After the death of the three Americans, the United States has threatened to impose sanctions on Iran, but there has been no movement so far, and Biden has repeatedly said that he does not want to see this scene, how will the United States respond? Before the United States could make a move, Tehran did it first, much faster than any of the major powers.
Three U.S. soldiers were killed in a drone attack on a U.S. base in the Middle East. However, now, although the White House has dumped the "black cauldron" on Iran, and even threatened to impose sanctions on Iran, there has been no movement so far. Do they have reservations, or are they just reservations? Most likely the latter.
Although Trump has said that they will not launch a full-scale war against Iran, there will be some retaliation, otherwise, Biden will become a "soft egg" in Trump's mouth. Perhaps, the United States is facing a difficult choice and cannot decide how to respond to Iran. Biden doesn't have just one path to take, he has three.
A, targeting Iran is perhaps the most vocal option in the United States, especially in recent days, when they have been constantly clamoring for Biden to use military force against Iran. Although it is unlikely that Biden will choose A, it cannot be said that the United States does not have the ability to do so.
With the power of the United States, it is too simple to really make a move on the territory of Iran, perhaps just with a "Tomahawk". It really can't be done, just send F-35A and B-2** bombers, directly smash Iran's air defense system, and then throw two atomic bombs to blow them up.
Biden has been hesitating, and it is this revenge method that is very likely to lead to a full-scale war between the United States and Iran. Three years ago, the United States withdrew from Afghanistan, and it took more than 20 years for Afghanistan to emerge from the quagmire, and Biden does not want the United States to be drawn into the war with Iran again.
Given the current state of affairs in the United States, Biden is also unlikely to start a war on Iran. Outside the gates of the White House, the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Israeli-Palestinian war, the Red Sea war, the Ukrainian war, the Israeli war, all these countries are opening their mouths wide and waiting only for the power of the United States. On the American side, the White House will have to calm the growing contradictions with Texas. To deal with such a bunch of bad things, it will take a lot of financial and human resources, and Biden is really a little unbearable.
When there is a problem in the handling of the Iraq issue, the United States is likely to be dragged into the war in Iraq, and perhaps even Biden will be swept away. Mr. Biden doesn't want to put himself at an extreme disadvantage until everything is settled.
b refers to the troops stationed overseas, i.e., Iranian "** institutions". For Biden, this may be the best way to hit Iran by not attacking inside Iran, but by putting it overseas, without triggering a big war.
Iranian "** institutions", such as the Houthis that clashed with US forces in Yemen, recently vowed to retaliate against Iran's "** institutions" – attacks on US bases – Islamic resistance groups in Iraq. Iran's overseas military forces are currently focused on Syria. According to the White House, the Iranian army trains the Syrian ** army on a daily basis.
It is for this reason that Biden made a decision that made the Tehran side aware of something and thus responded in advance. In the province of Deir ez-Zor in northwestern Syria, there are reports of the withdrawal of a large number of troops from the base after "retaliation against Iran." Among the evacuees are Iranian troops in Syria, reports say.
In addition, several offices set up by Iranian forces in Syria have been dismantled. It is clear that they are guarding against an attack by the United States and Israel. According to Tehran's reflections, they believe that the United States **is behind the scenes**.
c refers to economic constraints, not coercive measures. This must be coordinated with the military's tactics in order to play the greatest role in retaliation. Now, the United States has begun to impose strict sanctions on Iran and completely block Iranian oil import channels, which has hit Iran's economy hard.
Previously, there were rumors that the United States may ease economic sanctions against Iran in order to curb the rapid rise of international oil prices. However, Iran's support for Russia in the military really made the United States a little dissatisfied, so it gave up this idea.
Since the White House has declared Iran "responsible" for attacking US bases, this means imposing tougher and tougher economic sanctions on Iran. Biden will carry out both military and economic repression on Iran in order to "show Iran American power and teach it a lesson." ”
Iran, on the other hand, has been countered by Tehran in many military and economic aspects of the United States, and it is questionable whether the United States' countermeasures are effective.