After the year, the corn market ushered in a "stick"! The trend cannot be ignored
Although the fifth day of the Lunar New Year has not yet passed, usually after the fifth day of the Lunar New Year, people also begin to pack their bags and get ready to start working.
The corn market is certainly no exception.
In fact, strictly speaking, some deep processing enterprises began to open warehouses to collect grain from the third day of the new year, and then, until the ninth day of the new year, there are deep processing warehouses and grain collections one after another, so the corn market after the year has been pulled.
So the question is: what will the market for corn look like after the year?
The year before, there was a lot of speculation about the corn market after the year.
For example, some people believe that after the beginning of the year, corn may be going to **.
The reason is that the Spring Festival is relatively late this year, after the Spring Festival, basically until the end of February, the spring flowers bloom, the temperature rises, and the soil where the millet is located is a big test.
Last year's corn yield and income increase, the first pressure is high, it is very easy to cause grain concentration, thereby crushing the corn field.
As a result, bearish sentiment towards corn remains quite strong in the early part of the season.
Of course, there are also those who believe that corn may not be so bad after the end of the year.
The reason was the sudden acceleration in cereal sales in the previous year.
At first, after the corn market last year, the progress of grain and oil sales has been slow, on the one hand, the corn production has been reduced, and the sales pressure is greater; On the other hand, last year, corn was **comprehensive**, and even fell below the cost line, and the public was reluctant to sell.
However, with the increase in warehouses and the increase in purchases, the sales of cereals have also begun to accelerate, and as of a year ago, the sales progress of corn cereals has been on par with last year.
As a result, the market's bearish sentiment towards corn after the year has also weakened.
By the end of the year, the situation with corn was gradually improving.
Two days ago, corn"It's off to a good start"Exciting for the market, but this trend is unlikely to last.
The reason is that there are not many corn transactions in the first three or four years, and everyone in the top five is still busy with the New Year, and there are not many grain sellers, so during this time, the transaction volume is small and the market fluctuates greatly, and it is difficult to clarify the overall situation.
On the other hand, corn has just begun to be harvested, and companies are mostly raising prices to promote the output of major crops, so this price increase is only a local fluctuation.
It is true that the good times did not last long, and in the first five years, with the increase in corn sales, corn ** began to fall. And that's what corn is"First autumn"The following year, and this autumn is tantamount to corn"A blow to the head"。
Because not only Shandong fell, but even the Northeast also fell, especially Beijing Longjiang and Qinggang Longfeng, which took the lead in raising grain a year ago, also took the lead this time, and even poured 3 in one day.
This does not prevent the corn market from becoming cloudy again: won't corn start the following year?
Don't be in a hurry when the new agricultural clock is ticking, because the situation with corn is not completely resolved, the company is not fully opened, and the whole thing is still in the ** stage.
From the notice issued by the company to the first nine and the last ten, the deep transformation is considered to be back to normal, and we all know that the opening of the collection must go through a fluctuating process, in other words, the buyer and seller must repeat this process.
That's why shocks are inevitable.
Secondly, most of the grain collection is still dominated by deep processing, and the overall pattern has not yet been opened.
Next, we analyzed the main body of grain collection, which is still basically deep processing, whether it is animal feed companies or grain storage companies, which are basically not fully opened.
Other themes, such as merchants and dryers, also continue to be cautious and relatively less volatile, so the global market continues to dominate the deep processing sector.
But the ** after the year is not the same as the year before, although it is said that the time left for the soil to lie on the grain is not long, but it is also not long for the time left for the traders and the drying tower, so waiting and watching is only temporary, and in the end it is necessary to find a chance to leave.
That's why it's too early to say that the corn will be fully open and the corn will be fully open.
The market will be more complex after the year, both because of the reduction in surpluses and the change in people's mentality, and because of the increased pressure on the grain lying on the ground as temperatures rise.
The best way to deal with complexity is very simple, that is, to sell grain with the trend, collect grain with the trend, do not blindly wait for the lowest or highest point, and leave room for maneuver for the other party, which may be a suitable strategy to deal with the fluctuations of corn after the year.
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