Introduction:
Lithuanian Prime Minister Himonit admitted in a recent interview that Lithuania had been overly optimistic and idealistic about the situation in the Russia-Ukraine war. While Lithuania has generously extended a helping hand to Ukraine over the past two years, Shimonit said, it has come to the realization that Ukraine may not be capable of defeating Russia or upholding Western democracy and values. Lithuania fears that Ukraine's defeat in the war will have adverse consequences for Lithuania's ***. Lithuania is currently intensively working out steps to prevent a potential crisis.
Lithuania's miscalculation and Ukraine's dilemma.
Lithuanian Prime Minister Shimonit (Mununit) also admitted that he was too optimistic and ideal about Ukraine at first. Lithuania believes that with the help of the West, Ukraine can defeat Russia and defend its democracy and values. But the facts tell them that they think too much. Although Ukraine has received adequate support from Lithuania and other Western countries, Ukraine's military operations have not achieved satisfactory results. Even if more help is received, the situation of the Ukrainian army will get worse and worse. The Lithuanian Prime Minister was shocked and worried by the changes in the situation of the war in Ukraine, and he believed that there was a major national security crisis in Lithuania.
Lithuania is a very small country, with only 2.8 million people, and it is adjacent to Belarus. Belarus, on the other hand, is a powerful power that is strongly supported by Russia. With only 15,000 soldiers, Lithuania has a rather weak defense force. Lithuania is concerned that they have been involved in anti-Russian activities in order to curry favor with the United States, and that relations with Russia have become very unpleasant. Now, Russia's war against Ukraine has warned Lithuania that its military power pales in comparison to Russia's.
The Russia-Ukraine conflict and Ukraine's demands.
Russia** Putin said that the Russian-Ukrainian war will soon subside, and he called on countries around the world to take action. But Putin also said that Russia would not change its status and would reject Ukraine's request. Ukraine ** Zelensky said at a press conference that the Western world and Ukraine should work together to provide more assistance to Ukraine. He is confident that if the Western world does not end its help to Ukraine, then it will be difficult for Ukraine to defeat Russia. However, with the unsatisfactory results achieved by Ukraine, the help provided by the United States, Europe and other countries to Ukraine is gradually declining, and Ukraine is facing a more serious war situation.
With the decline of rescue forces, it is very likely that Ukraine will move to full defense, and the probability of defeat is increasing. Ukraine must rely on the intervention of external forces, otherwise, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is likely to end in 2024, but for Ukraine, the situation is not in its favor.
a.The situation in Lithuania and national security considerations.
In the case of Lithuania, the difficulties that Ukraine finds itself in are imminently endangered Lithuania is not only due to its proximity to Ukraine, but also due to the fact that Lithuania is a member of the former Soviet Union with close ties to its neighbor, Belarus. In response to the situation between Russia and Ukraine, Lithuania has stationed a large number of troops on the Belarusian border to prevent the situation from deteriorating further. However, Lithuania is relatively weak in strength and militarily, making them feel that they are in an unsafe situation.
In order to guarantee the security of the country, Lithuania must make greater efforts. They must build up their military and work more closely with their allies to bolster their military. In addition, they must also enlist international support and help from the Ukrainian side to prevent the war in Ukraine from continuing to deteriorate.
The conclusion: Lithuanian Prime Minister Shimonit frankly stated in an interview that he had previously misjudged and been overly optimistic about the situation with the war in Ukraine. Ukraine is now in a war dilemma, and the United States and Europe are gradually declining in their help to Ukraine, which makes the war situation even more difficult. Lithuania, both a champion of Ukraine and a neighbor who fears for its own security, is deeply concerned about the current situation. In order to maintain their own security, countries have resorted to a variety of means, including strengthening their militaries and enhancing coordination with their allies. In order to ensure the success of this campaign, Ukraine must receive more international support and help. The current situation between Russia and Ukraine is worrying, although Putin has declared that he wants to resolve the conflict quickly, but without the intervention of external forces, Ukraine is likely to fall into a situation of defeat. In order to prevent the war situation from worsening, Lithuania and the rest of the Western world should continue to help Ukraine.