India could be the biggest failure for the United States to contain China
A difficult situation for the primary foundry industry in India.
Although India has been pursuing its dream of becoming a great power, it has yet to build a solid foundation in the manufacturing sector. Despite its large population, India's overly conservative attitude and impetuous ambitions have made it difficult for India to compete economically. The primary processing phase of global manufacturing is often the result of the technological superiority of developed countries. As these industries tend to be saturated, dividends become less and less, and are often inherited by latecomers with lower production costs. Thanks to the massive industrial relocation of the past three decades, China has emerged as a world leader. In contrast, India hopes to continue to reap the dividends of ready-made industrial transfers, but faces the general environment of China's industrial modernization and internal substitution. Therefore, it does not seem realistic for India to replace China as the world's new industrial center.
However, India's ambitions are not without reason. After all, the transfer of the primary foundry industry is in the hands of China. Therefore, if India wants to make progress in this area, it must not only maintain good relations with China, but also resolve its own internal chaos. If India is too arrogant and tries to transform from a primary industry to a high-end industry, it is likely to consume a lot of time, manpower and costs, and ultimately fail. Therefore, a more reasonable strategy for India is to actively build good relations with China, starting with accepting China's industrial transfer, and then taking a substantial step towards industrial modernization.
However, India has to face its own internal chaos in terms of decision-making, and strong local forces make it difficult to implement the national system uniformly. As a result, India had to use competition with China to strengthen its authority.
Budgetary challenges are an obstacle to India's development.
In addition to internal contradictions, India's fiscal situation is also worrying. In recent years, India has launched twice"The demonetization movement", which confirms the fact that *** is in financial difficulty. How to extract funds from the basic economy and inject them into cutting-edge industries is the only way for any late-developing country to catch up with and surpass the developed countries. However, India clearly does not possess such capabilities. Modi has had to rely on debt and raise money for large corporations in order to cope with steady growth and industrial modernization. But India's banking system is plagued by debt problems, and even the richest man was shorted by Wall Street institutions last year, making it difficult for the banking system to continue to function.
In the face of the US posture, we must be clear about an important fact: India's development cannot rely solely on US orders. Even if Africa receives these orders, it will not immediately become a top production base. While responding to orders, India also needs to learn the experience and management techniques of industrial transfer, carry out all-round reforms and infrastructure construction, and use the power of the best to concentrate finances and promote the development of internal activities. However, it is clear that today's India can only be financed through demonetization campaigns, which seems to indicate that the rise of Indian manufacturing may still have a long way to go. For China, it will be a very important step to completely block the transfer of industries to India, which will directly announce that India's development path is blocked. There is no doubt that India could become a failed experiment in the US policy of containing China.
Summary. Despite India's labor advantage in terms of population size, we cannot ignore its complex domestic political environment, chaotic budgetary situation, and the pressure that China may exert on the country. Therefore, we must remain cautiously optimistic about India's growth prospects. In the future, in-depth research will help us better understand how India can achieve its dream of becoming a great power in a complex international environment. In addition, the adjustment law of the global industrial chain will also be affected by these factors, becoming more unstable and complex, which is also worthy of our in-depth study. But if we stick to our own path of development, if we prevent industries from moving to India at will, if the United States makes limited concessions to India, the question is how far India can go.