First, the pig price continued to be small, and the local temperature was obvious.
According to the data monitoring of the pig price system of China Pig Network, in the 04th week of 2024 (January 22, 2024 to January 28, 2024), the national three-yuan pig ** rose at the beginning of the week was relatively clear, stabilized in the middle of the week, and the weekend rally expanded again, with a range of 1396-15.4 yuan between kilograms! At the beginning of the week, the pig price was 1396 yuan kg, the weekend pig price is 154 yuan kg, the pig price of the whole week has accumulated **144 yuan kg.
China Pig Network 2024 Week 04 Outer Ternary Trend Chart.
Piglets: Monitoring data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs shows that piglets were 0 last week90% compared to the same period last year **3330%, the average price of piglets in 500 rural markets across the country is 2295 yuan kg. According to the statistics of this website, this week's three-yuan piglets** are 2350 yuan kg, with the slaughter of pigs, farmers have a certain demand for supplementation, coupled with the continuous price of pigs, as well as the cost of feed raw materials, the cost of breeding is declining, the market is looking forward to the market outlook, and the enthusiasm of the column is improved to support piglets
Pork**: The Ministry of Commerce monitored the wholesale of white pigs in the third week of January 2024** month-on-month**. Demand support is insufficient, pig prices continue to fall, and pork prices continue to fall.
International African Swine Fever Epidemic Dynamics:
1.There were 15 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars in Hungary.
On January 18, Hungary reported 15 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars in 6 places, including Sobolč-Sotmar-Berlag Oblast, and 26 wild boars were infected and died.
2.There were 42 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars in Poland.
On January 19, Poland reported 42 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars in 8 places, including the Western Primorsky Province, and 54 wild boars were infected and died.
3.There were 10 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars and 2 cases in domestic pigs in Romania.
On January 19, Romania reported 10 cases of wild boar and 2 cases of African swine fever in domestic pigs in 8 places including Satumare County, 17 wild boars were infected and died, 20 domestic pigs were infected, 16 died, and 4 were culled.
4.There were two outbreaks of African swine fever in domestic pigs in South Korea.
On January 22, South Korea reported two outbreaks of African swine fever in domestic pigs in Gyeonggi Province and other two places, 62 domestic pigs were infected, 39 died, and 2,874 were culled.
5.There were three outbreaks of African swine fever in domestic pigs in South Africa.
On January 22, South Africa reported three outbreaks of African swine fever in domestic pigs in three places, including the Free Province, with 191 domestic pigs infected, 161 killed, and 30 culled.
6.There was one outbreak of African swine fever in domestic pigs in Ukraine.
On January 23, Ukraine reported an outbreak of African swine fever in domestic pigs in Donetsk Oblast, and 6 domestic pigs were infected and died.
7.One outbreak of African swine fever in wild boars occurred in Croatia.
On 23 January, Croatia reported an outbreak of African swine fever in wild boars in Vukovar-Sriyem district, in which one wild boar was infected and died.
8.There were 31 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars in Italy.
On January 24, Italy reported 31 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars in 6 places, including Piedmont, in which 31 wild boars were infected, 12 died, and 19 were culled.
9.There were 17 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars in Latvia.
On January 24, Latvia reported 17 outbreaks of African swine fever in wild boars in five places, including Zemugari district, and 24 wild boars were infected and died.
10.One outbreak of African swine fever in wild boars occurred in Greece.
On 24 January, Greece reported an outbreak of African swine fever in wild boars in Macedonia and the Tres region, in which one wild boar was infected and died.
Domestic African swine fever epidemic dynamics: none.
Pig **: Approaching the Spring Festival, the northern region ushered in the peak consumption season, and the pig price led the rise, while the southern region ushered in a wide range of rain and snow weather, and the transportation of live pigs was affected to a certain extent. Under the support of bullish sentiment, the sentiment of the breeding end to resist selling pigs at low prices is high, and the weight of pigs is insufficient, while consumer demand is gradually improving, the festival is gradually cashing in, the slaughterhouse is insufficient to arrive at pigs, downstream orders have surged, and the willingness to reduce prices has weakened. Under the supply and demand game, the shrinkage of the end and the increase of the consumption side are good for the trend of pig prices. According to the latest data, according to the current cost calculation, the average loss of pig breeding heads in the future piglet fattening model is 3564 yuan.
Second, corn ** mixed gains.
According to the data monitoring of the pig price system of China Pig Network, in the 04th week of 2024 (January 22, 2024 to January 28, 2024), China's corn ** was mixed this week, and it cooled down over the weekend. The range of corn in the whole week is 2563-2599 yuan tons, the corn at the beginning of the week is 2599 yuan tons, the weekend is 2563 yuan tons, and the corn in the whole week is 36 yuan tons.
China Pig Network 2024 Week 04 Corn Trend Chart.
In the 04th week of 2024, the demand for realisation of domestic growers before the Spring Festival heats up, coupled with the continuous decline in prices, which has caused the market to worry about the market outlook. The morning collection volume of the northern port is less than 20,000 tons, the southern feed enterprises are stocked up before the holiday, the dried corn is slow, the enthusiasm for building a warehouse is not high, and the number of ships to be sent is reduced. A small number of transactions in southern ports are mainly based on spot just need to replenish the warehouse, and some pre-sale shipping schedules are not smooth, and corn is running weakly. The corn market has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, the sales of new grain are not fast, and the overall market transaction is not active, mainly weak.
Third, soybean meal has cooled down significantly.
According to the data monitoring of the pig price system of China Pig Network, in the 04th week of 2024 (January 22, 2024 to January 28, 2024), soybean meal** was relatively stable in the early stage of this week, fell sharply in the medium term, and tended to be flat over the weekend. The range of soybean meal in the whole week was between 3554-3935 yuan, the soybean meal at the beginning of the week was 3912 yuan, the weekend was 3557 yuan, and the total soybean meal was 355 yuan.
China Pig Network 2024 Week 04 Domestic Soybean Meal Trend Chart.
In the 04th week of 2024, with the approach of the Spring Festival, many factories and merchants will not open orders after the holiday, and the downstream feed breeding enterprises will increase the factory's willingness to raise prices after the increase in goods before the holiday, but the current soybean meal inventory is still at a high level in the same period in recent years, coupled with the loss of pigs and other breeding and the demand is light after the Spring Festival, the market bearish atmosphere is strong, and soybean meal continues to decline under pressure.
Note: The pig price and pig price in this article refer to live pigs, not pork in the consumer market. ）