I haven't reviewed it for a long time, mainly because the recent data has fluctuated very much, which has gone beyond the scope of normal technical analysis + data analysis, so the data can only show fluctuations, and the technology has no meaning, and it is all based on emotional catharsis. During the program, the rise and fall of the external market was basically in line with expectations, the US stocks rose more and rested, Hong Kong stocks and Nikkei were rising, and the safe-haven assets were still rising on the emotional side, so I think that the red envelope on Monday was stable, and the only question at present is, what will happen after the high opening on Monday?
Regardless of whether the index is high open high, or high open low, I think the structure still exists, so the good news during the holiday may still be in the market, for many good news, I think artificial intelligence may be more sustainable, since last year, we started to watch the growth of artificial intelligence from the language model, and now it has entered the ** model, and now the market value of an Nvidia is 179 trillion US dollars, which is already the market value of three Moutai, maybe the two sides can surpass the total market value of the entire A-share market with a little more effort, such a company is the direction sought after by funds, and the performance of the theme will be much better than other concepts. If I have to choose a pit among the many themes on Monday, I would rather be artificial intelligence, even if it is high and low, with the development of artificial intelligence, this kind of pit will be filled, but other marginal concepts are still difficult to say in A shares.
Finally, let's review the data analysis of the last trading day before the holiday: the Shanghai Composite Index rose 128%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 129%, the GEM index rose 116%, and northbound capital inflows of 58.3 billion, with a turnover of 101746.2 billion, the market median is 686%。The specific analysis is as follows:
Data analysis] 1. Overall data analysis: down 3%**126, up 3**3921, 517 entities up to the limit, 2 down on the same day, 9359 long force, 75 short force.
We can see from the data that the readings of buying power and selling power are very large, and the range of our usual research is 200-550, and then extended to 400-1000, for big ups and downs, it is obviously not the norm of the market, and there is no need to change the rhythm of a site because of such data in the market. Therefore, the current market is not the first market, nor is it a bull and bear market, it is an extremely unstable state, it can go up or down, and there is no difference between the size of the bet, which is why I have no data review recently, for this phenomenon, as long as it continues to appear, it means that the market has not officially gone well, and the medium-term strategy does not exist.[Generally, the reference value of ** city is 200-550 range, and the reference value of ** city value of strong structure is 400-1000 range].
2. **Reference: The overall mentality of the market is 93, which belongs to a high-level mentality, and the computer recommends that tomorrow [Note: not today] maintain a total ** 34 into.
3. In terms of hot spots, the number of the top 5 tuyeres is 13-45, and the main line tuyere: there is no main line for general rise. The core leader of the market is Kelai Electromechanical, with 6 daily limits and the concept of intelligent manufacturing.
4. Cycle analysis: From the perspective of the success rate of chasing the board, today's success rate is high, from the perspective of the first aspect, the yield of the fried board is high, the yield of the sealing board is high, the yield of high turnover is normal, and the yield on the list is extremely high (extremely high value), and the graph is horizontally wound with 4 intersection points, representing strong differences of opinion, strong leading stocks, or go.
You can see the picture to know, there are a lot of extreme values, either extremely high or very low, the key is that the extreme value will not be corrected immediately, it is obvious that the civil economy has been out of the category of data analysis, in the face of such a situation, I can only give the data and not the conclusion, because there is no conclusion! For extremes, my advice is to pay close attention to changes in the market, because it can reflect sentiment, and as long as sentiment is still a bullish signal, it is still safe to grab **. (If there has been a bull return, you should pay attention to the market risk first).5. Intraday main hot spot tracking: a total of 6 plate ** changes occurred ,-- plates continued, of which the - plate is a super strong plate.
Strong for three consecutive days for a strong sector, more than three days for a super strong sector].
09:35 Brokers--09:38 Semiconductors--09:43 Military--10:39 Medical Devices--11:12 Satellite Navigation--11:19 Automotive Industry Chain.
The main line of the market: there is no main line for general rise.
Brokers: CICC, China Galaxy, Huaxin, Pacific.
Semiconductors: NOVOSENSE, Fumanwei, Anlu Technology, Huafeng Measurement and Control.
Military industry: Guangqi Technology, CSSC Emergency, Hailanxin, Guorui Technology.
Medical devices: Melander, Hotgen Biotechnology, Zhende Medical, Mingde Biotechnology.
Satellite navigation: Xingwang Yuda, Haite High-tech, Kangda New Materials, Hangjin Technology.
Automobile industry chain: Weitang Industry, Lizhong Group, Wanfeng Aowei, Molding Technology.
end
Index view: From the statistical point of view, the computer believes that tomorrow ** slightly increased (data 2), the general rise has no main line, 6 times the plate ** change has - the plate has a continuation effect, no super strong plate (data) has been found, the success rate of the board is high, and the yield is higher. How should this data be viewed?
The current view is clear, as long as it is above the platform line, it is bullish, and below the platform line it is bearish.
I often say that don't be bullish below the plateau, and it seems that it is still applicable, because it does not stand on the nearest plateau, the Shanghai Composite Index is still bearish in the medium term. Don't look at the strength of the past three days, this trend has already appeared once in January, but it is clearly seen from the existing trend that it is useless (it belongs to the trend of the end of the reversal). Nevertheless, since the current is no longer within the scope of technical and data analysis, if the emotional tension can continue, maybe you can return to the platform line, and this is the time to be really bullish. That is, the current market risk has not been lifted, and if there is another adjustment, there is a possibility of re-weakening.
The recent emergence of ** on the GEM is mainly based on the continuous adjustment of 3 months, if there is no good news, in fact, such a ** can also appear. Such a ** depends on the momentum, once there is selling pressure, it is easy to return to the adjustment range, so all the ** under the platform line can be regarded as a reversal. Due to the rise of biotechnology during the festival, the gem is estimated to be able to carry out an attack, this time the attack must not be higher and fall, once it falls again, it is equivalent to confirming the effectiveness of the pre-holiday selling pressure, and the platform offline ** or will end. There is only the recovering platform line, and the subsequent ** is safe and operable.
Stream-saving mode popular version:The Shanghai Composite Index or the GEM, despite the relatively strong **, but it has not changed the pattern of Ruiyou, and it is necessary to continue to work hard to repair the platform line, only by standing on the platform line, the market will tend to stabilize, and the mid-line funds will re-enter the layout, otherwise it can only be regarded as a normal repair on the way. In terms of subject matter, the current market is not data-led, it belongs to the stage dominated by the emotional side, ** has a lot of impact on the hype of the theme, pay attention to emotional changes, which theme market sentiment response is high, which theme continues to take the lead in repairing the chance is greater.
Tips: 1. The above content is only a personal investment diary and does not have a guidance function.
2. The views are for reference only, and investors need to judge whether to follow the idea of operation.
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