T-4 airbase in Homs province, Syria].
It is reported that Iran has begun to withdraw its troops from the T-4 airbase in the Syrian province of Homs, citing a possible attack by the United States and its allies. According to public information, the T-4 air base is one of the largest air bases owned by the Syrian army, which can take off and land a variety of military aircraft, including large transport aircraft.
With the withdrawal of Iranian troops from the T-4 air base, the operation of the American side is also in full swing. There is information that the United States is withdrawing personnel from the country's embassy in Baghdad, Iraq. At the same time, the US military has also strengthened its air defense deployment at Jordanian military bases. In addition, a number of US military tankers and transport aircraft have taken off from the United States and arrived in the United Kingdom. The move was conceived as a preparation for a transcontinental strike by large strategic bombers.
US military transport planes and tanker planes have been making frequent sorties for several days
All indications show that the possibility of military retaliation by the US military is not low. In fact, even the head of the intelligence department, Burns, admitted that the current situation in the Middle East is the worst it has been in decades. The trigger for this situation was the recent deaths of three U.S. troops in Jordan. After all, if it's just an injury, things can be controlled, but when it comes to death, the nature of things changes. The prevailing view is that Biden must respond now. That being the case, this raises another key question, which is who does the United States consider attacking?
John Kirby, the White House Council Coordinator for Strategic Communications, has said that the U.S. believes that the party directly linked to the attack is the Iraqi Islamic Resistance Movement. The United States stressed that Iran is the backer behind the group. As soon as the attack occurred, U.S. ** Biden and Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin threatened that Iran was inseparable from the attack. It can be seen that the United States is targeting Iran this time.
U.S. ** Biden points the finger at Iran].
At the same time, given Biden's attitude of vowing revenge, this raises speculation about whether the United States will directly attack Iran itself? At the moment, this is not particularly likely. On the one hand, the United States itself knows that Iran is a tough nut to crack. Iran has been recuperating and amassing a lot of wealth over the years. An attack by the U.S. military on Iran is a very risky affair, and the cost may be too high for the United States to bear.
On the other hand, the Middle East is only one of the strategic priorities of the United States, and the United States has other things to consider. There is China in the Indo-Pacific direction and Russia in the European direction. It is impossible for the United States to fight Iran to the death at this time. And if the United States does come into conflict with Iran, then it is likely that the conflict will not be regional, but will spread to a global scale. Some senior U.S. military officers believe that several major powers, especially Russia, will not sit idly by while the U.S. tries to bring Iran to its knees, which pushes the situation to the brink of spiraling out of control.
If the United States and Iran go to war, there will be serious consequences
It should be said that the United States does not want a direct conflict with Iran at this stage, and the United States has repeatedly stressed this point in recent days. In fact, today's tensions have made Iran and some armed groups in the Middle East smell danger. The commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, General Hussein Salami, said on Wednesday that they had heard the meaning of the US threat, but that Iran would not issue it lightly. He also said that Iran does not seek war and is not afraid of war.
The subtext of the Iranian side is also very clear. The United States will not invade, and Iran has no intention of escalating the situation. At the same time, the Iraqi armed group "Allah" announced the suspension of attacks on US troops. The reason given was to avoid "embarrassment" for Iraq. You know, the "Allah brigade" has taken a tough attitude towards the United States and has launched attacks many times. However, this time it suddenly announced the suspension of attacks on US troops, which is obviously unusual. Some U.S. ** believe that Iran is putting pressure on these armed groups behind the scenes in order to ease the current tensions.
Commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran, General Hossein Salami]
From this point of view, the United States and Iran actually have one thing in common at present, and that is to avoid direct conflict as much as possible. However, as mentioned earlier, the time has come for the United States to act to establish its strength. Since Iran cannot strike its homeland, it needs to look for other targets. In this context, the so-called "Iranians" of the United States and Iranian bases outside the country are likely to become targets of attack by the US military.
In this way, it seems that it is not difficult to understand Iran's withdrawal of troops from the T-4 air base in Syria. At the same time, the withdrawal of personnel from the US embassy in Baghdad is also worth paying attention to. This is clearly done to ensure the safety of those involved. Is the "synchronized" actions of the United States and Iran a decision of both sides? Or is there some kind of tacit understanding between the two countries? Perhaps only the United States and Iran know the real answer.
And looking at the whole thing, we can find one thing, and that is that the United States is indeed somewhat deficient in energy. If the attack on U.S. forces had taken place a decade ago, U.S. retaliation would have been imminent. Now, a few days later, the US side is still hesitant.
Now, the United States not only wants to build an encirclement network to contain China in the Indo-Pacific region, but also wants to suppress Russia through the Russia-Ukraine conflict in Europe. It also wants to forcibly suppress the situation in the Middle East. It is clear that the United States has begun to run short of national strength. So we can see that the United States is showing signs of weakness on all fronts, and this will continue to be the case for some time.