After the Russian army captured important cities in Ukraine, the offensive became more and more ferocious, launching 87 air attacks against Ukraine within 24 hours, even Zelensky rarely said that the current Russian army is almost unable to support it, but the support of the United States is not in place, and the Russian army has taken advantage of the situation to continue to attack Ukraine, in this case, people can't help but wonder if Ukraine can survive until 2024?
In February, the situation between Russia and Ukraine took a dramatic turn, and the Russians led a winter offensive in late November and advanced to the important town of Avdeyevka in eastern Ukraine, where Russia and Ukraine engaged in a protracted tug-of-war that ended in the rout of the Ukrainian army.
The victory in Avdiivka is the biggest battle of the Russian-Ukrainian war, but the "doom" of Ukraine has not yet passed.
* Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Putin both congratulated the Russian military after Russia announced a total occupation of Avdeyevka, with Shoigu calling the battle a major Russian success here. At the same time, after the battle of Avdeyevka, the Russian army in the Russian-Ukrainian border area also took advantage of the situation, according to the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, from February 19 to February 20, a total of 81 battles broke out in Ukraine, while the Russian side had 87 air strikes.
A few days ago, the Russians claimed that they had captured the Ukrainian village of Klinki along the Dnieper River, one of the few victories of the Russian army this summer. The army played the greatest role in the offensive of Lobodine, where they launched an onslaught in an attempt to capture Lobodine, and the men also attacked around Mut and Marinka. U.S. Zelensky said earlier that the situation between Russia and Ukraine is "extremely difficult", and he asked Western countries to provide more military support.
The success of the Battle of Avdeyevka not only greatly boosted the morale of the ** army, but also achieved significant strategic success. The Ukrainians have worked hard to build the defense line in eastern Ukraine for eight years and occupy Avdeyevka, there will not be a single fortress near Avdeyevka, and the Red Army village in the Donbass is also the logistics base of the Ukrainian army, and they can launch an attack here as long as they want.
On the other hand, the rapid capture of Avdeyevka suggests that the Russians have reversed last year's defensive strategy and turned to an offensive on the main cities of Donbass in an attempt to rebuild the constitutional borders of Donetsk Oblast.
The current military strength of the Russians is overwhelming in Ukraine, after last year's military expansion and training, the number of soldiers in the Russian army has reached more than 600,000, and the Russian army will also expand the army again within this year, forming a new army, coupled with the strong strength of the Russian army, the Russian army has the strength to launch a major offensive.
And for Ukraine, before 2024, they will face two huge challenges. The first is the sharp decline in the strength of the Ukrainian army, recalling the battle of **Muth, the Ukrainian army was able to rely on its own fortress to fight with the Russians for more than five months, and now the same is true of the battle of Avdeyevka, the Ukrainian army held out for less than three months and had to withdraw, and even several times the Ukrainian army lost its supply route because of the retreat. With the sharp decline in combat effectiveness, it is very likely that the Ukrainian army will not be able to keep even important strategic points and cities in the future.
Second, starting in 2024, the U.S. military aid to Ukraine has stopped, and the new aid bill has been postponed because of differences between the two parties, and it is very likely that the aid bill will continue to be left in a no-man's land until the 2024 election. European countries have also reduced their help to Ukraine when they see the delay in rescue by the United States, and their ** and bullets have shown an unprecedented shortage.
Affected by these two problems, it is difficult for the Ukrainian army to continue to maintain its previous defensive posture, its combat capability has declined, and the morale of the army is weakened, and the new commander Syrsky is called "General 200 of Goods" by the Ukrainians. Moreover, due to the untimely military support of Western countries, Ukraine no longer has the foundation of a long-term war, so this year's Ukraine will be very difficult.