups in Iraq. What will be the reaction? It is worth noting that"Iraqi Islamic Resistance Movement"It is not so much an organization or movement as a large, coordinated anti-American and anti-Israeli united front united under the banner of Iran's "Fox of Resistance", under which various pro-Iranian groups such as Hashid al-Shabi, Katib-Allah, Harakaat Nujaba, and Asseb al-Haji coordinate joint military operations independently or under Iranian command.
There is no doubt that whether it is domestic political pressure or to gain face, the US military that suffered the most in this strike will definitely retaliate, but the target of the retaliation will definitely not be Iran itself, but it will be as has happened before - on January 4, in response to the attack on the US military base by Iraqi militias, the US Air Force launched an airstrike, killing one of the leaders of Harakat Nujaba, Mushtak Taleb al-Saidi.
The scale of the retaliation will not be too large, after all, the desperate Drifter has avoided a-for-tat fight with Iran in the Middle East, even if the retaliation is only aimed at Iran's glove.