At present, the city of Avadiivka is actually divided into two parts.
The first part is the coking plant in the north of the city, which is not actually surrounded, and the supply line between it and the rear is basically unblocked, except for the threat of Russian firepower.
The second part is the main city of Avadiivka, where the positions of the Ukrainian army include the high-rise area on the west side, the low-rise area on the east side, and the field positions on the periphery.
But the supply line here is only a wilderness dirt road to the west, and it is within the range of Russian fire.
So how to withdraw the Ukrainian army in Avadiivka?
In the general direction, the Ukrainian army in the main urban area will definitely withdraw, after all, it is facing the multi-sided encirclement of the Russian army, and the logistics supply line is seriously threatened, and there is a risk of being surrounded.
However, evacuation should also pay attention to a basic law, and we cannot run away all at once, because there is no such thing in a war.
A more orderly scheme would be:
The first step: first withdraw the troops in the eastern field of the city, but in the process of evacuation, a small number of blocking troops should be left, and as much as possible, the first thing should be buried to delay the rapid advance of the Russian army;
Part 2: After recovering the troops to the urban area, the main force will be evacuated to the high-level area, except for leaving a small number of blocking troops to delay the process of street fighting of the Russian army;
Step 3: Use the high-level area as the main support to prevent the Russian army from quickly capturing the city, and buy time for the transfer of troops in the city.
While the troops in the city retreated in an orderly manner, the troops of the Ukrainian army in the rear had to make every effort to prevent the two flanks of the Russian army from closing, and once the opening was closed, they would not be able to escape.
In fact, there is another key issue to consider here.
There is always a limit to the withdrawal of troops. Is it really necessary to evacuate all such important places as Avadiivka?
In fact, from the perspective of the overall situation of the campaign, it is not so bad.
At present, the coking plant area is a strong fortress area, and the high-rise area is also a strong fortress area.
If the Ukrainian army secures these two points, and then counterattacks with all its strength to attack the Russian troops west of the industrial avenue, then a new front can also be formed.
In this way, although most of the city of Avadiivka has been lost, the role of nails here can still be played, and even politically.
If these two points are lost, the Ukrainian army's defense line will have to be set up in these village and town fortress complexes that are currently supplying Avadiivka. These areas are already highly fortified, but they are not without the strength to fight.
But the crux of the matter is that all of the above is based on the fact that the Ukrainian army still has the ability to organize and fight.
Judging by the current fighting situation in Avadiivka, the Ukrainian army is already showing signs of rout, which is quite a serious problem.
Since the Russian-Ukrainian war, in the battle for key points, the Ukrainian army has rarely appeared like now.
If the organizational capacity of the 110th Mechanized Infantry Brigade in the city has been lost, then the change of hands in the city will be greatly accelerated, and this will not be the result of the withdrawal of troops, but the result of being defeated.
If a unit like the 3rd Azov Brigade is also quickly run, the Russian army will inevitably continue to develop the offensive after eating Avadiivka.
Therefore, the situation in front of the Russian army is that it is advisable to chase the poor with the remaining bravery, and it is good to fight, rush, and chase fiercely.
And the reality in front of Syrsky is that it is necessary to ensure that the Ukrainian army stabilizes its position.
The loss of Avadiivka is already a reality, and the troops must not collapse. The withdrawal of troops is an organized withdrawal, but the collapse will affect the stability of the follow-up front.
Whether the Ukrainian army retreated in an organized manner or collapsed in disorder will be confirmed in the next two days, especially as a sign of whether the high-rise areas of the main city are changing hands quickly.
The battle of Avadiivka is likely to become a turning point in the Russian-Ukrainian war, and it is also the "best gift" that Syrsky, a Russian, gave to Donbass on the second anniversary of the Russian-Ukrainian war.