Professor Lu Qiyuan talked about the issue of capital flight in China

Mondo Finance Updated on 2024-02-24

If you don't understand Bitcoin, I'll tell you that Bitcoin is the core tool of capital flight, and it is a legitimate tool. Moreover, China's capital flight has a threefold characteristic.

The first one is not only the problem of currency exchange, it has the problem of black washing, the problem of black and gray washing, which is the most important thing, that is, black and gray whitewashing. In the past, when the control was loosened, it was mainly through Hong Kong's real estate, and the small capital was through Causeway Bay.

Why do so many watch shops and watch shops buy watches? After buying the watch today, it means that the watch will be returned on the day, and when I bought the watch, I used a domestic bank card, and when I refunded it, I changed it to a Hong Kong dollar HSBC bank deposit, and there was probably a handling fee in the middle. It's the same with buying a house, and buying a house with more than one or two dozen sets is like this. At that time, it was washed like this when the control was not strict, and now it has become a way like bitcoin when the control is strict.

In fact, our country's connivance with bitcoin also expresses a loophole in our financial control. The reason why 3 trillion US dollars left China from 2012 to 2018 is that many people say that China's economy can no longer maintain high growth because it is too large. What kind of logic is this? I can't speak foul language, I can't burst foul language.

Our economy has come down because the rate of capital accumulation has come down, and our rate of capital accumulation has remained above 10 from 1949 to 1978. Among them, during the Great Leap Forward, our capital accumulation rate was 40, and we basically did not eat or drink construction funds, and a high capital accumulation rate was bound to be a high growth.

Now in 12 years, our capital accumulation rate has plummeted to close to 0, and in 18 years, even the capital accumulation rate is negative, how can it not be 8 and 6? If the rate of capital accumulation continues to fall sharply and we allow large-scale capital flight, our economic growth will not be guaranteed by eight guarantees of six or five guarantees of four. Without capital investment and investment growth, what is the driving force for economic growth?

So we have to see the three flows of capital.

The first is the rapid transformation of capital from industrial capital to financial capital.

The second is from the north to the south.

The third is that domestic high-end people go abroad. In the past, it was through buying football teams, by buying overseas assets, through footbaths like Hong Kong, and later mainly through Bitcoin. Recently, the more troublesome is through the Belt and Road plan, don't think that there is investment in the Belt and Road plan, every money is reasonable, legal and clean, and there is a lot of capital to borrow this thing to go to sea.

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