Ma Ying-jeou's visit to the mainland failed to promote reunification and could only delay time
On March 27, Ma Ying-jeou embarked on a special journey on a private visit.
As for Ma Ying-jeou, a political figure, cross-strait politics is not highly evaluated. His poll performance in Taiwan is mediocre, and he has been marginalized within the Kuomintang and has weak influence.
On the mainland, he was criticized for sitting back and watching the ideological trend spread, and his policy of "no reunification, no independence, no armed force" was also regarded as "independence of Taiwan." Despite his recent visit to the mainland, the response has been lukewarm.
Some people think that his actions are just to make political capital, but as a politician, his actions are more out of his own interests and the limitations of his political ability, rather than real ** tendencies.
His political career was nearing the end, and he did not have enough ability and courage to stop the development of ** ideology, so he was not welcomed by all sides.
Original text: So, why is such an outdated mediocre politician still visiting the mainland now? What is the value of his visit to the mainland? First of all, the visit to the mainland itself should be said to be related to Ma Ying-jeou's personal political tendencies.
As mentioned earlier, Ma Ying-jeou personally still has a Chinese identity and Chinese feelings. In the past, when he was in power, he indulged ** out of political concerns, but this was not a consideration of his true personal feelings after all.
And now that the mainland has fallen to the freezing point, the process of mainland reunification is speeding up, whether it is out of personal feelings or based on avoiding swords and wars on both sides of the strait, Ma Ying-jeou hopes to ease the relationship and tension through his own behavior, which can be regarded as a manifestation of his Chinese identity.
So, how much practical value is Ma Ying-jeou's visit to the mainland? On this issue, first of all, it is very clear that it is certainly unrealistic to expect that his current visit to the mainland will have any effect in promoting reunification.
After all, when he was in office, he did nothing to promote reunification, and now that he has no power and his political influence is not as great as before, his behavior will not affect the political decision-making of the Taiwan authorities.
Moreover, the current situation on both sides of the strait is also very different from when he was in office; with the hostility between China and the United States, Taiwan has been tied to the anti-China chariot by the United States, and it has risen from a confrontation between the mainland and Taiwan to a confrontation between China and the United States.
To put it bluntly, in the current situation, Tsai Ing-wen still has to look to the United States, let alone Ma Ying-jeou? When the United States has become the direct opponent of the mainland's game against Taiwan, the impact of the political trend on the island has been very limited.
But Ma Ying-jeou is not without value. Although he certainly can't do it; Even blocking ** is powerless; But in terms of slowing down the progress, Ma Ying-jeou can still play a role.
After all, what will happen next after **, the Taiwanese are psychologically clear. Although subjectively they all agree with **, in real action, they dare not really turn ** into reality.
Even Tsai Ing-wen, although she actually promotes the first and relies on it to make political capital, she is actually unwilling to turn this matter into reality at once - after all, it means that she will have to eat guns in the next ten years.
However, in the current situation, it is not up to the people on the island to decide what to do next, and if the United States really wants to provoke trouble in the Taiwan Strait, the politicians and people on the island will not be able to stop it.
However, although it can't be blocked, it can still be done to some extent if it is blocked and delayed. And this is in the interests of the mainland. The situation has developed to this day, and everyone knows in their hearts that the mainland's reunification strategy has been accelerated, and the recovery of Taiwan within 10 years is a highly probable event.
But this does not mean that the mainland is willing to take action right away. Judging from the general trend of the Sino-US game, time is on our side. It is in China's best interest to delay it for a few more years, and when we are ready, we will start it again.
However, if Taiwan declares independence now, or if the US military is stationed on a large scale, then we have no choice but to start the reunification process ahead of schedule -- this is not in line with the principle of maximizing interests.
Therefore, if there is a way to slow down the progress of the showdown, the mainland will still be happy to see it. If it is based on this logic, then the outdated Ma Ying-jeou will have some value again.
Moreover, Ma Ying-jeou has a quality that no one else possesses - he may be the only mainstream political figure on the island that can be reluctantly recognized by both sides of the strait.
This is really not nonsense. As far as the mainland is concerned, of course, there are politicians on the island who are more regarded by themselves -- such as Hong Xiuzhu and Yu Muming of the New Party, but these people themselves do not have a high political status on the island, and they are unification factions with a clear-cut banner -- the mainland side likes it, but most people on the island are very disgusted by this, and they also subconsciously resist their words.
Ma Ying-jeou's attitude towards ** was not firm when he was in office, but his private identification with China was obvious. Although his political influence is outdated, it is still greater than that of other political figures such as Hong Xiuzhu.
For the people of Taiwan, although they support it emotionally, they also understand rationally that this is not realistic, so they hope to maintain peace between the two sides of the strait. In order to achieve peace, it is necessary to have political exchanges with the mainland.
The Kuomintang mainstream and the *** authorities could not play this role because their differences with the mainland were too stark. Although leftists such as Hong Xiuzhu are recognized by the mainland, the Taiwanese people have doubts about their identity as a red faction.
As a former leader, Ma Ying-jeou has sufficient political qualifications and has a private identification with China, which is accepted by the mainland, but will not make the Taiwanese people feel fearful like the reunification faction.
His moral character was also recognized, and he was regarded as a clear stream and a gentleman in the political field, which made him an ideal candidate for cross-strait communication. In general, Ma Ying-jeou is a suitable person for cross-strait communication with the Taiwanese people, and his moral character has also been recognized.
However, his political influence has expired, and the ultimate direction of ** does not depend on the attitude of the Taiwanese themselves, but on Sino-US relations. Still, Ma's private visit is of tactical significance and may buy more time for the mainland's reunification process in the future.
Therefore, his visit, although it cannot reverse the status quo, still has positive value.