Recently, the meeting of the ** Financial and Economic Committee emphasized "promoting the renewal of equipment and the trade-in of consumer goods". The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to promote the renewal and technological transformation of all kinds of production equipment and service equipment, and the replacement of equipment and consumer goods for new ones will effectively promote investment and consumption, which will benefit both the current and the long-term. After the new policy is promoted, it is expected to start a new manufacturing inventory cycle, and the manufacturing industry is expected to rebound.
The new large-scale technological transformation and equipment renewal will help accelerate the large-scale promotion of intelligent manufacturing, and intelligent equipment and intelligent products such as CNC machine tools and industrial robots will also usher in new development opportunities and broad growth space. It's worth paying attention to in the near future! The meeting highlighted two key points of work, the production equipment industry took the lead from the content of the meeting, large-scale equipment renewal and consumer goods trade-in issues, effectively reduce the logistics cost of the whole society, these two tasks each include three key points:
1.Large-scale equipment refresh and consumer goods trade-in:The first is to promote the renewal and technological transformation of various production equipment and service equipment. The second is to encourage traditional consumer goods such as automobiles and home appliances to trade in the old for the new, and promote the trade-in of durable consumer goods. The third is to promote large-scale recycling and strengthen the development of "new + ** logistics system and new models."
2.Reduce the logistics cost of the whole society:The first is to optimize the transportation structure, strengthen the "road to rail" and "road to water", deepen the reform of the comprehensive transportation system, and form a unified, efficient, competitive and orderly logistics market. The second is to optimize the main trunk channel, open up the blocking points, improve the modern trade circulation system, and encourage the development of new logistics models that combine with the platform economy, low-altitude economy, and unmanned driving. The third is to make overall plans for logistics hubs, optimize the construction of transportation infrastructure and the layout of major productive forces, and develop the airport economy and port economy.
This meeting, coupled with a series of recent policies such as new quality productivity, took the lead in driving the large-scale "change" of the intelligent manufacturing market. Boosted by multiple factors, the domestic market has a broad space for development
With the counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies, as well as the combination of active fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy, the economic fundamentals are expected to further recover, and the manufacturing industry is expected to continue to recover, driving the demand for upstream industrial machine tools. In the long run, high-end CNC machine tools and other scientific instruments are important tools to achieve scientific and technological innovation and technological progress, and play a key role in the process of achieving new quality productivity. From the perspective of the supply side, domestic substitution is the key to China's move towards a "manufacturing power", and the policy vigorously supports the continuous improvement of the numerical control rate, and the domestic substitution space is broad.
The country has formed the largest production and consumption market, and the development potential is huge
Since 2011, China has maintained its position as the world's number one producer and consumer of machine tools. From the perspective of the global machine tool supply market, according to the data of the German Machine Tool Manufacturers Association, the total output value of the global machine tool industry in 2020 was 57.8 billion euros, of which China accounted for 169With an output value of 500 million euros, it ranks first with a market share of 29%; It is followed by Germany and Japan, with an output value of 86 respectively600 million euros, 82€200 million, with a market share of 15% and 14%, respectively; From the perspective of the global machine tool demand market, the total consumption of the global machine tool industry in 2020 was 57.3 billion euros, of which China accounted for 186100 million euros in consumption, with a market share of 32%; This was followed by the United States and Germany with 66700 million euros and 45100 million euros, with market shares of 12% and 8%, respectively.
The development of high-end machine tools has achieved technological breakthroughs, and the market penetration rate needs to be improved
At present, China's CNC machine tool enterprises are mainly positioned in the low-end market, and the penetration rate of high-end products is still at a low level。According to relevant data, in 2018, the use rate of low-end CNC machine tools in China was %, and the localization rate of high-end CNC machine tools was only 6%, and there is still a large space for substitution of high-end CNC machine tools in the future with the promotion of policies. With the development of time, a number of high-quality enterprises have emerged in China's machine tool industry, and the gap between China and machine tool manufacturing powers is gradually decreasing.
In 2022, the scale of the domestic five-axis machine tool market will exceed 10 billion for the first time, and as long as the downstream demand driving force is strong enough, there will be a rapid growth rate and prospects for the machine tool industry. The large-scale replacement of production equipment is the driving force to expand demand, which can drive the rapid development of the machine tool industry chain. Upstream manufacturers of basic materials and components, midstream machine tool manufacturers and downstream end-users are expected to benefit from this round of policy promotion.
Upstream manufacturers of basic materials and components include machine tool manufacturers who provide structural parts (cast iron, steel, etc.), transmission systems (guide rails, lead screws, spindles, etc.), CNC systems, etc., and midstream is machine tool manufacturers, responsible for providing end users with a variety of machine tools and complete sets of integrated products that meet their requirements; The downstream is mainly automobiles, consumer electronics, aerospace, ships, construction machinery and other fields.
Investment Advice:
Recently, there are many positive factors in the industrial equipment industry, in addition to the benefits brought by the equipment update, the new quality of productivity and other factors are superimposed in the near future, and the industry is positive and positive under the joint promotion, and the positive factors of the market can be actively concerned in the near future.
It is recommended to pay attention to:Industrial machine tools, robots, emerging industrialization, general equipment, special equipment.
002008 Han's Laser.
301200 Han's CNC.
002747 Eston.
000988 Huagong Technology.
601399 SINOMACH reloaded.
601727 Shanghai Electric.
Risk Warning:
The market is risky, and investors need to be cautious. Shanghai Huizheng Financial Consultant is an investment consulting company approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, with a unified credit code of 91310107MA1G0KQW5N. This article is for investor education purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice, and investors act accordingly at their own risk. The information referred to in this article is accurate and reliable, but does not make any guarantee for its accuracy, completeness and timeliness, and does not assume any responsibility for all losses caused by investors' investment based on it.