House Speaker Mike Johnson was in a difficult position, facing an irreconcilable divide within the Republican Party, and had to use the power of the Democrats to pass the Tax Relief Act (h.) by 357-70 using the "suspension of the rules" rule (which goes straight to the full House vote, but requires a two-thirds vote to pass).r.7024), plus the previous use of this rule to avoid a federal shutdown, passed the Continuing Resolution Act twice.
John was fortunate in that his predecessor was removed by Matt Gaetz (R-FL-1) and seven right-wing Republicans in a "motion to vacate" campaign after only one use in the later period, and Johnson's Speaker's hammer is temporarily worry-free; At the same time, Johnson is also unlucky, his first time as Speaker, he faced a 222-213 House of Representatives pattern, and only five margin votes are also historically rare.
With the departure of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA-20), the expulsion of George Santos (R-NY-3), the resignation of Bill Johnson (R-OH-6), and the three-seat vacancy that has made Republican control of the House of Representatives weaker (219-213), it has become even more difficult for Johnson to rely on Unity Republicans to pass any bill. Next week's House of Representatives will face Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, and whether Johnson can unite Republicans will be tested again.
In the face of the fragile Republican control of the House of Representatives, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (hereinafter referred to as DCCC) has just released the list of districts that will be on the offensive this year (see the chart below) in order to regain control.
Michigan 7th Congressional District:The incumbent U.S. Rep. is Elissa Slotkin (D-Mi-7), which became an open seat as Senator Debbie Stabenow (D-Mi) of Michigan dropped re-election and Slotkin ran for the Senate instead. In 2020, *** Trump only ended with 0A slight 5% loss to Biden, and last year's midterm elections, Slotkin's horrific $10 million was only 5With a 4% margin of victory, the House of Representatives district was also the most expensive in the nation in 2022.
The Democratic candidate endorsed by the DCCC is Curtis Hertel, a 2015-23 state senator who was the director of legislative affairs for Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, who advocated for tax cuts for the middle class, expanded workers' rights and manufacturing investment, and worked to repeal laws restricting abortion rights. The Republican nominee, State Assemblyman Thomas Barrett, will once again hit the district in 2022 after being bombarded by incumbent Slotkin's massive spending, which is set to be a fiercely contested contest in November.
Montana 1st Congressional District:The current U.S. House Representative is Ryan Zinke (R-MT-1), who has a rich resume, serving as a state senator in '09-13, the only U.S. representative in Montana in '15-17, and was later nominated by Trump as Secretary of the Interior, where he was criticized for opening federal lands for oil and gas exploration, and then resigned in January '19. After the 2020 National Census, Montana increased to two House districts, with Zinke finishing at 3The 1% advantage is once again stepping into Congress.
The Democratic candidate supported by the DCCC is Monica Tranel, Tranel is a former Olympic athlete and lawyer, and the current campaign fund is only 890,000, weaker than the opponent's 1.64 million, and has already lost to Zinke once.
Nebraska 2nd Congressional District:The current U.S. House of Representatives is Don Bacon (R-NE-2), Bacon has served four terms, is a moderate Republican in Congress, has voted for the Democrats' same-sex marriage bill and infrastructure bill, and is in favor of creating a special committee to investigate the "Congressional ** incident", and when Jim Jordan (R-OH-4), chairman of the conservative Judiciary Committee, ran for speaker last year, Bacon was firmly opposed, due to discord with Trump, It is not ruled out that Trump will intervene in the Bacon Republican primary early.
The constituency is in 2022**, with Biden at 64% ahead of Trump, and BACON is also only 2Re-election by a margin of 6% will put some pressure on BACON in November, so Democratic State Senator Tony Vargas, who is supported by DCCC, will put some pressure on BACON in November.
Good Authors New York State 3rd 17 19th Congressional District: The third district of the expelled Santos will have a special election on February 13 (using old maps) for which Israeli County Assemblymember Mazi Melesa Pilip (R) and former U.S. Rep. Tom Suozzi (D) are vying for the seat. The other two incumbent U.S. House members are Mike Lawler and Marc Molinaro. Since the court has already ordered the redistricting of New York State, and the initiative to delineate the map is entirely in the hands of the Democrats (detailed in detail at the beginning), the Republican Party will be in for disaster in New York State if the new district map is used in November.
Oregon 5th Congressional District:The current U.S. House member is Lori Ch**ez-Deremer (R-Or-5), who entered Congress for the first time since 2022 and has a very moderate stance, according to Deremer's voting record, she is more liberal than 99% of Republicans in the House of Representatives, and naturally voted against conservative Jim Jordan as Speaker.
Deremer's dovish stance was also forced to take a dovish stance, and the constituency won 8With an 8% advantage ahead of Trump, the 2022 Deremer was able to win by 1The 1% advantage is not easy to flip the seat of seven-term Democrat Skinner (this person was once called **trump, which belongs to the Democratic Party's lynching). DCCC is backing state rep. Janelle Bynum, who has twice beaten Deremer in her run for state legislature and expects a close battle in November.
15th Congressional District of Texas:The current federal representative is Monica de la Cruz (R-TX-15), and in 2022 Cruz was endorsed by Trump and then-Speaker McCarthy to 8The 5% advantage entered Congress for the first time, and Trump's campaign** was endorsed by Cruz. The Democratic candidate supported by DCCC is Michelle Vallejo. At present, the federal and Texas policies are at odds over the border crisis and LNG, and Cruz's conservative stance is basically consistent with that of Texas, and Cruz has $1.4 million in campaign funds far more than his opponents, so it will be difficult for the Democrats to win the seat.
Virginia 2nd Congressional District:The current U.S. Rep. is Jen Kiggans (R-VA-2), who is moderate to the right, supports the 15-week abortion ban, is skeptical of Biden's victory while not supporting the "Democratic election fraud theory," and is critical of the FBI raid Trump and Mar-a-Lago Property. In 2020, Biden led Trump 1 in the constituency9%, while kiggans are able to take 34% beat their Democratic opponents, which is quite good.
DCCC-backed Democratic candidate Missy Cotter Smasal, a veteran who raised $630,000, well below his opponent's $1.47 million, has not worked well to portray Kiggans as a MAGA member similar to conservative Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA-14), and the district is expected to be very competitive in November.
Whether the Democratic Party can flip the control of the House of Representatives, and whether Speaker Johnson can continue to pick up the hammer of the speaker next year will largely depend on the bipartisan competition for the above seats, and the federal and state primaries in the 50 states in the United States will begin one after another in March.