A Mountain in Dragon's Tooth Ten Thousand Fans Incentive Program
There is one main reason why China has become the world's factory:This is a war dividend of the self-defense counterattack war against India and the self-defense counterattack war against Vietnam。It is also the war dividend based on this foundation, and the final victory of the Cold War.
Yes, how do you drop? I'm not convinced that you've been beaten?
Previous yearsThe United States is engaged in "industrial transfer" and advocates "decoupling and breaking the chain"., and then a wind blowing blindly in Southeast Asia and India blew up, and the causal relationship was so obvious that it was not even concealed, and as a result, it completely disappeared into the air like a fart, and began to talk to itself completely without logic and reality.
The United States has even exerted its strength to eat Xiang, and Southeast Asia and India have been on fire for a year or two, but in the end they are still useless, why?
You didn't give it, you can't take it.
You give, you can give and take; This thing was not given by you in the first place, and if you want to take it, then you have to take it and change it. This is the most basic rule of human society, and no one can break it at will, not to mention that the United States is not good, and no one can do it.
There is a myth that has been circulating on the Internet for a long time"China's status as the world's factory is rewarded to you by Westerners" is pure nonsense: If he wants to have that ability, why not reward it to India? Don't give it to others? Do you want to reward a nuclear power with opposing ideologies and a strong sense of nationalism since ancient times? Don't you think you died badly enough?
So you either admit that the West as a whole is stupid enough to have no sense of strategic crisis, or you admit that the transfer of manufacturing to China has nothing to do with the West, and you must and can only choose one of the two, which is called the most basic logic.
The first consideration of capital, especially industrial capital, is always security. This kind of security is often one-sidedly understood as security at the market level, but if you have a little awareness of national defense security, you will know that all security in human society is based on national defense security.
The transfer of manufacturing to China and the transformation of China into the world's factory are determined by two factors
First, the process of industrialization and the development of the world's productive forces have reached an era in which industrial countries need more than 1 billion people.
A small industrial body can not manufacture so many industrial products to meet the demand, the industrial volume is too small to build a large enough unified market, the cost of industrial products can not be reduced to a reasonable range, especially after the arrival of the information age, through the relatively cheap "information superhighway", remote and poor areas can also easily understand what modern life is like, the demand for industrial products has skyrocketed while the purchasing power is insufficient, and cheap alternative industrial products are destined to rise to crush excess profits, which is an irreversible trend.
The West always likes to ignore the power of the Third World, which after all, is a population of billions, and really thinks that it can play with the earth in the palm of its hand?
Under this trend, if industrial capital wants to survive, it must find an industrial country with a population of more than 1 billion, and hit the industrial products to a low enough level through the power of the unified market, so as to survive in the information age.
Second, China just provides this environment, which is a depression of industrial capital.
Different from the "hot money" of financial capital, industrial capital needs a long-term stable expectation environment, which can ensure stability in the capital cycle for decades, so that he dares to invest with confidence. Modern factories do not have a capital cycle of more than 10 years, and it is not uncommon to see a cycle of more than 20 years in some highly competitive and sufficient industries, such as energy, basic chemicals, and smelting. Like hydroelectric power, thermal power generation, and clean energy, it is the norm to have a capital cycle of more than 15 years.
Taking a solar power station as an example, the investment in 1 watt of power generation capacity is between 4 and 10 yuan, showing a gradual downward trend. 1kw power is 4000 10,000 yuan. With 1 kWh electricity price 06 yuan calculation, the average power generation time per day is 4 hours, and the daily income is only 2$4. After deducting the cost of daily maintenance and the cost of accessing the Internet, it will take at least about 10 years to fully invest. The life of a battery panel is only 30 years, and the power generation capacity will decline over time, and the total number of events that can make money is only ten or twenty years.
At this time, you have invested in a photovoltaic power plant, do you expect long-term peace and stability, or is it turbulent?
It has just been built, the foreign enemy has invaded, the society has been unrested, the land dispute has been disputed, the civil war has been couped, the hungry people have been starved, and the powerful have plundered, then you still make a fart of money, this is called "blood without return".
Therefore, it was the industrial capital itself that licked its face and pasted it, not someone's "reward". It is China that has given global industrial capital a safe haven, which has the ability and ability to undertake it.
Strong national defense and security is the foundation of China's status as the world's factory, and this foundation has been proved by the countless wars that began to resist US aggression and aid Korea.
Many people say that India is "almost the same" as China before the reform and opening up, but this is, of course, a blind talk, and the international security environment is completely different. The Khyber Pass has been speeded up countless times for thousands of years, and the Indians have never seen a permanent fortification built; The Himalayas have been used by the Chinese since the Tang Dynasty, and now there is not even a decent road; In 1962, it was violently beaten by China to the capital, and it was ready to leave, and now there is not even a reliable defense industry. 
This is the rubbing of "Tang Tianzhu Makes the Ming", this monument was not taken care of at all before, the Tibetans smeared it with ghee, I used to run to the Jilong border when I often ran to see, with a toothpick to pick off the old ghee to see the words below. Now that a house has been built and locked, it is easy to see and even more difficult to touch. 
I'm going to tell you,It is this small lock that has laid the irreplaceable cornerstone of China's status as a world factoryDo you believe it? The world has developed to this day, and it needs China; China can withstand it, so she is the only one. Not in India, not in Southeast AsiaIt is not possible for the United States to engage in the return of any industry, either the volume is not large enough and the cost is not low enough, or it lacks the minimum security to support the stable making of industrial capital. You can spend money to fool some people, but you can't spend money to fool industrial capital, which is far more rational than any individual or think tank. It will "trial and error", there is a certain room for error, and if it loses somewhere, it will run, thus being more realistic and objective than the theories of any economist. This small lock separates tourists from the wind and rain and the Tibetans who love to smear ghee on historical sites, and also separates from all external threats, representing China's extreme importance and solemnity towards national defense and security, and its respect and prudence for history determine the realistic attitude. Indians are not aware of this and cannot do this.
If you stand on the Himalayas and look down on India, you will know what kind of industry is developing in this place, which is pure nonsense. Indians know this better than you, thereforeThey have an attitude of "one can be slaughtered and counted as one" towards the industrial capital that comes to invest. Don't think that Indians are stupid, they are definitely not stupid, they are just shameless, they know very well that the development of industries with a long return on investment cycle under their conditions is a matter of bullshit, and the optimal strategy is to deceive a fool and count a fool, and slaughter one more is a fool. Just this hammer deal, will it come? Do you think he doesn't know there's something wrong with his investment policy? Do you think he didn't know that he had slaughtered Xiaomi, and other Chinese investors would not dare to come? He is the country on earth that knows the best about India's national conditions, you are a foreign think tank, and there are still Indians who know what kind of virtue they are? He knew that he did not have the basic conditions for the development of industry, so he could count one pit as one. The basis of this basic condition is the lack of national defense security. The West, and the group of people who speak for Westerners, always have a very naïve idea:What I can do, you are not allowed to do。It's a habitual mindset brought about by a long period of colonization, always thinking that you can do anything you can, and you can't use the same means as him. Of course, this rule does not exist in the real world, it is only a unilateral advantage caused by the huge disparity in strength. Once the balance of power changes, this unilateral advantage disappears. What you can do, I can do. There are several major deficiencies in India's defense security that simply cannot be addressed:1. Lack of strategic depth. In the 1962 self-defense counterattack against India, a wave of charges hit the Indian capital, which frightened the entire Indian ** to slap his ass and burn documents and run away, and the strategic depth was very narrow. In fact, its economic center of gravity and population concentration areas are all located at the foot of the Himalayas, and the land lacks oil reserves, is heavily dependent on the water resources brought by the Himalayas, lacks thermal power technology and long-distance transmission technology, and its industry can only develop in a few northern states, and its strategic depth is extremely limited. Once the northern plains are threatened, even the most basic food security cannot be guaranteed. 
It can be seen at a glance that almost all of India's major cities in northern India are exposed to the seven-day offensive limit of an army group, to the air force's surprise attacks in one wave, and to the range of medium- and short-range tactical ballistic missiles. 2. There is no danger to defend。If you lack strategic depth, then you can defend the terrain if you are at risk, and "trade the terrain for time" to organize a defensive counterattack. However, the whole of India does not have this kind of terrain at all, and all the terrain that can organize effective defense is located in the Himalayas, which is the fundamental reason why India has such a strong "obsession" with the Himalayas and the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. 3. There is no complete set of military industries. Even the most basic ammunition is not self-sufficient, it does not have the ability to sustain combat at all, and the entire Indian army is in the predicament of "a week on the defensive". We say that the Soviet Union is a "one-week offensive", and the entire Soviet army only has the offensive capability of one week to half a month. India was even worse than this, with only a week's ability to hold on, and after a week the ammunition ran out, and the infantry had to fight with bayonets with burning sticks. 4. There is no modern army. Yes, the current Indian army has not even crossed the threshold of a "modern nation-state army", and its organizational form is still before the First World War, during the Boer War. Up to now, the Indian army is still organized by ethnic groups and tribes, and this is how the "xxx battalion" of the Indian army, which we often hear about, named after ethnic groups and place names, came about. The names of "Sikh Battalion" and "Assam Regiment" show that the Indian army is still a pre-modern army, and ethnic and geographical isolation still exists, which is probably the same as the meaning of "Manchu Eight Banners" and "Han Eight Banners", and even the organization of Yuan Shikai's new army is not yet up to it, and it is similar to the "Hunan Army" and "Huai Army".
All in all,Even if India, Vietnam, and even the whole of Southeast Asia have achieved industrialization and industrial transfer, this kind of "world factory" can be blown up. Soap bubbles like the world's factory, it is impossible for anyone to be willing to invest on a large scale, invest some floating money to test the water, speculate on real estate and pit a few wrongs, and do some entrepot **OEM industry, and take this as a long-term strategic investment destination unless it is crazy. It's too easy to make a fuss about their industrialization. To put it bluntly, investors who speculate on the concept of pit are not clear, build a few OEM factories to circumvent the "sanctions" embargo, which is no problem, and it can also bring a short-term increase in book numbers and put gold on the face. It is impossible to see factories rising from the ground, chimneys and production capacity skyrocketingThose "heavy assets", even if you have sent aliens from the sky to help you repair them, China only needs to pay a very low price if you want to break your dreams. At present, it is no longer possible for the world to rely on its own primitive accumulation to complete industrialization, it is no longer possible for backward countries and regions to engage in primitive accumulation on their own, and it is impossible for industrial and agricultural scissors to be poor, and it is impossible for colonization to be impossible, because you no longer have a cost advantage. To complete industrialization with foreign investment, you must at least provide the most basic national defense and security, otherwise foreign businessmen will have their brains in water to engage in charity? He has no expectation of making money steadily, why should he come? Breaking this expectation, the cost is relatively low to an unimaginable extent. A week's assault by a group army can make the people of your entire industrial zone panic, a wave of air assault can make your industrial facilities come to naught, a missile brigade and an ammunition base can paralyze key nodes of your industry, industrial capitalists are not fools, what is the investment value of this kind of place? Really bet that the Chinese are peace-loving? Is the 9.6 million square kilometers of land given away by phone bills or is it rewarded by God? As a matter of fact, India's other conditions for industrial development are far better than China's, and if we do not take into account the foundation of national defense and security, China may not be able to fight for other advantages. 
India is close to the sea on both sides, has obvious shipping advantages, and does not have the concern of being blocked by the Indian Ocean, and is closer to the Middle East, the global energy center than China, and the water disadvantage is not irreparable, but from other aspects, it is far more potential than China to become the world's factory. This is a satellite screenshot of the ship's news network, and those green dots represent a ship with an AIS system installed, which is still very impressive. But that depends on who you compare yourself to. 
I've heard it before"China's coastline is like a dragon",It is very obvious in this picture, the dense ocean carriers outline the outline of China's coastline: you are a dragon when all the "potential" is brought into play, and if you can't play it, you will always be a worm. India has never forgotten to fight Pakistan, bully Bangladesh, besiege Nepal, control Bhutan, encroach, develop nuclear weapons, and buy and buy the whole world. It's just that it can't be beaten. So why is it not India but China that has become the world's factory? Martial virtue is not abundant enough