The United States is like the Soviet Union, and the victory and defeat of China and the United States have been divided? China dominates the Sino-Russian negotiations
After fighting with the dragon for too long, he became a dragon himself; Stare into the abyss for too long, and the abyss will stare back. This idea is about how human nature will change under external conditions.
The oft-quoted phrase "dragon slayers eventually become evil dragons" reveals the complexity of human nature in extreme environments.
The United States, has entered the "Brezhnev era"? The conversation began with Jeffrey Sachs's concern about the current state of America, arguing that the political and economic environment in the United States today is similar to that of the late Soviet Union, where conservative forces dominate and it is difficult to produce innovative leaders.
Sachs, as the proposer of "shock", once led the process of transformation of Russia's economic system, but this history has also become the source of Russia's current economic woes.
Now he says again that the United States has indeed reached the economic periphery, similar to the Soviet Union before its collapse. When we put the United States into this environment to analyze, we will find that the problems that existed in the Soviet Union, such as outdated thinking, rigid system, internal system, and social polarization, all exist in the United States today.
There are many problems, and the plight of American society is also emerging. Although the United States is strong, many ideas lag behind the average of developed countries. It claims to have the best democracy in the world, but in recent years, it is absurd to talk about the topic that has caused widespread controversy and even conflict in society.
The United States has shown a negative and conservative attitude on issues such as restricting the use of guns by potential criminals, providing medical benefits to all citizens, reducing the burden of student debt, and women's control over their bodies.
The United States may have entered the "Brezhnev era", but has it already entered a recession? Let's stay tuned and discussed.
Although the influence of American Puritan thought cannot be ignored, it is more of a portrayal of the stagnation of the development of the United States. Theoretically, the United States is a country where church and state are separated, and politicians should take the reality and national interests as the starting point and show more rationality and humanism.
However, the reality of the United States** is lifeless, and politicians defend outdated thinking, relying on the backward rules and political structures established by the 1787 Constitution, rather than proposing new ideas that benefit the country's development.
In foreign relations, the United States is too dependent on and abuses its hegemony, for example, the United States can easily ban the global export of chips to China without fully considering its own interests.
In addition, the problem of interest grouping in the United States has become increasingly serious since the end of the Cold War. ** has lost the ability to crack down on monopolies, which, through monetary sponsorship, have taken control of elections and thus gained unprecedented wealth, further exacerbating the polarization of society.
All this shows that the "election" system in the United States is no longer fair, and the people in power in the country are always those few people, no matter how the election is conducted.
The current situation of American society is like a paradox, on the one hand, the quality of life of the people is declining under the trouble of inflation, and the debt ratio of ** remains high; On the other hand, a small number of wealthy people have made a class leap in the crisis and become truly rich.
Data shows that in 2017, the number of millionaires in the United States was about 8 million, and by 2022, this number has increased to 24.5 million.
This is somewhat similar to the situation in the late Soviet Union, where both countries failed to restrain special interest groups and change their interventionist and hegemonic foreign policies, leading to the decline of their states.
However, while the United States and the Soviet Union are somewhat similar in some respects, we cannot simply compare the two because they are fundamentally different. Diao Daming, deputy director of the Center for American Studies at Chinese University, said that the common denominator between the United States and the Soviet Union was that they were sinking into themselves due to their hegemonic obsession, but there were still essential differences between the United States and the Soviet Union in the later period.
Therefore, we need to look at the current situation in the United States with a more objective eye.
The Soviet economy relied heavily on internal self-circulation, but the vitality of the American economy today comes mainly from the globalized economic system, which makes the American economy closely connected to the world.
Although the United States faces many problems, the existence of the hegemony of the dollar and the presence of military power allows the United States to pass on the crisis to other countries so that the problems do not erupt immediately.
Nonetheless, the long-standing problems of American politics may begin to enter a slow recession, which requires the United States to begin to bear the consequences of its own abuse of hegemony. Among them, the most prominent is the Sino-US issue.
The struggle between China and the United States began in 2018 and has not yet ended. Although Biden's foreign trade policy is not substantially different from Trump's, it has only strengthened the policy of protection and used the pretext of politics and "national defense and security" to politicize the issue.
The U.S. deficit with China has not only not decreased, but even increased, is this the disappearance of the U.S.-China ** gap that was claimed to be eliminated during the Trump era? The answer is no.
Although nearly six years after the United States provoked the first war, 2022 may become a record year for China and the United States, and the United States' imports and exports to China will reach a record high, but this has not really hindered China's foreign affairs or weakened China's economic position.
In fact, China has also taken a leading role in the Sino-Russian negotiations, which shows that China has strengthened its international political power in 193 countries around the world.
This year, China-Russia natural gas** continued to grow, and the expansion of Russia's foreign energy exports and the change in the share of China's energy market attracted attention. A series of data analyses suggest that Medvedev's visit to China is linked to the export of additional gas to China.
Dmitry Medvedev is not only the deputy chairman of the meeting of Russia, but also the chairman of the board of directors of Gazprom. His visit coincided with the opening of a Russian gas pipeline to China and his visit to China in the name of the party, not in the name of a public official, which may mean that the purpose of his visit to China was to negotiate some private issues, such as negotiating with China for additional gas supplies.
Russian experts generally believe that the main topic of Medvedev's visit will be negotiations with China on additional gas contracts**. While Russia's geopolitical environment may give China an advantage in the negotiations, Russia is unlikely to suffer in the negotiations.
The data shows that in October, China's natural gas imports averaged $545 per thousand cubic meters, while the cost of Russian natural gas extraction was around $20 per thousand cubic meters, which shows that China has a lot of room for negotiation.
In addition, Russia has lost the European market and needs the Chinese market to protect its energy foreign exchange, which provides a good reason for China's negotiations. Although China has gained the initiative in negotiations in this process, Russia does not need to worry about this, because it is too simple for China to stumble Russia in the face of the huge size gap between China and Russia, but China has never done so.
In the current international situation, China and Russia can still trust each other. In closing, we would like to conclude that these events all point to a central point: the era of hegemony is coming to an end.
When a late-developing developing country, such as China, catches up and sanctions the United States, we will usher in a new era of comprehensive globalization in which China will play a leading role.