It's the same as watching the Spring Festival Gala advertisement.
At this time of the year, we will also look at the Spring Festival data, compared to how many hundreds of millions of people, the Spring Festival data reflects the problem is actually more intriguing, in essence, this is an annual event involving the floating population and economic consumption of the national fundamentals, and it can reflect the problemActually, it's very centralAnd the 2024 Spring Festival data is particularly interesting, and we have counted the Spring Festival data for so many yearsThis year is the most specialThe Spring Festival in 2024 will be from January 26 to March 5, and as in previous years, it will be based on the Spring Festival, 15 days before + 25 days later, and 40 days before and after
Today is the 23rd day of the Spring Festival, and there are still 17 days to go, but the data shown so far this year is quite staggeringThis is the time since we counted the Spring Festival travel dataHaven't seen itStatistics of the Spring Festival data we have also done for four or five years, every year in the Ministry of Communications** on the previous day's data, and then summarized, this year is no exception, as of press time before the latest release of February 16 data, the detailed data of the first 22 days of the Spring Festival has been released, to be honest, it scared me as of February 16, the first 22 days of the Spring Festival, the cumulative number of Spring Festival passengers in the country has reached 509.3 billion people, equivalent to 36 times, which is equivalent to the national population moving 3 times in just 40 days
Data** The Ministry of Transport's 2023 Spring Festival data is 473.3 billion people, but that's 50 percent of the 40 days here this year9.3 billion people are the volume of the first 22 days as of February 16, and the average amount is 2The flow of 300 million people, which has 18 days of Spring Festival data, we follow the average of the previous 22 days 2300 million days to calculate this year's Spring Festival data may be in 5093+2.3✖1892.3.3 billion passengersEven if the data in the next 18 days is not as good as before the Spring Festival, this year's Spring Festival data will fluctuate at 9 billion people, which is equivalent to 64 times, 1 billion more than the world's population of 8 billion, is my statistics since the data of the past yearsNever seen beforedata
2014-2023 data** Coincidentally, the Ministry of Communications turned to a meeting held by the Ministry of Communications before the Spring Festival this year, and they estimated the total number of people in this year's Spring Festival, and the number of people in China's Spring Festival will reach 9 billion in 2024
In other words, the total number of people in the Spring Festival in 2024 will be around 9 billion, as mentioned before, this is a data that has not been seen since the Spring Festival, and it is also oneMake historyI checked the data in this year twice, because even if I wrote it, I still felt unbelievable, no wonder this year's train tickets are so hard to grab, no wonder so many high-speed rail trains are delayed this year, and no wonder so many vehicles will be blocked on the highway, all because the 2024 Spring Festival we just experienced is a record-breaking Spring FestivalThis year's Spring Festival one let meUnexpectedlyWe tried to divide the data into two dimensions: time and transportation, and look at the time dimension, and see that this year's peak period appeared on February 8 and February 15, which were the lunar month.
Two. Ten. 9. On the sixth day of the first month, the third peak will appear on the sixteenth day of the first month
Sorted out from the Ministry of Transport, the great thing is not how many numbers are filled in each data space, but how these numbers are compared with previous years, what changes have been made, we compare with 2019, and the 2019 Spring Festival data is 29800 million times, the data in 2024 is three times that of 2019, and the extra 2 3 is more than which railway is steady and steady, and the highway is generally stable, but the subdivided non-commercial passenger cars (private cars) have increased very significantly
Also sorted out from the Ministry of Transport, especially after the Spring Festival, this time period, basically in the 50% to 60% increase do not underestimate these data floating, more than 20% is already a large fluctuation, more than 40% is already a phenomenon and 50%-60% is a qualitative change will have the amplitude, and this time period is very interesting, in the first month - before work, that is to say, in this year's Spring Festival data, private car data, and just before workThat's probably a tripSoon Ctrip released a data showing that this year's car rental orders have increased by nearly 1 times compared to 2023 and 4 times compared to 2019.
Moreover, the destinations of this part of the self-driving cars are basically locked in Haikou, Sanya, Kunming and other tourist cities
According to real-time data, at about 5 p.m. yesterday afternoon (February 17), the national congestion TOP1 was concentrated in Sanya, Hainan, and the main congested road sections were still in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou.
Car rental data is just a corroboration of a very special consumption phenomenon of this year's Spring Festival, that is, more people have begun to choose to travel by car, whether you buy a car or rent a car, and whether you are visiting relatives and friends or short-distance travel, this trend is extremely strong behind the reflectionConsumption power, consumption conceptIt is worth our attention Compared with 2019, even compared with last year, this year's Spring Festival data has undergone qualitative changes, starting from our self-driving trip in the first month after the Spring FestivalAt the same time, we also saw this year's Spring FestivalMost importantA change and that's itInvolvedThe structure of the Spring Festival has begun to change, and this is also all the travel tools that this year's Spring Festival can't wait to share with you, compared with the data in 2019, the overall is like this
First of all, the sharp decline in water transportation, it is not difficult to understand, the era of water transportation has long been taken over by land transportation.
Secondly, in the above data, the only two data have decreased sharply is the number of commercial passenger cars, and now there are people who take the car home, but compared to before, there are a lot less, my colleague moon did a topic about the survival state of the bus station last year, and now the bus station has declined a lot, and finally the travel volume of non-commercial passenger cars, that is, private cars, the data has soared veryFierceAlmost every day is a 30% increase compared to the same period in 2019 (the same period of the lunar calendar).
Compiled from the Ministry of Transport.
This increase is also the highest compared to other means of transportation.
Compiled from the Ministry of Transport.
This is also the biggest change in this year's Spring Festival, and this is alsoDirectly createdThis year's historical data of 9 billion people, because 80% of the 9 billion data are from cars, in the Spring Festival press conference, the relevant departments not only estimated the data of 9 billion people, but also made a breakdown, of which the number of passenger trips by railway, highway, civil aviation, and water transport is expected to be about 1.8 billion peopleThe remaining 80%.It is a self-driving car with 7.2 billion self-driving trips, what a concept, and it is an unprecedented and history-making concept The number of Chinese cars has reached 4 in 20233.5 billion, and 2022 is the third year that we have stood in the first place in the global car ownership, with 94 cities in the country having more than one million cars, an increase of 10 cars compared with 2022, and are entering thousands of households like TVs and refrigerators back thenAt the same timeOur highway mileage is more than 5.35 million kilometers, this number has come to the first in the world, of course, we are no strangers to these data, but what you don't know is that the mileage of newly reconstructed rural roads connecting these highways will also reach nearly 2.7 million kilometers by the end of 2023, which is behind the connection of 1,100 towns and towns, more than 100,000 villages, so I don't know if you have noticed it during the Chinese New Year this year, There are more people driving back by car, this is the scene I took on the third day of the first lunar month, on the streets of Wangjiang County below Anqing City, Anhui Province, a large number of vehicles returning to their hometowns crowded the streets, and for a moment I felt like I was back in the evening rush hour in Shanghai.
Filmed in Wangjiang County, Anqing City, Anhui Province, on February 13 (the fourth day of the first lunar month), there are also self-driving passengers who are still stuck in Sanya, Hainan Province.
Upstream news: This Spring Festival is an excellent cross-section, from infrastructure to hardware, the data of the automobile industry are growing at an astonishing rate, and the Chinese economy has been immersed in the real estate atmosphere, at this moment, his growth pole seems to be richer than imagined, of course, the car is not the only growth pole, but it must be one of the growth poles, and this also allows us to see the prelude to the Chinese automobile era, the opening of an era is actually not so magnificent, often allSilentlyappears in these dataOriginally, the analysis of the Spring Festival data was almost over, but this year's Spring Festival dataA cityCityFinally, I would like to share, because this city may be making history, most of the Spring Festival travel every year is from the east, the central and western regions, and then the return from the central and western regions, and the east is no exception.
I pulled out the top 10 cities that moved out and moved into the top 10 cities on February 7 (the 28th day of the lunar month) and the top 10 cities that moved out and moved in on February 16 (the seventh day of the first lunar month).
This is almost the reality of the trajectory of the Spring Festival between you and me, years ago from the east coast back to the west of the hometown, and then from the central and western regions back to the first-tier cities, of course, this is not a new thing, but the most interesting thing in this is that Chengdu is a top-level relocation place after the year after the year, I went to see which cities Chengdu moved in from after the year.
There is no shortage of first-line companies such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, as well as strong second-line companies such as Tianjin, Nanjing, Hangzhou, and Wuhan, as well as strong provincial capitals such as Zhengzhou and Hefei. Returning to Chengdu is enough to prove the demographic attractiveness of Chengdu, in addition to Chengdu, I would like to analyze two samples: first, Shanghai in our editorial department, as a typical super first-tier city, in addition to the above basic phenomena such as moving out before the year and regurgitating after the year, Shanghai's Spring Festival population fully reflects the fatal attraction of the super first-tier population to the population around Shanghai.
As the corresponding population siphoning object, similar to the northern city of Fuyang, his population migration destinations include the provincial capital Hefei, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Beijing, and Shanghai.
The migration status of these two cities is almost the same as that of first-tier cities such as Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, as well as urban agglomerations such as Baoding and Langfang in Beijing, and urban agglomerations such as the Pearl River Delta such as Foshan and Qingyuan in GuangzhouTypicalPortraitWhy trying to see the Spring Festival data is actually the same as going to see what advertisements the Spring Festival Gala does, the same ten minutes before the Spring Festival Gala, the same amazing ratings, why last year was 19 advertisements, but this year it can be done 23, why last year there were only advertisements for wine, but this year it can bloom without a hundred flowers, nothing happens for no reason, and there is no thing that disappears for no reason after it happens, what we see is always a process, connecting the causes and consequences of the Spring Festival is about the floating population, The latest process of economic consumption, in this process, we have seen that aviation consumption has reached an increase of nearly 15% compared with 2019, becoming the choice of more and more people to travel, without the corresponding consumption capacity, consumption concept will not appear such data, we also see that China's node cities are increasing, rich not only in the southeast coast, we also see a major trend, that is, from the Spring Festival Gala advertising, to the existence of cars in the Spring Festival data, this is the most eye-catching performance in this year's Spring Festival Gala and Spring Festival dataUnconsciously, the original car has come to such a position, behind which the corresponding Chinese economic transformation, the baton of the growth pole is self-evident, all of this is a part of China's economy, economists often say that the economy is cyclical, and through the Spring Festival, these small cuts may see things that may be more real and warm.