The Russia-Ukraine war has entered garbage time, and it is inexorably linked to the internal affairs of the United States.
Carlson, the right-wing populist opinion leader in the United States, went to Moscow and sat down with the Emperor as a non-governmental person, chatting happilyTrump echoed from afar, saying that Biden's aid to Ukraine bill should have ended long ago, and the United States should not be nosy.
For Biden and the establishment, when the Russian-Ukrainian war will end is a matter of urgency, and it has to be linked to **.
But seeing that all parties are singing about themselves, they are about to say that the next ** is gone, so they have to find another way, starting from internal affairs, to give more room for future choices.
Now the think tanks and ** of the establishment have begun to hype, using Russia's frozen $300 billion to use as military aid to Ukraine, and unswervingly fight a protracted war.
Putting aside the perspective of international politics in general, this idler specially chatted with colleagues who study international law.
They say that from the perspective of the establishment, they want to recognize Russia's military actions as "violations of international law" so that the United States can "justifiably" confiscate dollar assets without fulfilling its international commitments to protect the assets of other countries.
Implicit in this is the careful thinking of the establishment, which is to continue to pass on the costs of the war to Europe, leaving the strategic options to themselves.
At present, the total amount of Russian overseas assets frozen by the United States and the West is $300 billion, but due to geopolitical reasons, only $5 billion is frozen in the United States, and most of the assets are held by the European Union.
In the face of the gradually tilting balance of war and the overstretched state of fiscal expenditures, the establishment faction took out Russia's overseas assets to talk about things, so that there were few internal disputes and there was no need to touch their own moneySecond, it is in line with political correctness, and it can continue to fool Europe, which can be said to be a two-way gain.
In addition, the "confiscation" of these 300 billion US dollars can also satisfy the appetite of the military-industrial complex, continue to sell **, and promote the external circulation of arms. And the growth of exports has improved the domestic economy, so in the short term, it is a good step.
But in the long run, the implications of this approach could be far-reaching.
Since World War II, the underlying logic of capitalist globalization advocated by the United States has not changed, that is, "property protection" and "procedural justice".
In this system of discourse, property is sacrosanct. For players from all walks of life, participating in the world order can immediately enjoy the convenience of a unified market and a unified currency;And with stable expectations, wealth is built and well-being improves.
But the seizure of Russia's overseas assets means that this expectation of stability no longer exists.
For the dominant side of the order, the establishment is busy killing chickens and eggs for their own selfish interests, and the final effect is very likely to shrink the boundaries of the entire order.
When ** is expelled from the order, all "heterogeneous civilizations" from the Western perspective will become cautious in order to prevent the embezzlement of accumulated wealth and the degradation of improved well-being.
And for us, we are already preparing in advance and preparing for a rainy day. After all, the international situation is ever-changing, and besides, compared with Russia, our room for maneuver may still be smaller, so we must strengthen our precautions.
Strategic reserves are a necessary lesson. In an era where "de-risking" is prevalent, more choices and more space can lead to an invincible position.
In an era of contraction, it is more important to think about how to lose less than earn more.
Water is impermanent.