As one of the world's major powers, Russia has never slackened its concern for international affairs, and the development of the situation in the Taiwan Strait is no exception. The relationship between Russia and China is deep and complex, and the friendship and cooperation between the two countries has extended beyond the purely political and economic sphere to include many fields, including military and cultural. This in-depth exchange and coordination has enabled the two countries to understand and support each other on many issues.
On the Taiwan issue, Russia has always adhered to the one-China principle and has clearly expressed its support for China's reunification. In their view, the Taiwan issue is China's internal affair and should be resolved by the Chinese people on their own, and any interference and sabotage by external forces is unacceptable. This position not only reflects Russia's respect for international law and international relations, but also demonstrates its firm support for China's sovereignty and territorial integrity.
At the same time, Russia has a clear insight into the US conspiracy on the Taiwan Strait issue. The United States has not only engaged in fierce confrontation with China on the Taiwan issue, but has also imposed sanctions and provocations against Russia in other regions and fields, with the aim of breaking the balance and stability of the global pattern.
As a matter of fact, in addition to the United States, some other countries are also secretly coveting the Taiwan issue, or have been instigated and instructed by the United States, causing friction with China on the Taiwan Strait issue. Russian experts have cautiously reminded China that it should be especially wary of these five countries when planning to recover Taiwan.
The dispute between China and South Korea over the delimitation of the continental shelf in the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea, as well as over the Suyan Reef, has long been a sensitive point in the relations between the two countries. These issues not only involve the territorial sovereignty of the two countries, but also affect regional security and stability.
Especially in recent years, with the intensification of the comprehensive strategic game between China and the United States, the relationship between China and South Korea has gradually become negative. South Korea has become more politically and militarily following the United States and adopting a policy of containment against China, which has made relations between the two countries more tense.
Since 2022, South Korea's provocative behavior on the Taiwan Strait issue has become more frequent. The visit to Taiwan by Chung Taek-woo, vice speaker of the ROK National Assembly, is undoubtedly a serious violation of China's sovereignty. This move has aroused strong dissatisfaction and condemnation from the Chinese side.
In just a few months since 2023, South Korean military planes have landed on the island of Taiwan three times, which is undoubtedly a further provocation against China.
In this context, South Korea's ** Yoon Suk-yeol's remarks have aroused widespread attention. He went so far as to absurdly claim that "the Taiwan Strait issue is a global issue." Such remarks, which ignore history and reality, undoubtedly add fuel to the fire and aggravate regional tensions.
Judging from the above various manifestations of the ROK, if a war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, it is possible that the ROK will intervene in the war in the Taiwan Strait.
The Philippines, a small country in Southeast Asia, has long followed in the footsteps of the United States and sought close ties with it. Recently, the Philippines and the United States restarted its security cooperation agreement and allowed the United States to establish four new military bases. Three of the bases are located in northern Luzon, which borders the island of Taiwan, a move that has undoubtedly heightened tensions in the region.
With the support of the United States, the Philippines has emboldened. In early February 2023, the Philippine military openly dispatched a naval patrol vessel to the vicinity of Mischief Reef in the South China Sea. In response to the provocative act by the Philippines, the Chinese coast guard acted quickly and successfully intercepted a Philippine Navy patrol vessel.
However, the Philippines has not relented. In March 2023, the Philippines stepped up by sending more ships to Mischief Reef in an attempt to challenge China's territorial sovereignty. This time, the Chinese side made a decisive dispatch to expel the Philippine ship. However, the Philippines has made a mistake and slandered China for "using military-grade lasers to irradiate Philippine ships, causing some crew members to lose their sight." Such unfounded accusations are obviously motivated by domestic political needs and are an attempt to tarnish China's image in the international community.
In May 2023, the Philippines began to follow the example of the West by sending lawmakers to Taiwan to meet with Tsai Ing-wen. They talk a lot about the so-called "internationalization of the Taiwan issue" in an attempt to push this issue to the international stage and arouse the attention and involvement of the international community. Such an act is undoubtedly a serious provocation to China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, as well as a serious threat to regional peace and stability.
At the same time, the Philippine military has also taken a series of actions to try to strengthen its presence and influence in the South China Sea. Under the guise of so-called "safety of navigation," they set up five navigation buoys in Feixin Island, Huoai Reef, Nankey Island, Shuanghuangshazhou, and Oxbow Reef in the Nansha Islands. These buoys can be used for navigation and positioning, and have a role in maintaining the safety of navigation, but they are also seen as a means for the Philippines to strengthen its control over the South China Sea.
These actions have raised concerns and questions about what the Philippines will do if a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, China has no time to look south, and the South China Sea defense is empty. Will it seize the opportunity to expand its presence and influence in the South China Sea, and even challenge China's territorial sovereignty?
Vietnam has been peering into the South China Sea region for decades. If there is a war, then Vietnam may take advantage of the fire. Of course, our speculation is not unfounded.
In the spring of 2023, the situation in the South China Sea region was turbulent. Tensions between China and the Philippines have escalated further because of the Wan'an Tan issue, and at this time, Vietnam, with ulterior motives, is trying to get its hands on China's Wan'an Beach at this time of chaos.
Not only did they make wild remarks, but they also eyed China's sovereignty in actual action, and even illegally set up three oil rigs on Wan'an Bank.
Judging from Vietnam's various actions, if war breaks out, then Vietnam may take advantage of the fire to loot the South China Sea issue.
It is generally believed in Russia that if a war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait region and the United States decides to intervene militarily, Japan will inevitably become the first Asian country to follow the United States. This view is based on Japan's close military alliance with the United States, as well as Japan's importance and influence in the region.
The U.S.-Japan relationship is deep and complex. They are not only long-term allies, but also important partners in global strategy. The U.S. has an extensive military presence in Japan, and these military bases are not only an extension of U.S. military power, but also a symbol of the relationship between the two countries.
Take the US Navy's Seventh Fleet, for example, which is a powerful fleet stationed in Japan and maintains a high level of combat readiness at all times. At the same time, it also provides strong support for US military operations around the world.
More importantly, southwestern Japan is geographically close to the island of Taiwan. This means that if the United States decides to participate in a military conflict on the island of Taiwan, Japan will become an advance base for the US military.
For Japan, this is not only a strategic consideration, but also an unavoidable fact. Their military cooperation with the United States is so close that they cannot keep themselves out of such a big event.
There has always been a territorial problem between China and India, and the so-called "McMahon Line" formulated by the British during the period when India was colonized by the British was not recognized by any country. However, when India drove out the British, they took the so-called "McMahon Line" as a "territorial standard", and they even occupied the southern Tibetan region of our country.
Because of the territorial issue, in the Sino-Indian self-defense counterattack that broke out in 1962, our country taught India a good lesson on the battlefield, although in this war, the Indians were defeated. But they are very unconvinced, and from time to time they take the opportunity to create friction. If there is a war in the Taiwan Strait in the future, then India may take advantage of China's "lack of skills" to disrupt China's borders, so India has no choice but to guard against it.