Today's market is more stable than yesterday, the number of ** is as high as 300, slightly less than yesterday, to rise ** continue to grow, the index performance is relatively stable, there are no big ups and downs, it is a very unexpected day, as long as you are an investor, you will not have the urge to look at the second glance after a glance at the disk. In such an environment, it is actually possible not to review, but the data still needs to be recorded, and maybe it will be useful in the future.
There is a small signal to mention, the northbound funds have turned from net outflow to net inflow at the end of the day, and the data gap is relatively large, will it be the leading indicator of the first class? Everyone's recent sensitivity to ** is very low, if there is only one day**, it is estimated that there is no current one, the northbound funds are picking up, is it really ** or a day trip?
Take a look at Tuesday's data analysis: the Shanghai Composite Index fell 183%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 24%, and the GEM index fell 247%, and northbound capital inflows of 174.2 billion, the turnover was 663.6 billion, and the market median was -320%。The specific analysis is as follows:
Data analysis] 1. Overall data analysis: down 3%**2977, up 3**103, 19 entities up limit, 64 down limits on the day, 225 long forces, 1072 short forces.
Many people think that yesterday just fell, today there will be **, my data tells me that this is not the case, the reason is that it is now in the range of abnormal fluctuations, not the general ** market, can not be used to measure the current market from the perspective of the general ** market, the appearance of extreme values shows that the market still has huge uncertainty, yesterday has said that it is not suitable to sell high and buy low, the conditions for the start of the medium-term strategy are also obvious: to return to normal data, and it will take at least three days or more, before that, the medium-term line is still resting.
Generally, the reference value of ** market value is 200-550 range, and the value reference of ** market value of strong structure is 400-1000 range].
2. **Reference: The overall mentality of the market is 18, which belongs to the low-level mentality, and the computer recommends that tomorrow [Note: not today] maintain a total of 44 into.
3. In terms of hot spots, the number of the top 5 outlets is 3-4, and the main line outlets: the prefix. The core leader of the market is China Television Media, with 6 daily limits and the concept of Shanghai Free Trade.
4. Cycle analysis: From the perspective of the success rate of chasing the board, today's success rate is low, from the perspective of **, the yield of the fried board is very poor (very low value), the yield of the sealing board is extremely poor (very low value), the yield of high turnover is very poor (very low value), and the yield on the list is poor (very low value), and there is no intersection point in the same direction, representing a weak and consistent view, and strong leading stocks ** or weak.
In fact, you don't need to speak, just look at the picture to know how extreme the current ** is, usually as long as there is a very high value or a very low value can appear** or adjustment, now as long as a batch is a batch, yesterday, today, there are already two groups of 9 extremely low values, it is completely unimaginable in the past, so this stage is an abnormal fluctuation range, I think it will be better to defend first, and then wait for the opportunity, not to see the extremely low value on the duck. **Strategy to admit defeat to admit defeat, wrong to stop loss, can not be numb to think** will come.
5. Intraday main hot spot tracking: there were 9 plate ** changes, and 1 plate continued, of which 1 plate was a super strong plate.
Strong for three consecutive days for a strong sector, more than three days for a super strong sector].
09:27 Brain-Computer Concept--09:35 Brokers--09:58 Agriculture--10:08 Auto Parts--10:53 Tourism--10:57 Chinese Prefix (D3)--13:44 Big Finance--13:44 Wind Power--13:51 Power Supply.
Main line of the market: the prefix.
Brain-computer concept: innovative medical, Sanbo Brain, Guanhao Biotechnology, Nanjing Panda.
Brokers: Harbin Investment Co., Ltd., Capital Co., Ltd., Dongxing Co., Ltd., Guosheng Financial Holdings.
Agriculture: Dunhuang Seed Industry, Qiule Seed Industry, Shennong Science and Technology, Agricultural Development Seed Industry.
Auto parts: Zhejiang Shibao, Beite Technology, Sailun Tire, Best.
Tourism: Jiuhua Tourism, Qujiang Cultural Tourism, Lijiang Co., Ltd., Changbai Mountain.
Prefix: COFCO Capital, China Television Media, China Haicheng, CSSC Hanguang.
Big Finance: Capital **, Guosheng Financial Holdings, Bank of Hangzhou, Changshu Bank.
Wind power: flyover crane, Zhenjiang shares, Zhongji United, Taisheng wind energy.
Power supply: Belden Energy, Ganneng Co., Ltd., Shennan Electric Power A, Bao New Energy.
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Index point of view: From the statistical point of view, the computer believes that there will be no change tomorrow (data 2), the prefix is the hot spot, and there is a continuation effect in 1 plate of 9 plate changes, and the prefix and Shanghai Free Trade are strong plates (data), with a low success rate and a very poor yield. How should this data be viewed?
The current view is clear, as long as it is above the platform line, it is bullish, and below the platform line it is bearish.
Many people do not recognize the platform line, but the platform line does play an obvious role of resistance, since this pressure is effective, then according to the original point of view: the platform line is bullish, otherwise bearish, do not need to observe how the index changes, if you have the ability, please let the Shanghai Composite Index stand on the platform line, continue to maintain the view of the end of the reversal.
If the Shanghai Composite Index is bearish and controversial, I don't think there is any controversy about the bearish gem, because since January, the center of gravity of this sector has been moving downward, and there has been no decent **, yesterday hit a new low, today is still a new low, and the decline is not a lot, because it is far away from the platform line, I think we can continue to be bearish, not because it is far away from the platform to look at the over-fall**, this seems to be more irresponsible. Of course, there will be, but when**, whether it can stop falling is uncertain, so why bother to guess the bottom?
Stream-saving mode popular version:The Shanghai Composite Index today adjusted and confirmed the end of the reversal, and the ChiNext index pointed to today's new low to confirm the ** trend, which is obviously a very bad trend, if there is no external force or major positive, I think it is difficult to change the weakness in the short term, the subject matter has entered the extreme downturn ** stage, and there is no need to effectively pick up, and there is no need to analyze the medium-term data in the abnormal fluctuation range, waiting for the natural bottom, and it is estimated that there will be opportunities if it does not fall for more than a week (don't look at the day, beware of the risk of a day trip).
Tips: 1. The above content is only a personal investment diary and does not have a guidance function.
2. The views are for reference only, and investors need to judge whether to follow the idea of operation.
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