The masks in the previous three years have affected everyone, and it is actually everyone who is related to the economy.
Income consumption, job employment, marriage and raising children, these are the most basic needs, who doesn't care?
However, the recovery situation in 2023 is too magical, and both the G party, the academic community and the market have recognized the severity of the situation.
Some institutions estimate that 2024 may still be like that, and last summer, the employment rate of young people, that is, the unemployed rate of 16-24 year olds, was more than 20%, a record high!
After that, I didn't send data!
The recruitment software released big data, and fresh graduates were employed, with a contract rate of 22% for men and 10% for women.
And as everyone knows a few years ago, the hot search has also reported that the master's and even doctorate degrees of 985 and 211, and even the master's and doctor's degrees who returned from overseas, are all in the dark, just for a job in a small county town.
These involve the joys and sorrows of thousands of lights.
Let's start with income consumption:
Employment is a big deal, the epidemic mask has been affected in all walks of life in recent years, everyone can't earn money, dare not spend, except for those who go ashore, everyone else feels unsafe, and non-consumption will naturally pull the economy down further.
All walks of life have been affected, in addition to the public examination into the national Q landing, all walks of life have been affected, under the epidemic to hold down the school district f, real estate extinguished, heavy hammer education and training, engaged in double J, fanned the game industry, the tuyere industry Internet is no longer beautiful, all in the C staff contraction to save their lives.
It's hard in any industry!
Engaged in the manufacturing industry, bosses and practitioners, there is no flow, no list, to play screws, they don't want to be more than 36, there is no added value to earn, and those who have been hit in recent years can't make money.
The tertiary service industry, catering, hotel, tourism, life services, and entertainment industries have been repeatedly hit, and many small shops and individual businesses on the street have disappeared, which may be mom-and-pop shops, or there may be employees, but they have all been severely hit, rent, water, electricity, and labor expenses are there every day, but consumption downgrades cannot be earned, and they disappear!
Ordinary social chu can only work for the boss. In the past, the boss fed the chicken soup and the cake, and for the sake of the salary, he could only swallow his anger, freeze the package and take out the takeaway, and the evening **, the hand stopped, the income decreased, and even only the basic living security, and there were a lot of "graduations", the wife wanted to eat, the children wanted to go to school, the parents wanted to provide for the elderly, the water, electricity and heating network at home should be paid, the RV d and the car d had to be repaid every month, and there was no savings in the hand or even negative zhai, and the ZHAI business also increased.
Flexible employment is more fun, it has exceeded two small goals, takeaway, express delivery, online appointment, self-delivery, short-live, e-commerce, knowledge realization, etc., the volume is so powerful, everyone has no money, how many people can buy products or services?The Vulture Palace is not so easy, and making money is even more of a fantasy.
Those who went ashore and those of public institutions began to be cleared of supernumerary personnel, and even in many places, heating. The public transport has begun to leave without pay to find a way out.
At present, a big problem is that everyone doesn't consume much, and they don't dare to invest in Z, because as mentioned above, all walks of life have no money, whether it is a boss or a practitioner, they can't make money, so they naturally dare not consume, and they don't consume, which in turn naturally can't promote production, forming an e-sex cycle.
When the situation was good before, many people were guided by consumption, especially young people, who were no longer moonlight clans, and became moon-debtor clans, advanced consumption, borrowing d consumption, credit cards, a few bei, white strips, and deeply believed in the advertisements of major platforms, such as "borrow money and go home with the flight attendant", etc., but now there is no money in hand.
There is no income, and the savings are getting smaller and smaller, and many people have no savings in the first place, and they still owe a lot of work, which directly collapses.
If you don't have money in your hands, in addition to basic survival, you naturally don't dare to consume, and if you don't consume, many companies can't do it, and naturally you don't have a good job. The spiral downward e-sex cycled.
I don't dare to marry and have a baby!
In addition to the house, bride price, three golds, and household appliances, these expenses add up to enough to scare normal people into taking blood pressure medicine, and they really can't afford it.
Even if you are married, try not to have children, even if you have children, try not to be second or third, because after all, there is no money in your pocket, and your income can't keep up, men want to enhance the degree of volume, work hard for their wives and children, women want to affect their work, affect their appearance, it is better not to let their children suffer in the world, in addition to allowing children to inherit 70 years of property rights and the identity of a worker, nothing can be left for the child, let him continue to rollIt's not interesting!
And it doesn't count the cost, the time and experience of the child's comeback. mentality, anxiety, etc., can also dissuade a large number of people!
Gold R, D industry, Internet, primary, secondary, tertiary service industries, are all shrinking.
As soon as it contracts, there is no flow, and the economic "arteries and capillaries" do not flow, then it becomes an obstruction, and sooner or later the brain X plug.
And although the mask has passed, it has been critualized in a large area, and a large number of new poor people have appeared, with houses and cars, food and drink, but the balance of deposits is getting smaller and smaller, and they have to repay the money every month.
Why?Schrödinger's salary has been much less than before, and even only has a basic living expenses, but the higher and higher cost of living has not decreased.
What to do?The macro method is very simple: "print", "burn", "hair".
"India" is to continue to maintain a relatively loose, large number of India, to avoid economic shock.
"Burning" means continuing to engage in infrastructure construction, leading infrastructure construction and basic production, which can bring about a large number of jobs.
The last is "sending", that is, giving everyone invoices, but it is difficult to send money to both men and women like developed countries, and people say that they don't raise lazy people.
However, if it is now directly distributed to vulnerable groups, low- and middle-income groups, and groups whose basic livelihood has been affected by the downturn, consumption can be stimulated.
Only when consumption comes up can it be circulated, and only then can it recover.
However, these are only stopgap measures and can only solve the current problem.
In the long run, the grand narrative level: recuperation, forgiveness, protection of property rights, and no tossing, but no one listens to what we say.
Therefore, we can only recuperate and conserve water from an individual point of view, do not hurry, do not toss, do not talk empty, do not be high-profile, keep dormant, learn to bow our heads, strive to improve, learn quickly, open source and reduce expenditure, and work flexibly.